I've been thinking about this for weeks (well, since Feb anyway) and here's what I've got so far:Has anyone taken the emotions and frustration out of their thinking and thought about what life would rationally look like in Australia with no vaccine and continued suppression and long term (years) border closures? Would be just readjust our economy to minimize imports remove international tourism and grow domestic production. Almost a throwback to Australia's manufacturing era, albeit with much less spending as things will be more expensive. . Will leisure travel overseas become obsolete? If the world doesn't get this under control soon this might happen? Thoughts?
There are going to be two groups of people
- Those that are able to think about this in the long term
- Everyone else (the vast majority) who rationally can think in terms of days (99%), weeks (90%), months (50%) but not years (5% or less)
There are going to be two groups of people
- Everything will go back to the way it was (most people)
- Even if it takes some time to get there
- Everything will fundamentally change
- Even if those changes take some time to permeate our social fabric
There are going to be two groups of people
- This is an unimaginable tragedy that we won't be able to go back to how things were
- This is an unimaginable tragedy and an opportunity to make changes that lead into a different path in the future
If you haven't worked out already I have to work with computers (and people) for a living and you often have to bring everything down to some binary option to get a decision even if real life is analog and not digital..
There's a (small?) group of people (perhaps a much larger one in the US) that still hold the thought process that you can 'have this and get over it and get through the other side'. I can understand why they might think this way but in my thoughts I cannot think of:
- Anyone who was a survivor of or a relative/family member of a survivor of the Holocaust that could think like this
- Anyone who served in the military in WW1 or WW2 who would do it all over again 'to get to the other side'
The numbers and projections of what could happen in NSW were difficult to comprehend and I assume most people (for the sake of their sanity) simply would prefer not to think about it (e.g. 25K deaths was one projection).
Will Australia need to change ? Absolutely. Are we at the point where that conversation is happening ? I don't think so. Will the change be driven by 'decision makers' at the top of a hierarchy ? I really doubt it.
Is it a chance to address a number of societal problems, inequities and issues ? Absolutely.
Should we address these issues ? Some people don't think so and others do..