AFF's 750,000th post thread....

[whatmeworry]

LOL @ myself. That is one funny mistype!

 

[JohnK]

Data point

Threads 41,372 Posts 742,331 Members 31,461

Posting rate definitely increased....

 

[JohnK]

Data point

Threads 41,501 Posts 745,177 Members 31,551

 

[Mwenenzi]

693,779 posts when JohnK announced the contest on 09 Feb 2013
746,461 posts a few minutes ago. 667 posts per day from the contest announcement
For the last 24 hours post rate has been 824 posts per day.
For the last 7 days the average post rate has been 691 posts per day
Posting normally slows at weekends & public holidays
Post count as the bottom of http://www.australianfrequentflyer.com.au/community/forum.php

Prediction ---------- If the prediction is to be correct, (based from contest start to the recent post)
[-]21:36 19/04/13 -- -359 posts per day needed by Columbia
12:00 26/04/13 -- -1083 posts per day needed by oz_mark
19:35 26/04/13 -- -1199 posts per day needed by hvr
12:00 28/04/13 -- -2790 posts per day needed by Mal
12:00 29/04/13 -- -13191 posts per day needed by serfty
20:55 30/04/13 -- 3208 posts per day needed by JessicaTam[/-]
18:39 02/05/13 -- 1176 posts per day needed by whatmeworry
01:41 05/05/13 -- 667 posts per day based on last post (by calculation)
04:15 05/05/13 -- 654 posts per day needed by drron
15:00 05/05/13 -- 604 posts per day needed by major
[-]09:00 06/05/13 -- 536 posts per day needed by medhead
09:00 07/05/13 -- 465 posts per day needed by Samh004
20:26 07/05/13 -- 438 posts per day needed by JohnK
21:30 07/05/13 -- 435 posts per day needed by boeto
03:00 08/05/13 -- 423 posts per day needed by Mwenenzi
11:00 14/05/13 -- 241 posts per day needed by GMT[/-]

drron's prediction looking good. Big gap to whatmeworry's prediction so not totally out of the race. 4 May is Saturday and 5 May is Sunday. Posting normally slows at weekends

 

[JohnK]

Data point

Threads 41,632 Posts 747,908 Members 31,635

 

[whatmeworry]

drron's prediction looking good. Big gap to whatmeworry's prediction so not totally out of the race. 4 May is Saturday and 5 May is Sunday. Posting normally slows at weekends

I just need Red Roo to announce the end of ASA's, QF to announce a merger with Virgin and I might actually win...

 

[Mwenenzi]

You are not out of it

Prediction ---------- If the prediction is to be correct, (based from contest start to the recent post)
18:39 02/05/13 -- 2138 posts per day needed by whatmeworry
23:27 03/05/13 -- 957 posts per day half way whatmeworry to drron
21:55 04/05/13 -- 669 posts per day based on last post (by calculation)
04:15 05/05/13 -- 616 posts per day needed by drron

 

[drron]

So I should stop posting?
Several times I have been in the running but always fall at the last hurdle.

 

[JohnK]

You are not out of it

Qantas makes announcement they are withdrawing from Oneworld and after a record number of posts in the first hour, AFF crashes and is down for 2-3 days still a few hundred posts short of 750,000....

 

[Mwenenzi]

693,779 posts when JohnK announced the contest on 09 Feb 2013
748,697 posts a few minutes ago. 670 posts per day from the contest announcement
For the last 24 hours post rate has been 818 posts per day.
For the last 7 days the average post rate has been 693 posts per day
Posting normally slows at weekends & public holidays
Post count as the bottom of http://www.australianfrequentflyer.com.au/community/forum.php

Prediction ---------- If the prediction is to be correct, (based from contest start to the recent post)
[-]21:36 19/04/13 -- -101 posts per day needed by Columbia
12:00 26/04/13 -- -208 posts per day needed by oz_mark
19:35 26/04/13 -- -219 posts per day needed by hvr
12:00 28/04/13 -- -306 posts per day needed by Mal
12:00 29/04/13 -- -401 posts per day needed by serfty
20:55 30/04/13 -- -692 posts per day needed by JessicaTam[/-]
18:39 02/05/13 -- 54682 posts per day needed by whatmeworry
23:27 03/05/13 -- 1065 posts per day half way whatmeworry to drron
16:43 04/05/13 -- 670 posts per day based on last post (by calculation)
04:15 05/05/13 -- 538 posts per day needed by drron
09:37 05/05/13 -- 492 posts per day half way
[-]15:00 05/05/13 -- 454 posts per day needed by major
09:00 06/05/13 -- 360 posts per day needed by medhead
09:00 07/05/13 -- 282 posts per day needed by Samh004
20:26 07/05/13 -- 256 posts per day needed by JohnK
21:30 07/05/13 -- 253 posts per day needed by boeto
03:00 08/05/13 -- 243 posts per day needed by Mwenenzi
11:00 14/05/13 -- 111 posts per day needed by GMT[/-]

 

[JohnK]

So I should stop posting?
Several times I have been in the running but always fall at the last hurdle.

I think you are finally over that last hurdle.

 

[Simo]

Data point

Threads 41,632 Posts 747,908 Members 31,635

A very AFF number...

 

[JohnK]

Almost there

Threads 41,721 Posts 749,756 Members 31,677

I wonder if it will happen tonight but more than likely tomorrow morning....

 

[JessicaTam]

749,957

Getting really close now

 

[Mwenenzi]

Done: Threads 41,730 Posts 750,000 Members 31,684

drron is the winner


Edit:
693,779 posts when JohnK announced the contest on 09 Feb 2013
750,000 posts a few minutes ago. 672 posts per day from the contest announcement
For the last 16 hours post rate has been 541 posts per day.

Based on the 672 posts per day the 1,000,000th post will happen on 10:19 11/05/14

 

[JessicaTam]

Well done drron.

 

[drron]

Turning out to be a good weekend.
Friday got my email from SPG confirming Life time gold.
Got my free memership of epiqure.
Today as I was just about to finally get a prediction right our TA(as opposed to the TA) arrived at the door with a bottle of Moet in its jacket as a thank you for our business.
So now off to bunnings so i can do some real work today!

 

[Mwenenzi]

Well done drron.

Jess: One of your posts may have been the 750,000th

 

[JessicaTam]

Jess: One of your posts may have been the 750,000th

As long as it was in the Southern Hemisphere this time.

 

[Major]

Bugger...missed by 1...good one drron