Cancelled flights & waivers due to Cyclone Alfred

Kefci2000

Kefci2000

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Well gusts to 89 mph and sustained 59kph. Getting high but should be fine.
Meanwhile the wind forecast for Friday at 9am when our flight is scheduled is totally different to 24 hours ago. Gusts to 59 mph and sustained 35 mph. So likely the flight will go on Friday. Should have waited before canceling.

Alfred has come back onto the BOM radar. Quite a way south of us now.
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drron said:
Well gusts to 89 mph and sustained 59kph. Getting high but should be fine.
Meanwhile the wind forecast for Friday at 9am when our flight is scheduled is totally different to 24 hours ago. Gusts to 59 mph and sustained 35 mph. So likely the flight will go on Friday. Should have waited before canceling.

Alfred has come back onto the BOM radar. Quite a way south of us now.
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That’s not Alford on the BOM radar, it’s out of range, but rather a band of storms stretching from Lord Howe westwards, both are visible on the sat, Alford looks like a tumor at the bottom of the circle abeam OOL. The storms are part of Alfords effect thanks to the high pressure cell east of tas, they are moving west while Alford is ESE

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My house is DIRECTLY in the predicted tracking path. One could not draw that tracking line any closer to my place except perhaps if using a thinner line.

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Hatches battened down ...
 
4pm map confirms the turn and run for the coast. I'm still expecting to fly into BNE on Wednesday night and pick up 2 slabs of beer and 2 rolls of gaffa tape.IDQ65001.png
 
Update by BOM at 5 pm QLD time. Confirmed that it has changed course and headed to BNE.
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And good news for @NM. The line has moved a little south of your place. Best to be north of the cyclone.
And BOM radar shows what I have been showing is following the cyclone track. First 4pm.
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Then 5pm.
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NM said:
My house is DIRECTLY in the predicted tracking path. One could not draw that tracking line any closer to my place except perhaps if using a thinner line.



Hatches battened down ...
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Looks like it’s trending south, would not be surprised if reality sees it cross south of the CBD, probably Redlands City
 
markis10 said:
Looks like it’s trending south, would not be surprised if reality sees it cross south of the CBD, probably Redlands City
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Keeping an "eye" on it, so to speak. Most of the bad weather normally splits around Redcliffe as it approaches - but that is normally from the opposite direction with Deception Bay and Bramble Bay sucking the weather towards the water masses.
 
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Kefci2000 said:
Waiver Policies:
Qantas

Virgin Australia:

Tropical Cyclone Alfred updates

www.virginaustralia.com www.virginaustralia.com
JetStar:
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Jetstar slightly better than Virgin. I booked my $73 JQ ticket to bne this morning (for Wednesday pm) and have been given flexibility; wouldn't if I'd booked Virgin (edit..or booked QFA). Contrary to most, if cyclone moves away I'll cancel.
 
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drron said:
Update by BOM at 5 pm QLD time. Confirmed that it has changed course and headed to BNE.


And good news for @NM. The line has moved a little south of your place. Best to be north of the cyclone.
And BOM radar shows what I have been showing is following the cyclone track. First 4pm.
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Indeed the predicted track line has been steadily moving south. Very happy to watch it pass to our south from a northern vantage point. But the further south is tracks, the closer it aligns to my elderly mother's home and the surrounding trees. Cyclones making land-fall is never a good experience for those nearby. This is probably going to be the most populated area Australia has ever had a cyclone land crossing. Last time one his near Brisbane was 1974 (Zoe) and the population in the region has grown significantly in that time (grown in number, not just in size/weight).

Thankfully its likely to be cat 2 and quickly reduce to 1 followed by classification of a tropical storm and rain depression. Australia has seen some much more powerful systems cross into populated areas in the past.
 
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drron said:
New update an hour ago and forecast predicting landfall has moved a little more south than the previous update.
View attachment 434004

As I have cancelled our NZ trip my prediction is that it will continue to move further south and BNE will be open on Friday. ;)
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It looks like the eye will pass over my house, BNE northern suburbs. Worried about the high winds.
 
Now about 48 hours left to decide when/where to clear out of the house to somewhere else for a few days, or longer.

Not too keen on getting trapped by rising floodwater, no electricity/aircon, no running water, etc.
 
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I was travelling to BNE for a conference, but don't need to fly anymore since it is now cancelled.

I contacted VA for my flight to BNE - they issued a travel credit without too much fuss, despite me cancelling my trip 1 hr before departure.

I was due to fly QF out of BNE - travel credit issued but I need to call and pay $99 if I want to use it??
 

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