11 days out from D-Day, I seriosuly doubt a KF offfer will come through,If you've made the decision to transfer out and aren't expecting a further large addition from last minute spending, I'd move them out early to be safe rather than sorry in case there is some sort of system problem. Whilst this is different to what happened with SPG last year where the gate was arbitrarily closed, it's quite possible for there to be system issues and you don't want to be arguing for Amex to make good on it later.
Whilst AFF doesn't necessarily represent the broader Amex member base, it certainly represents the views of more engaged MR customers. Likely the bulk of points will flow to KF. Some have been holding out for a KF offer - you never know but they're likely going to get the bulk of MR points so they don't need to entice us in the same way as QF and VA have given their businesses are more addicted to the FF point hit for profitability (my 2 cents worth anyway).
Icertainly will make sure that I will be transferring early PLUS nearing to the nearest 5000 points as well, as chances after that my points earn will be virtually zero