drron
Veteran Member
- Joined
- Jul 4, 2002
- Posts
- 35,658
So you wonder why we are cynical when it comes to the predictions of economists and politicians?That seems to fit roughly with what i thought above: the difference between the baseline number and the current/ anticipated growth. I.e. that left unchecked emissions would grow to 630ish mt by 2020 and this plan aims to bring them back under 500. Does that sound about right?
In 2000 we emitted 496 mt of CO2,10 years later it is 543 my so we assume in another 10 years it will be 630 mt.Wow.
Or in 2008 Garnaut estimated the tax at $26 a tonne would earn ~ $8 billion rising to ~ 411 billion in 2022 but this year it will raise $11.5 billion in 2012/3.Ie 40% more even though from 2007 to 2010 the emissions have gone from 542 mt to a whopping 543 mt-less than 0.2% rise!
I hope that you can understand when some of us are underwhelmed.Frankly this is a wealth redistribution tax masquerading as an environmental tax.
The delicious irony is that both Rudd and Howard went to the 2007 election with plans for an ETS either of which would have done more for the environment-albeit at greater cost.Shows you what a great negotiator Bob Brown is.