Major changes to Velocity Frequent Flyer announced 17/10/24

Agree, I still feel all these totally negative large program changes THIS year of all years, are dumber than dirt for Virgin. And many here concur very clearly.

HEAPS of folks nationally will simply fly Jetstar, use miles, or at worst, book only Lite fares when they finally wake up to the real changes. Masses of once loyal and happy Virgin flyers have not had the Penny Drop yet, that it will now cost them ~$5000 a year to keep Gold etc.

All this loses Virgin money - and all will manifest itself in a short period of time.

This changes will NOT make them extra money overall, that is the weird thing. Had they touched nothing at Velocity until the IPO, market share would have stayed about the same. Now it will clearly drop, weakening that juicy IPO pot of money.

All Bain want is cash, and to ride out of town carrying as much of it in their American saddlebags as they can fit in.

The SMART thing to do if anyone in there reads the wind, is the loosening of many of the crazy LG rules, and hand out a lot more LG cards than they budgeted for. FAST. That costs them zero, and will placate many, and plugs the dike a bit.

Add in Family Pooling, and remove the loopy '75% must be Virgin flights' wording, and many past very loyal flyers will make the cut. Give a lot of folks shiny LG cards, and they will not be galloping over to Jetstar/Qantas. Human nature. Carrot and Stick - right now there is just stick.

Seems like the LG scheme is not totally set in stone now, and THIS is the time to ease off, on some of the fine details to stem some inevitable bleeding of revenue and paid seats during 2025. The more loyal Virgin Elite tier flyers urge this to be loosened up, the higher the chance it will be reviewed. :D

Certainly seems like they weren't necessarily thinking ahead from a communication or a marketing opportunity though. If this was intended to be an awesome marketing opportunity any normal loyalty scheme would have done the calculation and the maths and announced to people how close they were to Lifetime Gold and had that information ready to roll out on the Velocity website, instead we get this rather reluctant process to email a generic address and get a generic PDF of your status history. All that does is hide the changes/info from the uninformed/disengaged members and makes the more informed/engaged customers look at their spend, look at what the airline and loyalty scheme is now compared to what it was, and then sit down and do the maths on the lower earn rate for some fares which have only been going in one direction since Covid. Add to that only one reasonable international partner and the loss of many other partner airlines, routes and frequency and many lounges, and Velocity is looking like a pretty marginal proposition even compared to the Qantas Frequent Flyer scheme! Without Singapore Airlines and Krisflyer options Velocity would be dead to me already.

Seems very much like the Bain finance revenue people have made the decision, got their bonuses and KPI's and are now sitting around asking if someone from the loyalty and customer retention teams should be brought into the room or not. A sort of ex-post-facto consideration.

I am another dual Qantas and Velocity Gold awaiting for my Velocity history to arrive by email, and will have the Amex Virgin lounge entry with BFOD Y and J fares as an option on the table once I earn/retain Qantas Gold for the year. In my particular situation it might be the best of both worlds if Qantas is gouging in the future then I have Virgin as an option with lounge access and slowly sneaking up to Lifetime Gold if close enough, and with Qantas having a much better reach internationally than Virgin as far as partners and lounge access goes, I'm still comfortable flying enough with Qantas to retain Gold annually (but probably not Platinum as its just too high a hurdle for my own circumstances). More international flying and less Family Pooling opportunities (as the kids grow up and move out) also swings the equation away from Velocity and I suspect that I'm not the only one in that position.

I've typically been in the foot in each camp when Virgin was a genuine contender with more partners and seeking my business with the added bonus of keeping Qantas honest competitively, but with Bain having their own agenda, and almost actively discouraging flying with them on certain fare types, it would seem that Qantas will be the beneficiary of my decision-making process if the maths for Velocity don't add up for me anymore.

Maybe once Bain and Qatar have exited the stage, new management at Virgin and Velocity might be reconfiguring things and give themselves a chance to win back my spend with them.
 
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Maybe once Bain and Qatar have exited the stage, new management at Virgin and Velocity might be reconfiguring things and give themselves a chance to win back my spend with them.
But the question is who.

I don't think the infamous historical "tyre kicker" that is Singapore Airlines will be interested considering they've lost billions on their Australian investments across Ansett, Tiger Airways and Virgin Australia 1.0.

Singapore was also directly involved in driving Virgin Australia 1.0 into the ground financially (jointly responsible with Hogan and Borghetti), in addition to losing hundreds of millions on Virgin Atlantic as well (before they sold it to Delta at a loss).

I honestly think QR are in for the ride and will probably even increase their stake in the coming years. I just don’t see them cutting and running
Apart from QR's short lived failed Air Italy investment (Italy Aviation in general is a bigger mess than Australia with the Alitalia debacle), they've generally stuck to their investments for the longer term.
 
But the question is who.

I don't think the infamous historical "tyre kicker" that is Singapore Airlines will be interested considering they've lost billions on their Australian investments across Ansett, Tiger Airways and Virgin Australia 1.0.

Singapore was also directly involved in driving Virgin Australia 1.0 into the ground financially (jointly responsible with Hogan and Borghetti), in addition to losing hundreds of millions on Virgin Atlantic as well (before they sold it to Delta at a loss).


Apart from QR's short lived failed Air Italy investment (Italy Aviation in general is a bigger mess than Australia with the Alitalia debacle), they've generally stuck to their investments for the longer term.
Oh c'mon, where the usual TaK....post...been a while.
 
Does the usual speculation here as to 'cooda wooda shooda' re possible Virgin investment partners have anything to do with this thread? -

'Major changes to Velocity Frequent Flyer announced 17/10/24'​

 
Offer expires: 1 April Feb 2025

- Earn up to 200,000 bonus Velocity Points*
- Enjoy unlimited complimentary access to Priority Pass lounges worldwide
- Earn up to 3 Citi reward Points per dollar uncapped

*Terms And Conditions Apply

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To be fair though, when the changes when they go through, I guess it may be a wait and see over the next few months if it ends up being a "vocal minority" of primarily international codeshare passengers that rarely flies on VA metal (despite some may have flown VA metal in the past to get said status) or if the changes actually damages loyalists that actually fly domestically on VA metal alongside flying international on partners and/or their short haul international leisure network to Bali, Fiji and the Pacific Islands.

Taking into consideration, Bain led management were on record of rather "not competing head on with Qantas", which suggests they are content with being 'number 2' and their focus on being a "value airline" primarily focused on the domestic network.
 
'or if the changes actually damages loyalists that actually fly domestically on VA metal'

I am sitting back here wondering, if when heaps of Gold members are not Gold next review date, as they cannot justify spending ~$5000 to retain it, if they will stay flying Virgin almost exclusively?

And there WILL be vast numbers of them. They'll be Silver due to soft landing. Which as we all know offers precious few real benefits. And the year after that, not even Silver in many cases. So minting a lot more LG cards NOW than they planned, for folks with a long track record of flying Virgin, really makes sense now, and costs them zero. Lock in some loyalty before that IPO.

We just booked flights SYD-MEL in a couple of weeks time for a family visit. Being a captive to Virgin and the 60 Status Credits, and as the 'New Deal' re $$ spend Status Credits is not yet in place for a few more days, I like a lemming still booked Choice fares. $189 x 4 = $756 plus credit card fee on top. I must untrain myself! No discount codes work now.

Most here do the same. Correction - in the PAST they blindly did the same I am sure. And AFF is a .001% subset of national flyers. we often forget.

As I recall, Jetstar was about HALF that ticket cost. For most average folks not flying domestic on the bosses's dime, many $100s extra for a short 1 hour flight is simply not going to occur. No way. They just go cheapest possible carrier. Near always NOT Virgin.

In this climate of rising costs and budget tightening, I think Virgin revenue will take a big hit during 2025, when news of this huge program devaluation spreads - as right now lots are not fully aware, or aware at all, of the implications.
 
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Stampy - you might be right about the pax exodus to cheaper fares but I reckon it'll happen from 2026 and beyond. Those with status may continue to fly VA not to accrue status but to use their status while they have it.
 

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