AFF's 175,000th post thread....

[JohnK]

Dates & Times are AEDST. To make it interesting, all predictions must be entered by midnight (23:59:59), AEDST, Sunday 05 April 2009. Deleted posts do not count, only actual posts!

Closest guess to actual post time will win - regardless of whether the guess is earlier or later than the posting time. Winner will have name engraved in Winner's Podium honour roll.

Good luck to all.

The Australian Frequent Flyer Online Community Statistics - Posts: 169,064

 

[serfty]

Data Point!

Threads: 11,513, Posts: 169,360, Members: 14,507

 

[Flashback]

Wed 22 April, 2pm

 

[JohnK]

Threads: 11,577, Posts: 170,283, Members: 14,605

 

[Alanslegal]

April 29th @ 1:10pm AEST

 

[JohnK]

Only 4 days to go before predictions close....

Threads: 11,651, Posts: 171,546, Members: 14,720

 

[kpc]

19th April 4pm AEST:mrgreen:

 

[Mwenenzi]

Data Point
Threads: 11,676, Posts: 172,080, Members: 14,752

2 days 4 hours to closing time

 

[JohnK]

Anyone waiting for more statistical data before posting a prediction?

 

[Hvr]

Anyone waiting for more statistical data before posting a prediction? 3rd April 2009 07:59 PM

Yes please JohnK, then I can appear to study the data and make a SWAG and still be completely wrong.

But hey we have some fun and that is all that matters.

 

[oz_mark]

Anyone waiting for more statistical data before posting a prediction?

Absoluetly, if someone can publish the time series data going back a year that would be good.

 

[Mwenenzi]

Absoluetly, if someone can publish the time series data going back a year that would be good.

Like this (all public knowledge on this web site)

The 10,000th post was on 26/09/05
The 20,000th post was on 05/02/06 (132 days & 76 posts per day since post 10,000)
The 30,000th post was on 08/05/06 (102 days & 98 posts per day since post 20,000)
The 40,000th post was on 06/09/06 (111 days & 90 posts per day since post 30,000)
The 50,000th post was on 30/11/06 (85 days & 118 posts per day since post 40,000)
The 60,000th post was on 06/03/07 (96 days & 104 posts per day since post 50,000)
The 70,000th post was on 23/05/07 (78 days & 128 posts per day since post 60,000)
The 80,000th post was on 18/08/07 (87 days & 114 posts per day since post 70,000)
The 90,000th post was on 14/11/07 (88 days & 114 posts per day since post 80,000)
The 100,000th post was on 03/01/08 (77 days & 130 posts per day since post 90,000)
The 110,000th post was on 16/04/08 (77 days & 130 posts per day since post 100,000) (9506 members)
The 120,000th post was on 02/07/08 (77 days & 130 posts per day since post 110,000) (10439 members)
The 130,000th post was on 06/09/08 (66 days & 152 posts per day since post 120,000) (11379 members)
The 140,000th post was on 20/10/08 (44 days & 229 posts per day since post 130,000) (12111 members)
The 150,000th post was on 12/12/08 (54 days & 187 posts per day since post 140,000) (12841 members)
The 160,000th post was on 08/02/09 (58 days & 172 posts per day since post 150,000) (13598 members)
The 170,000th post was on 26/03/09 (46 days & 219 posts per day since post 160,000) (14578 members)


Edit:
The time stamp on the web site has not been adjusted for day light saving

 

[oz_mark]

Like this (all public knowledge on this web site)

Was thinking of a spreadsheet showing the number of posts each day for the last year! hahaha

Edit:
The time stamp on the web site has not been adjusted for day light saving

Times look ok to me. Looks like Johnk specified AEDST even though daylight saving has finished!

 

[JohnK]

Was thinking of a spreadsheet showing the number of posts each day for the last year! hahaha

And this is going to help you to determine future posting trends?

Times look ok to me. Looks like Johnk specified AEDST even though daylight saving has finished!

Cut and paste with poor editiing....

 

[oz_mark]

And this is going to help you to determine future posting trends?

Well economists and financial planners rake in big $$$ doing just that. Then laughingly putiing in a disclaimer saying that past peformance is no indicator of future performance.

Cut and paste with poor editiing....

I call it Editor Inheritance.

 

[Mwenenzi]

Was thinking of a spreadsheet showing the number of posts each day for the last year! hahaha

Have close to that as have been recording and graphing data for the xx,000 post contests since Jan 2008. Not every day but once a week more or less. Post rates are increasing.

Guess 18:05 21/04/09

 

[serfty]

Threads: 11,694, Posts: 172,378, Members: 14,776

My Guess, Sat 18th April, 10am. (AEST)

 

[Hvr]

Friday 17 April at 2035 hours

 

[drron]

Friday 17th at 1623.

 

[JohnK]

18 April 2009 @ 8:35pm AEST

Less than 2 hours to go before predictions close....