Better to post this type of query over here... but responding while I see it - Blocked seats on the seat map are not connected to pending upgrades. You need to look at the numbers to make your assumptions.
There are still at least 6 business seats for sale on Saturday's QF35, and at least 3 of those are in the standard Business fare bucket (D), vs Business Flex (J). Upgrades for CL & WP1 are likely already processed, but those for WP would probably not have been processed yet. I'd look again after T-60 and see how it's going. Quite reasonable chances though, I'd say.
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The later flight has the same number of seats available, but all in J flex. They might anticpate more last minute demand on this one, perhaps.
Cheers,
Matt.
