<snip>
You think? So you are not a scientist. OK...
I am not a scientist, but I know if scientists peer review each other, pick on each other, until they can no longer pick on each other because there is nothing else which can be picked on, that is how scientists come to conclusions (and people who do medical research). And anyone who does not agree with this process is like a doctor telling them their leg is broken because the X-RAY is 95% clear but they argue that there is a dot on the X-ray which is not clear hence their leg is not broken.
Actually, I am a scientist, and have the magical 'peer reviewed papers' and everything
. But lest that fact impresses anyone at all, a word about these 'peer reviewed papers' you hear so much about these days. The trick you see, is to send it to the journal with the 'right' editor - that is, one who agrees with your line of thinking. He sends the paper out to the mates for review and they agree with it because I've cited them a lot in the study. Then when one of the mates sends one of their papers in, I'll probably be on the review panel, 'cause I'm a peer, and well, look at that, they've cited me all over the place. Must be right. And so on. Round and round we go and all our SCI indexes go off the scale.
I can sort of agree with your analogy of 95% vs 5% and the weight you might put on the '5%' type of evidence.
Most 'climate change' studies have used data using no longer time span than 300 years. Some have used evidence over the last 500 years. Some longer. So, 500 years is 0.00005% of 1 billion years, which is about when we got an atmosphere about the same as now and 1/3 of the time where the planet has had a plate tectonic environment. Most studies purporting to find anthropomorphic climate change are sort of like observing traffic on a highway for 10 seconds in a day and concluding that there is or isn't a traffic problem, depending on the particular 10 seconds chosen.
That doesn't bother me that much - there is a lot of cough science done, and published, believe me - as long as I'm not forced to pay for the conclusions. Qantas doesn't force me to pay for 'carbon offsets' so I'm perfectly content with that situation.