AFF's 150,000th post thread....

[JohnK]

Dates & Times are AEDST. To make it interesting, all predictions must be entered by midnight (23:59:59), AEDST, Sunday 30 November 2008. Deleted posts do not count, only actual posts!

Closest guess to actual post time will win - regardless of whether the guess is earlier or later than the posting time. Winner will have name engraved in Winner's Podium honour roll.

Good luck to all.

The Australian Frequent Flyer Online Community Statistics - Posts: 145,449

 

[drron]

Now if Amex rejigs its offers a couple of times in the next week we will all know by the 30th!

 

[straitman]

As the posting rate has settled a bit I think this will take just a few days longer than the 44 days for the last 10,000.

Then again the AMEX thread could go into overdrive if peoples points don't start appearing on time :!: :shock:

 

[Mwenenzi]

As the posting rate has settled a bit I think this will take just a few days longer than the 44 days for the last 10,000.

Have you been counting ? :shock:

 

[kpc]

Around this time, I'll be relaxing in JohnK's favourite country outside Oz so I'll put in an early guess here:8pm 12 December

 

[drron]

Around this time, I'll be relaxing in JohnK's favourite country outside Oz so I'll put in an early guess here:8pm 12 December

Yes when the time is up for our guesses(educated predictions) I will be slumming it in BA F just before landing in BKK myself.I think I will leave it until later though.

 

[Mwenenzi]

Bump 1 week before the contest closes

The 10,000th post was on 26/09/05
The 20,000th post was on 05/02/06 (132 days & 76 posts per day since post 10,000)
The 30,000th post was on 08/05/06 (102 days & 98 posts per day since post 20,000)
The 40,000th post was on 06/09/06 (111 days & 90 posts per day since post 30,000)
The 50,000th post was on 30/11/06 (85 days & 118 posts per day since post 40,000)
The 60,000th post was on 06/03/07 (96 days & 104 posts per day since post 50,000)
The 70,000th post was on 23/05/07 (78 days & 128 posts per day since post 60,000)
The 80,000th post was on 18/08/07 (87 days & 114 posts per day since post 70,000)
The 90,000th post was on 14/11/07 (88 days & 114 posts per day since post 80,000)
The 100,000th post was on 03/01/08 (77 days & 130 posts per day since post 90,000)
The 110,000th post was on 16/04/08 (77 days & 130 posts per day since post 100,000)
The 120,000th post was on 02/07/08 (77 days & 130 posts per day since post 110,000)
The 130,000th post was on 06/09/08 (66 days & 152 posts per day since post 120,000)
The 140,000th post was on 20/10/08 (44 days & 229 posts per day since post 130,000)

a few seconds ago: -Threads: 10,119, Posts: 146,480, Members: 12,556

 

[Mwenenzi]

My prediction 10/12/2008 14:25

a few seconds ago: Threads: 10,166, Posts: 147,239, Members: 12,621
158 posts per day since JohnK announced the contest

 

[Mal]

8 Dec 08. 19:45 Syd Time.

 

[JohnK]

11 December 2008 @ 8:44pm

 

[Evan]

12th December 01:30am
E

 

[serfty]

16th December 11am ...

 

[JohnK]

Anymore predictions? Time is almost up....

 

[Hawkeye]

13th December, 1030am

 

[straitman]

Anymore predictions? Time is almost up....

Thanks for the prompt JohnK :!:

14th Dec @ 0001

 

[oz_mark]

midday 15 Dec

 

[drron]

December 13th 1326

 

[JohnK]

No more predictions please....

Mal             08/12/08 @  7:45pm (AEDST)
Mwenenzi        10/12/08 @  2:25pm (AEDST)
JohnK           11/12/08 @  8:44pm (AEDST)
Evan            12/12/08 @  1:30am (AEDST)
kpc             12/12/08 @  8:00pm (AEDST)
Hawkeye         13/12/08 @ 10:30am (AEDST)
drron           13/12/08 @  1:26pm (AEDST)
straitman       14/12/08 @  0:01am (AEDST)
oz_mark         15/12/08 @ 12:00noon (AEDST)
serfty          16/12/08 @ 11:00am (AEDST)

Good luck all....

 

[JohnK]

Threads: 10,224, Posts: 148,280, Members: 12,711

The posting rate has dropped down below 190 posts/day since the 140,000th thread. Very hard to predict the posting rate but it can drastically increase again if the expected activity on the Amex thread starts tomorrow.

 

[Mwenenzi]

Since JohnK announced the contest 174 posts per day

If prediction is to be correct then:
342 posts per day needed by Mal
253 posts per day needed by Mwenenzi
227 posts per day needed by JohnK
208 posts per day needed by evan
190 posts per day needed by kpc
178 posts per day needed by hawkeye
176 posts per day needed by drron
168 posts per day needed by Straitman
147 posts per day needed by Oz Mark
136 posts per day needed by serfty

I did mean to put 12/12/08 as my date but mistyped as 10/12/08. Will check next time