Airlines Playing a Cruel Cancellation Game

Qantas 737 taxis to runway 34R at Sydney Airport
Photo: Mudassir Ali from Pexels.

Throughout the pandemic, airlines have had to cancel a lot of flights. This is already inconvenient enough for customers who had booked tickets on flights that are no longer going ahead. But airlines including Qantas have found a way to make the experience even worse for passengers.

Over the last couple of years, Qantas has made a habit of selling an optimistic (and in some cases, unrealistic) flight schedule ahead of time. It then consolidates or cancels some of these scheduled flights closer to the travel date, if it becomes clear demand is not as high as the airline hoped or that the destination country is taking longer than anticipated to remove travel restrictions.

Ultimately, this means that some of the Qantas flights scheduled for travel dates into the future never actually operate.

Until recently, for example, Qantas was accepting bookings for travel dates from late March 2022 on routes like Sydney-Santiago, Melbourne-Hong Kong and Brisbane-Tokyo. These flights are not currently operating and the restart date for these routes has since been quietly pushed back, but Qantas has not actually cancelled any of these flights yet. Other international routes have also been affected.

A long wait for non-operating flights to get cancelled

Flight cancellations happen all the time. This itself is not scandalous. But the way that Qantas and some other airlines have been handling these cancellations has been problematic.

When Qantas delays a route relaunch, it doesn’t simply cancel the flights that were due to operate between the old and the new restart date. Instead, it first “zeroes out” the available seat inventory on affected flights. This prevents new tickets from being sold. But it could take weeks or even months before the flight is officially cancelled in the system.

In the meantime, all of these flights continue to appear in the GDS (Global Distribution System, used by travel agents) or Expert Flyer like this:

Expert Flyer screenshot
Qantas still hasn’t cancelled flights to Santiago from late March – it’s just stopped selling seats. Screenshot from Expert Flyer.

The above screenshot shows a flight with no availability in any booking class. This is how a flight would appear to travel agents if it was fully booked. However, this flight is not fully booked – Qantas has likely just removed it from sale because the company no longer intends to operate it.

Meanwhile, passengers with existing bookings on these “zeroed out” flights still have confirmed tickets and are often none the wiser that their flight probably won’t go ahead.

Even if they did realise what was going on, they wouldn’t be entitled to a refund yet because the flight is still showing in the system as running. This creates a frustrating situation where passengers wait in limbo to found out whether their flight will indeed be cancelled, and whether any alternative flights will be offered.

Ultimately, this means passengers find out that their flight is cancelled much closer to the travel date. This is inconvenient because they may have made more travel plans in the meantime around the assumption their flight would go ahead, and have less time to make alternative arrangements.

Passengers booked to Santiago wait in limbo

A good example is Qantas’ flights from Sydney to Santiago. Qantas was previously selling seats on flights QF27 and QF28 between Sydney and Santiago, the airline’s only route to South America, from 27 March 2022. Many customers booked tickets. But in late January, Qantas “zeroed out” all Qantas-operated flights on this route until late October 2022.

Santiago, Chile
Qantas will no longer return to Santiago until at least October 2022. Photo: Alisha Lubben from Pexels.

It is fairly obvious that Qantas has done this because it no longer plans to resume flights to Santiago this month. In case there was any doubt, Sydney-Santiago was also a notable omission on the list of international routes Qantas announced last month that it would restart in March. (Flights to Tokyo and Hong Kong also didn’t make this list.)

But for passengers with bookings to Santiago, their flights still appear to be going ahead. They still haven’t been formally cancelled.

Passengers with Qantas bookings to Santiago are now waiting anxiously to find out whether they’ll be offered an alternative flight or a refund. The best case scenario is that passengers would be rebooked on “QF” codeshare flights operated by LATAM Airlines, which will resume flights from Sydney to Santiago via Auckland later this month.

LATAM Airlines 787
LATAM Airlines will return to Sydney in late March 2022. Photo: LATAM.

But passengers scheduled to fly in as little as three weeks still have no information. If they try calling the Qantas call centre, the staff just tell them that their flight is going ahead, they have no further information and they can’t do anything.

This is clearly unacceptable as people need more time to make alternative arrangements to get to South America in the event that Qantas only offers a refund (and not alternative flights). Even if passengers are rebooked on LATAM, this will still result in schedule changes and possibly missed connections which will need to be sorted out in advance.

One AFF member booked on QF27 wrote:

I called Qantas again and received a very ermm… unsatisfactory response, dodging my question and after 2hs, the guy hang up on me as I was asking for more information! I cannot believe what the airlines are doing, it’s highly unethical, even if this flight goes ahead, it makes no sense that they would zero out all of them, and the rep keeps repeating the same blurb; that my flight is going ahead and that as far as Qantas is concerned, flight is still going ahead (?!). I cannot understand how can it go ahead if there are none on Qantas’ website. I don’t know what options I have at this point, apart from cancelling the flight myself. They should tell us why the flights have been zeroed out til October.
baarg, 15 February 2022

Another member posted:

I have a booking for the 6th of April to Santiago, I spoke to someone in Qantas and the people from Flight centre kept saying that the flights are at full capacity so they should go….?? Very upsetting at the moment.
Sylvana, 1 March 2022

Australian Frequent Flyer reached out to Qantas a fortnight ago to ask what is happening with the Sydney-Santiago flights and whether affected passengers on cancelled Qantas-operated services would be rebooked on LATAM Airlines. We are yet to receive a response.

You can join the discussion about these flights on the Australian Frequent Flyer forum: Future of QF27/28 travel post covid

Why do airlines do this?

There are some legitimate reasons that airlines may “zero out” a flight. For example, it could be fully booked, or the airline may need to block a large number of seats for some operational reason. It is also possible that the airline simply needs more time to work out whether it will receive regulatory approval or be able to operate the flight with passengers.

But this is not generally what’s happening with these types of cancellations where entire months’ worth of flights on specific routes are zeroed out at the same time.

One would assume the main reason for not cancelling flights outright, if the airline no longer intends to operate them, is to hold onto customers’ money for longer.

Qantas already takes more than 8 weeks in many cases to refund money to customers after they become entitled to a refund. By delaying the cancellation of flights, Qantas can hold onto customers’ money for even longer as customers with confirmed bookings can’t generally get a refund without paying a cancellation fee.

Under Qantas’ Fly Flexible policy, affected customers would be able to access a flight credit if their flight hasn’t yet been cancelled. But this is not the same as a refund, as Qantas flight credits come with conditions attached. Customers can also choose to change their travel dates, however any fare difference would apply.

Only once a flight is formally cancelled are customers entitled to a full refund or to change to an alternative flight (if available) without being charged the fare difference.

Qantas is by no means the only airline doing this during COVID-19, but it is a serial offender and many Australians have been impacted.

This practice may be better for the airline’s own cash flow, but it sure is inconvenient and frustrating for customers.

Join the discussion on the Australian Frequent Flyer forum: QF zeroing flights – cancellation impending?

The editor of Australian Frequent Flyer, Matt's passion for travel has taken him to over 90 countries… with the help of frequent flyer points, of course!
Matt's favourite destinations (so far) are Germany, Brazil & Kazakhstan. His interests include aviation, economics & foreign languages, and he has a soft spot for good food and red wine.

You can connect with Matt by posting on the Australian Frequent Flyer community forum and tagging @AFF Editor.
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I'm booked an award MEL-SIN on QF35 during April. I've noticed that the both QF35 and 36 (SIN-MEL) are showing as no availability on expertflyer on the day I am travelling (a Tuesday). I've also just noticed that this is the same every Tuesday during April (i.e. no availability in any booking class on either QF35 or QF36). Would this suggest a cancellation is impending?

Yes it does mean this.

This has been Qantas' modus operandi for the past couple of years when cancelling blocks of flights months in advance. It first zeroes out availability so nobody can book new seats, but it doesn't actually cancel the flights for several more weeks or sometimes months. I can only assume this is so they can hold onto passengers' money for longer, since the flights aren't technically cancelled yet.

It's highly inconvenient for the affected passengers and I wish Qantas would stop doing this. If they're going to cancel a flight, just cancel it!

If it really looks like they are going to cancel, I'll just cancel it myslef and book a return commercial fare ex-SIN on SQ.

If you can cancel the booking yourself with no penalty, you might as well. The Qantas flight you booked will more than likely not operate.

However, some people have fallen into the trap of cancelling (revenue tickets) before Qantas formally cancels, meaning they are stuck with a credit voucher instead of the refund they would have been entitled to.

Reply 10 Likes

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Annoying. I'm on QF35 MEL-SIN on 14/4, also zeroed out.

I'm hoping to call them up and change to MEL-SYD-SIN, but there's no award J availability. Does anyone know how if they'll let me change in advance of the cancellation, and if they'll make J award space available for me?

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Does anyone know how if they'll let me change in advance of the cancellation, and if they'll make J award space available for me?

Highly unlikely unless you're Platinum/P1 and able to get a new reward seat released.

If you call at this point, the call centre will almost certainly just tell you the flight is still running and there is nothing they can do. Especially if you get an offshore call centre, the staff aren't empowered to actually help you. (This is what happened to another AFF member who recently tried to call about a "zeroed out" flight and found that it was a huge waste of time - Future of QF27/28 travel post covid)

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Thanks. I'll have a read of the thread now.

So I wonder, if they cancel the flight what will they actually offer me....

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If you can cancel the booking yourself with no penalty, you might as well. The Qantas flight you booked will more than likely not operate.

Thanks Matt, confirmed my suspicions. Will definitely cancel at look at SQ or Scoot instead. Scoot upfront seats (with extra leg room) are $350, with the free catering from Cafe Sol (thanks to priority pass), sort of makes the 25K QF pts + $160 hardly worth it anyway ...

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Thanks. I'll have a read of the thread now.

So I wonder, if they cancel the flight what will they actually offer me....

In theory, a refund should be one option.

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In theory, a refund should be one option.

Of course refund is an option, it's an award ticket and these can be changed or refunded for no charge at the moment anyway. But somehow I don't think that's what @Virgin Bart is really after..... for business class awards you really want them to make it right.

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Of course refund is an option, it's an award ticket and these can be changed or refunded for no charge at the moment anyway. But somehow I don't think that's what @Virgin Bart is really after..... for business class awards you really want them to make it right.

Exactly. Not worried about the refund, that's a guarantee. But I do wonder as far as J alternatives, or even Y alternatives..

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Exactly. Not worried about the refund, that's a guarantee. But I do wonder as far as J alternatives, or even Y alternatives..

There's another Qanstar flight leaving only 5 minutes earlier than QF35 (and arriving 25 mins earlier), I am sure they can arrange for you to be transferred to that 😉 😛

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I'm looking at flights to Honolulu (HNL) in late April with Qantas and having the same sort of problem. Sydney to HNL showing "no results found" on any date despite listing prices. Been like this all this week, except for a few times when they do show. Irony is that if you try book MEL-HNL, or BNE-HNL, QF103/QF104 show.

We've got friends already booked onto those flights, but kind of makes us a little hesitant to book at the moment if the route is not really showing flights. Wonder if another round of cancelations is looming.

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