3 dead in 10,000. The restrictions are doing far more damage than that.
For some context, Australia has had approx 22,000 deaths from other causes in the 7 weeks of lockdown
Well, if we significantly soften lockdown measures not even remove
all of them, there will be much more then 22K deaths per 7 weeks.
This is because of miserable state of healthcare system we got.
If all ICU beds will be filled (and they will be) with covid patients, and large number of staff knocked out ill from their duties, far more ppl will die - a direct impact on the ability to do major surgery, to look after someone after a car accident, or with sepsis, or a heart attack, or a stroke, or a diabetic emergency, or a complicated seizure, or who have taken an overdose, or who bleed seriously whilst they are having a baby.
ICU capability isn’t limited by what’s wrong with you. It’s not even usually limited by the number of beds or the number of ventilator. ICU capacity is mostly limited by the number of nursing staff available to care for you.
Its is ratio of ICU beds and doctors per million is ridiculous in Australia, not lockdown and closed borders, and that is the thing that should have been addressed right from March 2020.
So we don’t reopen because a casual may get sick?
no, because in an unvaccinated population, in NSW, about 10% of covid cases need to be admitted to hospital.
Of these, about 1/3 need to be admitted into ICU.
That means that for every 30 patients who get covid (who aren’t vaccinated), 3 need admitting to hospital, and on average 1 needs admitting to ICU (and is likely to be there for over a week).
ICU capacity in large Base Hospitals in regional areas in NSW is up to about 4 ventilated patients, and ICU’s in regional areas often run at 100% capacity even during ‘business as usual’.
So, as a very rough estimation, each 30 Covid cases in a regional area risks blocking about a quarter of the ICU capacity.
We don’t need much covid to overwhelm a health care system ESPECIALLY in regional parts of Australia.
it’s about being realistic and accepting the way things are.
You can't get more realistic when you came in terms with sobering facts about our healthcare system. THAT is what we need to accept as given unfortunately.
We need to forget about the misleading mantra "Australia has one of the most advanced health system in the world"...
It is simply not true. Nor its true for UK, US where ppl were left to die at home without any simple help as common occurrence.
This is what lies at the very bottom of any discussion on this forum - what ever moves our govts can resource to, right or wrong, vaccinate or not vaccinate - its all comes down to and limited by inadequate underfunded and unable healthcare.
Wrongly established from the scratch and outdated.
Backbone of which are just private GP's googling diagnosis right in front of you in their suburban boxes, and not centralized major state hospitals where diagnostic, pathology and any other examination, surgeries and rehub all happens quick and efficient under the same roof.
nobody is advocating removing all restrictions. The restrictions in NSW are amongst the harshest in the world and they don’t reflect the level of risk.
unfortunately they are, as risk is enormous expressed in ppls lives lost, not emotional trauma financial loss from restrictions.
The fact that people can’t see their own families at the moment is ridiculous. Especially when more than a quarter of the population is fully vaccinated and the vulnerable have had six months to do it.
Unfortunately even with high vaccination rates there still be thousands of lives lost based on real life examples. In US where jab campaign is far more successful now with D variant hospitals still on brink of collapse right now.
Mississippi's Hospital System Could Collapse Within 10 Days Under COVID's Strain
Oregon’s COVID-19 hospitalizations could soar to about 1,100, double previous high
Australia leads the world in the number of tests we do, and I think we are overdoing it
Based on what, sorry?
Australia is actually low in tests, just enough to get by- number 51 in the world.
Just sort this table by tests per million criteria:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
And yes - I get the point you are making in your posts.
I am also sick of restrictions more then majority of ppl here as I am based in qld and employed in WA doing FIFO so you can imagine what a pain it is for family every time I have to leave for another rotation 2 weeks in advance or find my way via TAS on recently NT...
We are also first generation here in Australia with ALL our extended families overseas and I lost hope to hug them for years.
But I am still think even a few years of pain still worth if we can in any way minimize number of families
lost loved ones due to Covid-19 virus At the end of the day this is the only thing really matters.