Not disagreeing with you about the value of promotions.
I'm asking who is going to pay for the $10/20/50/100 million (or whatever) Amex is going to have to shell out for this promotion.
Well I would hazard a guess out of their total marketing budget.
While this promo will most likely go over budget....it will mean that others will be allocated a bit less.
Going by the number of Amex mailers I have received since this promo started I would assume that they are not too cash-strapped just yet.
Thing is only Amex knows how many people are in this promo...it could be a very large number....or it could a lot less.
Of the ones who are in it....the distribution of those with huge point earns is not known.
Yes some will gain a million plus...but many on the forum have indicated 500K or less.
If the vast majority are only scoring a few hundred K then the liability will not be that large in the scheme of things.
Personally I would have thought that Amex would have pulled the pin after a few weeks (when their mistakes would have been obvious)...just stated that the promo was a mistake on their part in it's execution (ie bonus rate size)...but that as goodwill that Amex would honour the points already earned.
ie one sees companies withdrawing "mistakes" all the time. Wrong prices in catalogues etc etc.
There would have been a little grizzling by some, but most would have been delighted to have earnt at the "mistake" bonus rate while it lasted.
That Amex did not withdraw the promo (or rather withdraw it from the pre-Sept 20 registrants as the later registrants were capped) means to me one of two things:
- Amex were stupid
- Amex decided that "paying" out the promo was affordable and the preferred option to canning it to the early registrants.