A lot hinges on whether QR redemptions get devalued too.
Do you mean AmEx devalues the transfer rate or QR increases the cost to make a redemption? If the latter, well remember you can transfer your QR Avios to BA, Iberia and/or Aer Lingus at a 1 to 1 rate.
Very favorable 90k QR redemptions to Europe one way, but also using BA Avios MEL - SYD in J for 12,500 Avios and MEL - BNE J for 16,500 Avios. Better domestic opportunities with Avios than with SQ, though these were always bookable through QF too albeit for more points.
Correct, and what I will say is that if you are a points club member there are a number of ways to manufacture status credits on the cheap through QF award flights booked using your BA Avios (yes you can change your frequent flyer number on the ticket after booking by visiting the manage my booking section of the Royal Jordanian website and updating your traveller details).
For those thinking of transferring up to 3 years worth of points to SQ, just a reminder, SQ can change redemption rates with 21 days' notice. So, if the flight you're looking to book is more than a ~year in advance, just be mindful that you might end up needing more miles. SQ increases tend to be 10-20% ish at a time though, so you'd still probably come out ahead versus waiting and later converting from Amex to SQ under the 3:1 rate, given the 33% devaluation on conversion value / 50% increase in the number of MR points needed to book the same reward.
My mantra is never to transfer speculatively. Have a specific redemption (and ideally back up redemptions) in mind so that you can transfer and use them right away.
Everyone is talking about transfers to Avios which I still need to get my head around.
The key thing you need to get your head around with Avios is it isn't one program but
three four. A point in any of the four Avios programs (BA, Iberia, Qatar and Aer Lingus) can be converted between each other freely at a rate of 1 to 1. So those Qatar Avios points you got from an AmEx transfer can be used on four different programs. I should also point out that each of these programs have their own sweet spots. For instance, for short haul Australian flying, BA Avios can be a good value, particularly in coach. I mean 6,000 Avios to fly Sydney to Hobart is really good value. Further details on that
can be found here. Qatar business redemptions have a good sweet spot for long haul travel, I mean Sydney to London Heathrow is 90,000 Avios in business one-way. Further details on sweet spots with Qatar can
be found here. Iberia and Aer Lingus Avios are very good if you want to fly business class across the Atlantic (Europe <> North America). For instance,
you can fly Iberia from Chicago to Madrid for 34,000 Avios in business, one-way. And don't count out Aer Lingus either! I mean 13,000 Avios
to fly coach from the East Coast of North America to Ireland one-way with no carrier surcharges is a steal, heck not even Uncle Alan will let you fly QF from Sydney to Adelaide using that many QFF points!
What about some of the other programmes on offer such as CX, MH and the hotels (which offer through transfers to airline programs)
IMHO, they are only really a consideration when there is a transfer bonus, which last I checked happened during the Julia Gillard administration!
-RooFlyer88