Yes. That's a relevant point. I asked her about that. She said that the cleaners and gardeners were stopped weeks ago but can't establish whether all the deaths were after that happened. Certainly the most recent death was. The lack of resources in hospitals to deal with victims was a shock to them. He wasn't able to secure a ventilator although maybe that wouldn't have made a difference.I just wonder though if they were really isolating Friends of ours have family in South africa and have a cook,cleaner and gardener.Were those people still coming in?
Quite interesting to see the Royal Free hospital is going to run a trial infecting people with the live virus using up to 90x 18-30 year olds.
Ethics approval for Human Challenge study | Royal Free London
www.royalfree.nhs.uk
...Well at least you have a roadmap.
Even in places with little vaccine activity there has been a decrease in cases.
Could the reduction in infection rate in Americas, Europe, SE Asia etc. be attributed to a seasonal nature of the virus spread and those regions emerging from winter? Link that with the most recent extreme weather conditions in some places possibly having a similar effect to an enforced lock-down or perhaps reduced testing rates due to difficulty or unwillingness to venture out to a testing centre??I think that light I see in the tunnel isn't a speeding locomotive.
AFF Supporters can remove this and all advertisements
Which may explain why the infection rate in Brazil is a little more constant rather than in "waves"???Brazil doesnt really see weather extremes like parts of Europe and North America do, in Rio the temperature mid winter to mid summer only varies 10 degrees. The spread in Brazil has more to do with a large population living in very crowded conditions, often in favelas without running water making good hand hygiene and physical distancing problematic.
I notice Mexico hwve started rolling out Sputnik - id be concerned wbout Sputnik and Sinovax because of lack of independent review, they seem to be only using those in poorer places without universal healthcare.
I have seen reports suggesting the SA variant does not appear to be any more infectious than other strains, but that vaccines seem to be less effective against it.Except that South Africa has also dramatically declined despite the SA variant and well before any vaccine.
Peru and Chile slightly.
And Argentina significantly.
So not just a Northern hemisphere thing.
As to the recent US cold snap that is usually the weather that causes a spike in respiratory viral infections with people indoors.
Yes indeed. And as with many situations, there are lots of different factors involved that all interact.But staying at home is precisely the spot transmission is easiest.That is why respiratory viruses are more prevalent in winter.People don't go outside.
Though if you look at the daily case graphs for those countries that are dropping rapidly the graph turns at the beginning of January whether the middle of winter in the Northern hemisphere or the middle of summer in the Southern hemisphere.
The countries I displayed are all ones with high numbers of cases.So does herd immunity start kicking in at lower levels than expected.Or as some suggest there may be up to 10 times the number of cases than those officially recorded.
We still have a lot to learn about this virus.