Middle East Airspace Diversions/Cancellations

I saw that a friend flying home from France via DXB got as far as Turkey and end up in BUD… 😳
 
The most recent QF9 flew via Oman and Saudi Arabia then over Cairo, Egypt to southwest of Athens.

I am no expert on airline flight paths/routings but isn't this a far more southerly route than usual?

Airlines understandably seem to largely be avoiding Israeli, Iranian, Syrian, Jordanian and Iraqi airspace.

There was one report on social media about ATC apparently being unaware of missiles being within cooee of planes such as at least one BA service. Worrying.

Are these changed routes adding to time taken and hence more kilograms of aviation turbine fuel being expended?
 
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The most recent QF9 flew via Oman and Saudi Arabia then over Cairo, Egypt to southwest of Athens.

I am no expert on airline flight paths/routings but isn't this a far more southerly route than usual?
Ideal routes go over the Black Sea and southern Russia. They’ve been pushed progressively south as things heat up.
There was one report on social media about ATC apparently being unaware of missiles being within cooee of planes such as at least one BA service. Worrying.
Well, they aren’t all that likely to put out a NOTAM. In any event, the chance of being hit by a climbing missile is close enough to zero. The issue would be defensive systems, and the Iranians have already got history there.
Are these changed routes adding to time taken and hence more kilograms of aviation turbine fuel being expended?
Of course they are. But it’s not just the extra track miles that would be a problem. As more aircraft are forced onto a limited number of routes, the likelihood of getting your optimum flight levels, or even near to it, decreases. That in turn also increases burn and flight time. Flights that start at intermediate positions may have enough spare weigh to absorb this extra burn, but ULR flights, that are operating at extreme range anyway, would have to be more at risk of falling short.
 
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