You are blaming the RBA for your points being reduced. That's like blaming Smith and Wesson when someone gets shot.
Perhaps the blame sits with Qantas loyalty (and the other rewards partners) for charging the banks too much for rewards points in the first place?
Why don't Qantas (and the other airlines) reduce the amount they charge for points?
All banks, including Citi approached the FFPs to renegotiate lower rates on buying miles/points, to which many programs have dropped the rates to retain volume. Australia isn't the first country in the world to have interchange fees capped.
The net effect of all the changes from a commercial perspective is:
- Citi obtains a price break on buying loyalty points from FFPs
- Citi devalues their own outbound transfer rates to loyalty programs by 20-30%
- Citi devalues earn rate on international transactions by 40%, despite having increased the xe rate by ~10% in the past 18 months, making Citi the most expensive CC in the country for intl transactions
- The net effective rate for banks on a premium card changes from ~1.8% -> 0.8%, or a 66% decrease
- Citi took the opportunity to wipe out any decent earn on low earning merchant categories
- Citi changes come into effect June 15, while RBA changes are July 1, giving Citi 15 days of super-profits with high interchange and low rewards
Post-June 15 - if transaction volume remains constant and there is no consumer card churning - Citi will profit from these changes.
Let's not forget that Citi recently moved from 55 -> 44 days interest-free.
Citi also has their own breakage program model, and earns interest from some cardholders, so it's not like there's a direct link between a transaction and an airline point cost.
If all that wasn't enough - for the FFPs which don't have downward negotiated rates, the bank would still be paying the 'old rate', thus in effect proving they can survive at the current earn rates for consumers.
I think we'll find FFPs move towards more cobrand cards where they can get tap into easier bank sponsorship opportunities, interest, annual fees and the host airline marketing exposure.
Also, in markets where interchange took a hit - we're seeing annual fees almost wiped out as consumers refuse to accept them when direct spend benefits are simply not there any more. Citi will find it difficult to justify the overpriced annual fees moving forward.