I have the explorer. Based on the info everyone has posted I am assuming that I will not be eligible for any increase in points balance. So thinking I might as well clear out my Amex points at a better value before April. With our known trips in the next 3 years being within Australia and NZ and unlikely anywhere else, i am reluctant to speculatively transfer to Krisflyer, Asia Miles, etc. I may be forced to transfer to virgin in the current transfer bonus (though my velocity point balance is already higher than I’d like so this is less than ideal). Have used Etihad Guest miles to book virgin flights a lot recently and got some great value, but concerned about transferring too much to sit in Etihad Guest as I am not sure how safe the Etihad Guest program is or how safe virgin is as a long term partner in the Etihad Guest program. I would easily spend the miles over next 3 years getting good value if I knew they would be safe there. Any thoughts in having a large Etihad Guest balance?