PineappleSkip
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There is a difference between those who are stranded because they can't afford an economy airfare and those who are are in mortal fear of remaining. And the way things are panning out right now, I don't see huge additional demands on Australia's capacity. The reportage today was 100 Australians, 100 family members, and 300-400 locals.And apparently we are now able to significantly increase quarantine capacity to bring in many more people being evacuated from Afghanistan. While I have no problem bringing in the evacuees, I wonder why we couldn't have expanded quarantine capacity over the past year to bring back those stranded overseas.
What I have heard about the people being evacuated from Afghanistan who are seeking refugee status is that they will be evacuated to third countries where their claims to asylum will be assessed, with the third countries, of course, carrying the can if they don't qualify. I'd expect these will be most of the 300-400, because anyone who gets a visa gets out reasonably quickly. Don't expect the asylum seekers to arrive in a hurry.
I don't expect (but hope) rapid movement for those who are Australians. I have three colleagues trapped in Kabul at the moment, and they are unable to get out on commercial flights (they were booked out on a TK flight a couple of days ago that didn't fly) and have difficulty getting to the airport for flights. Well I guess that makes them stranded overseas, they just happen to be stranded in a country just taken over by the TB, and for some reason they are very edgy about this. Possibly because they and I know other colleagues who were killed in TB attacks - I am only alive now because I was out of the country when one of these attacks occurred.
I have helped several Afghan colleagues over the years - as a referee or provider of support letters - in their efforts to get out. They are employees of US or UK contractors who are harassed by the Taliban. The threats are typically along the lines of "we know who you work for and we will kill you", or alternatively "we will kill your family". The threats come with information that proves that the TB do indeed know who they are, who their family are, and that they are being watched. They come by text message, in person or are nailed to your door - disconcerting when you think you have a low profile. And they all know of others who have been kidnapped, or gunned down. I have seen what this constant harassment does to them psychologically.
If we have capacity to put them in HQ once they escape all this, good for us. One of my colleagues is a kiwi, who is now expecting, once he hopefully gets out, to be waiting till next year for an MIQ place. So it could be worse.
Cheers skip