Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

[lovetravellingoz]

Just an update on the latest Mildura case who was infected at the MCG.

The exposure site list has just been updated, and based on what has so far been posted it would seem likely that he had maintained isolation for the period after he would have known that he may have possibly been exposed.

 

[MooTime]

And any chance the couple of people sniping at each other constantly in this thread can give it a break? Perhaps stepping away from constantly being in this thread might be a good idea.

Best thing I did was recently put the Sydney Mayor on block.
Total save on my time. Something I've never did before, but really I prefer to take the garbage out once a day!

 

[love_the_life]

Just saw Glad on the ABC news - seemed to be trying to shift the responsibility to Chant for the decisions.

 

[kpc]

And any chance the couple of people sniping at each other constantly in this thread can give it a break? Perhaps stepping away from constantly being in this thread might be a good idea.

Agree 100%
...LTO and L75 we are tired of your sniping at each other!

 

[lovetravellingoz]

Evidently the Mildura Man had tested negative earlier in the week, before testing positive after going to Mildura ED. As a result of this all those on Level 2 of the Member's Reserve have evidently now been asked to get tested again.

 

[burmans]

Agree 100%
...LTO and L75 we are tired of your sniping at each other!

I am reminded of the quote about insanity. If you haven’t convinced someone of your argument after repeating it 5 times, repeating it 50 or 500 won’t help.

 

[hydrabyss]

Evidently the Mildura Man had tested negative earlier in the week, before testing positive after going to Mildura ED. As a result of this all those on Level 2 of the Member's Reserve have evidently now been asked to get tested again.

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So if he has been tested already he must have been in isolation since then or are they allowed back out into the public once receiving a negative. If he was allowed back out then that would explain why Dan stated locking down regional areas was needed. Hopefully he is the only one and it goes no further.

 

[N860CR]

Just for some perspective, the current daily infection rate in NSW is averaging 0.000012% of the state population with 0.000004% of the population active in the community while infectious. Based on all the commentary (especially from interstate politicians and the tabloid media) the NSW lockdown has been "too soft" and "not effective", however seems to have flatlined at the above figures. On average, the positivity rate of daily tests is returning at 0.0014% compared to figures in other outbreaks in more developed countries (for instance, in the United States or South Africa) of 20-30%. In developing countries (PNG as an example) the positivity rate was well over 30%.

Breakout? Not really. And it seems to be fairly controlled even with our horribly "light" lockdown.

 

[drron]

And for a little more perspective I posted on another thread the results in LA County.Their vaccination rates-
July 14: 51.03% for whole county
65 and older: 64.2%
50-64: 70.2%
18-49: 59.5%
12-17: 36.8%

Population is just under 10 million compared to just over 5 million for greater Sydney.But just look at how many positive cases are occurring in vaccinated pax there per week-


So this would mean Sydney on those numbers in week 5 would have 2400 cases,74 hospitalisations and 7 deaths.The numbers above are the coughulative numbers so subtract the June 15 figures from the July 13th figures. The number of fully vaccinated people is just below the population of Greater Sydney.
However those numbers are only in vaccinated people and they make up just 1% of the cases in LA county.

L.A. County sees new significant rise in COVID-19 cases, 99% involved the unvaccinated

The tally marks the fourth consecutive day that new cases totaled more than 1,000, health officials said.

www.latimes.com

So compared to LA county Sydney is doing very well despite much lower vaccination numbers.

 

[trevella]

Just for some perspective, the current daily infection rate in NSW is averaging 0.000012% of the state population with 0.000004% of the population active in the community while infectious. Based on all the commentary (especially from interstate politicians and the tabloid media) the NSW lockdown has been "too soft" and "not effective", however seems to have flatlined at the above figures. On average, the positivity rate of daily tests is returning at 0.0014% compared to figures in other outbreaks in more developed countries (for instance, in the United States or South Africa) of 20-30%. In developing countries (PNG as an example) the positivity rate was well over 30%.

Breakout? Not really. And it seems to be fairly controlled even with our horribly "light" lockdown.

Just for comparison purposes… Tokyo’s positivity rate is currently running at around 9%. And around 1% of people in England and Scotland *currently* have COVID.

 

[bcworld]

Tik tok: 109 cases to be announced tomorrow

 

[jase05]

Herald Sun saying Victoria lockdown to be extended to possibly next Wednesday


Victorians will be confined to their homes for several more days, with the state’s snap lockdown likely to extend until at least Friday and potentially next Wednesday.
Health chiefs and senior ministers are expected to make the final call on the length of the extension within 24 hours, with some wanting to leave the decision until as late as possible and others arguing businesses and schools need early warning.

The five-day shutdown – the state’s fifth lockdown since the pandemic started – was due to end at 11.59pm Tuesday.

But there are still major concerns over potential “super-spreading” exposure sites such as the England-Italy Euro final party at the Crafty Squire, the Carlton-Geelong game at the MCG, Wallabies-France game at AAMI Park, and six trams on routes 48, 72, 75 and 109.

 

[kpc]

Tik tok: 109 cases to be announced tomorrow

MoH clearly don't mind this info "leaking" out.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

So if he has been tested already he must have been in isolation since then or are they allowed back out into the public once receiving a negative.

It will depend on where he was seated, plus if he visited the Percy Beames Bar were Tier 1 and had to Quarantine

It was in addition to the bar, a select group that were Tier 1 (presumably those sitting near 60's man):

It is now :
Tier 1 Percy Beames Bar still, plus all in N40-46 (So seven whole bays) and anyone who entered Gate 2 between 3.53 and 4.06pm (You scan a QR Code on entry, or are at least meant to)

 

[Saab34]

Tik tok: 109 cases to be announced tomorrow

Many people are saying this early release is helping in reduce people’s anxiety in the lead up to the 11am grandstanding.

Wish we had this last year in Melbourne.

 

[SydneySwan]

Many people are saying this early release is helping in reduce people’s anxiety in the lead up to the 11am grandstanding.

Wish we had this last year in Melbourne.

It is certainly very helpful in deciding whether to watch the 11am presser. I can safely pass for tomorrow now.

 

[JessicaTam]

Many people are saying this early release is helping in reduce people’s anxiety in the lead up to the 11am grandstanding.

Wish we had this last year in Melbourne.

Vic numbers are released about 9am each day, regardless of when the press conference is. This has been the process for some time.

 

[moa999]

MoH clearly don't mind this info "leaking" out.

Given Gladys previously used to also release 8am numbers at 11am (until addition and subtraction became difficult for journos) there is clearly an internal report circulated say 2hrs after the 8am/pm cutoff that collates numbers from the few labs, which Tiktok man and his friend are getting access to.

The more important number of those in the community, is delayed 12hrs for contact tracers to call everyone who tested positive.

With increased testing numbers it seems we are operating with an R rate just under 1.
The new settings should drop it further.

 

[moa999]

And around 1% of people in England and Scotland *currently* have COVID.

Bit under that - 58,000 new cases of 66m popn.
Which is still 1 in 1100... And I think Delta has much quicker positive and shorter incubation period.

And there are 140,000 maskless people at the F1 race today.. and similar high numbers and recent football and Wimbledon.. it's no wonder it's growing.

 

[jakeseven7]

Vic numbers are released about 9am each day, regardless of when the press conference is. This has been the process for some time.

8:30 on the dot usually which is much better than 11am and letting all the news channels stress people out for 2.5 hours more al though high rating breakfast TV and radio. Which is another reason why VIC releases then.

Anyway looks like another +100 day for NSW which is not good news and VIC’s definitely going to extend their lockdown which again is not good news but probably prudent.

109 predicted for NSW.

——

Hours after his appearance, he posted across his channels his prediction for Monday’s case numbers: 109.

Covid TikTok guy’s latest ‘prediction’

TikTok comedian Jon-Bernard Kairouz has predicted Monday’s case numbers hours after appearing on Ten’s Sunday Project hailing himself the “People’s Premier”.

www.news.com.au