Observations...
- Fundamentally, HSBC is selling Star Gold for $450.
- To make real use of the elite status, you must fly internationally.
- SQ is likely to pick up the bulk of the elites, and they have their own lounges in most places, so costs are likely within a tolerable range.
- If VA joined Star (they won't), the HSBC Star card would destroy the proposition on VA's own card portfolio in AU, and put 10,000's of new Gold members onto VA's planes, destroying their lounges and benefits all around.
- Elite status upfront on a credit card comes with significant financial risks to airlines and I suspect Australia is the test case.
- Airlines are facing a 'status cliff' whereby nearly 50% of elites are due for a status downgrade over the coming months, and giving out Star Silver/Gold via credit card in a market like Australia where the elite volumes are low, is probably justifiable by number of elites since so many will drop out in the coming months.
- Generally, status upfront on credit cards drives split useage, whereby the airline will gain more business from a broader range of people, and lose the long tail as people stop chasing status. Overall it's a bad thing for airlines since folks who earn status on merit are worth bucketloads more than those who take a couple flights year. Hotel status is good example of this strategy. Everyone and their dog has hotel gold status and it drives a few nights from some folks, but devalues the heck out of it for folks who can give more than a few nights a year to one brand. It works for hotel brands because they pass most costs on to property owners, airline are totally different econmics.
My guess is that HSBC is paying a lot of money to SQ (the primary beneficiary of the new card), using elite status as the key to breaking into the travel card space.
Many points here, but...
I suspect more card holders will opt for NZ than SQ just by virtue of the number of Kiwis in Australia and the fact that the most popular overseas destination for Australians is Aotearoa.
I do not believe this was done purely by HSBC - I suspect Star Alliance had a big part in the design of the scheme. They would not have done this if it were likely to be to the detriment of their members. They see this as a good opportunity, although only time will tell whether it works out for them.
Airlines seem to like having elites - as evidenced by SQ handing out status like smarties a year ago. So I don't see why VA would object to card holders claiming status with them - especially since they are likely to be infrequent flyers.
I don't believe many airline status holders chase status - I think it operates more as a golden handcuff to persuade existing status holders to use a particular airline based on the perks they will get when travelling. And for those who might nearly make it and squeeze in an extra flight to get over the line, I suspect they would still do that rather than take on the onerous challenge of attaining/retaining status through the HSBC card.
I do not believe this will open the floodgates to 10,000s of new golds. I think the number of people willing to pay $450 a year and channel $60,000 through a single credit card would be small. I know there are a handful of members here who put through hundreds of thousands or millions a year, but they are quite the exception.
VA sells membership to its own lounge network already. The fee of $400 is presumably not a million miles away from what HSBC would pay for a year of Star Gold.
Finally - yes, it is true that HSBC card holders would probably not be putting all their spend through the existing VA cards. But the HSBC card does still earn miles (albeit at a disappointing rate) and VA status holders would be likely to put their miles into Velocity if that's the airline they have status with. Most folk do not maintain a portfolio of points stashes across multiple airlines - and if HSBC tempts a points collector away from QF then this would be a win for VA.
I really cannot see how a Star Alliance card could be beneficial for existing Star Alliance airlines but be detrimental to VA were they to join.