A colleague was on a DJ flight from MEL-SYD last night that had a delayed departure. Once onboard the flight crew advised the pax that they believed they could make it to SYD before the 11pm curfew. However at about 10:30pm, and at what felt to my colleague like “halfway” to SYD, they announced they were turning back to MEL because they realised they couldn’t make it to SYD by 11pm. DJ accommodated all the pax that required accommodation in hotels and my colleague was in bed around 1am, then up at 4:30am to get to the airport for a 6:30am flight to SYD. My colleague, who is a calm, thoughtful sort of a bloke, says it seemed to him as though the whole incident left hundreds of people feeling very angry.
My question is: why would DJ try to make it when it seems to me like it was always going to be a pretty close call? Is it considered better to try and then fail, and perhaps pass the blame on to the SYD curfew instead of their own resources/scheduling, rather than bite the bullet up front and accommodate pax for the night?
From a bit of research on FlightStats, I take it your colleague was flying DJ899 last night? FlightStats gives the status as Cancelled (i.e. no sign that the flight left and then was turned back).
Checking the flights on the MEL-SYD route on FlightStats, it appears that there were a gaggle of carriers yesterday that were getting quite delayed flying into SYD as the end of the night approached. Given this pattern, perhaps it was not unusual that DJ899, supposedly the last MEL-SYD flight to arrive for the night, would just scrape in for the curfew, let alone when it was delayed that it had a good chance of not making it by then.
There are many theories as to why - here are a few (and I assume no expert knowledge in any of these)....
The first is that there was probably a thought that they could fly faster to SYD and make up some time for the delay. This may be true especially if it was hypothesised that the proposed flying time would still allow DJ to make it into SYD with a few minutes to spare (as it stands, DJ had
theoretically up to 20 minutes before it would have almost no chance of making it to SYD with time to spare).
The second is that SYD ATC might have given DJ clearance to arrive into SYD within the curfew, but other factors delayed DJ's departure from MEL after the approval was given, and the clearance was revoked by SYD after the flight had taken off.
There are passenger related factors as to why the flight would be delayed. That could be enough to delay it so that it wouldn't be able to make it into SYD on time.
I think it's not a case of do the airlines play chicken as much as decisions take longer to be made compared to the frequency of the change of circumstances which affect those decisions.
Ironically enough, the last QF flight from MEL-SYD, QF494, arrived OK last night. It was 37 minutes delayed. sched arrival 2225h; touchdown on runway at SYD 2255h and docked in at gate at 2302h. Looks like QF was trying to beat the clock, too, but in its case, made it.