What's your prediction on the Australian Dollar?

my friend in Switzerland bought a house a few years ago... I think that would have put them at about 10 years of residency before they were allowed to buy. But IIRC there's a whole bunch of limitations around them selling (and something about them not being able to sell for a profit or something in the next 10 years... ie, no property market speculation). (well... it's something typically 'Swiss'... whatever the exact details are)

Basically, if you sell within ten years of buying and don't use the money to buy another house to live in, you are liable for CGT. After ten years, no CGT. The Germans have a similar rule, and it helps to keep property prices down.

The Swiss, as a society and culture, seriously have their **** together. Mostly because they've got a proper democracy and sense of community, rather than the sort of "elective dictatorships" and dog-eat-dog attitude favoured in the contemporary Anglo worlds.

whats wrong with allowing foreigners to buy here even if they have no intention of living here? we allow Australians to buy property they have no intention of living in, and for the sole intention of investing and making money out of people paying rent (and therefore paying the mortgage of the owner).

Firstly, because there are a phenomenal number of wealthy foreigners who want to get dirty and/or potentially utterly worthless paper money into real assets in a country with a stable country.
Secondly, because we have a hopelessly choked supply. If supply were sufficiently elastic, then zillions of people buying empty houses would be irrelevant because they wouldn't be driving up prices for locals. (EDIT: and hopeless underinvestment in infrastructure - adequate infrastructure is also required to make our very high population growth workable.)
Thirdly, because if property were treated sanely by the taxation system, then houses being bought and left empty would attract suitable taxes to discourage such a gross and inefficient waste of resources, keeping prices and rent down, rather than encouraging it and keeping prices and rent up.
 
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Heh, unlike Australia where tax evasion is practically a national sport (negative gearing, superannuation concessions, novated leasing, etc) and we send most of our exports to China.

Doesn't read like tax evasion/haven to me.
 
RBA has given up on lowering Aussie Dollar.
RBA has lost fight for lower Australian dollar
I find it most amusing that our so called 'totally independent RBA' started it's 'jawboning' campaign immediately after last change of govt - would have nothing to do with the Nats searching for ever higher returns to their whingeing whineing rural supporters? Nah that would never happen!
 
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I read somewhere that Chinese buyers are leaving homes and apartments empty.

We have had a unit in south brisbane/west end brisbane for a few years - the number of empty units is quite surprising. Asked real estate agent why so..apparently it's to do with their children wanting to go to State High when they are old enough and only those that 'live' locally can enrol there.. good forward thinking?
 
I prefer forward thinking on the Oz dollar however It would not stop anyone from buying when required especially that a real estate bubble is predicted to burst?


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Well, they can adjust tax policy - NZ did.
I am keen on them fixing the oil/petrol/avgas refining mess that leaves us in the lurch.
But any which way, the AUD closely tracks the CAD. It is FANTASIC that by protecting trains and railways and ports for state govt sales/monopolies, high cost export volume is being cut, defeating RBA jawboning. In a years time, that could change.
 
We have had a unit in south brisbane/west end brisbane for a few years - the number of empty units is quite surprising. Asked real estate agent why so..apparently it's to do with their children wanting to go to State High when they are old enough and only those that 'live' locally can enrol there.. good forward thinking?

Sounds like another Baby Boomer taking advantage of the first home bonus by buying in their kids name.
 
With the currency at 0.9427 instead of 0.85 where the RBA wanted it a lot of opportunities inside Australia are being snuffed out for businesses trying to export.
Nothing we can do about it but it means more business failures and wage rise moderation in the private sector are coming.
It was meant to be more expensive to be an overseas tourist in 2014 but that is what we get from a high Australian dollar.
Just enjoy being a tourist and we can worry about the future later.
 
I reckon it's a long way off in time and rate before we see it where it need to be.
 
Gotta happy New Year email from our banker today - with a year that was....

The Financial Markets year that was:

· Reserve Bank decreased rates by held the official cash steady at 2.50%pa
· Australian Dollar started the year at just under AUD/USD = 92.75 and is now close to AUD/USD =94.20 up 1.6%;
· Aussie Sharemarket (ASX 200) has rallied up from 4,803, points to currently today 5,396 points up 12.3%;
· Economic Growth for the year was up at 3.5% and Underlying Inflation was lower at 2.7%.
 
Gotta happy New Year email from our banker today - with a year that was....

The Financial Markets year that was:

· Reserve Bank decreased rates by held the official cash steady at 2.50%pa
· Australian Dollar started the year at just under AUD/USD = 92.75 and is now close to AUD/USD =94.20 up 1.6%;
· Aussie Sharemarket (ASX 200) has rallied up from 4,803, points to currently today 5,396 points up 12.3%;
· Economic Growth for the year was up at 3.5% and Underlying Inflation was lower at 2.7%.

despite all the doom and gloom the place is not doing too bad....!!!
 

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