I guess you sorta have the two extremes, some kind of a belief system -v- no belief system.
The evidence appears overwhelming that belief systems are the glue that binds successful societies.
The evidence also appears overwhelming that the decline of "traditional" church influence roughly equates to the erosion of moral values and general law and order in western societies.
Finally I wouldn't bet a cent that Rudd can't win this election, he has enough empathy , aka "common touch" , to fool enough of the people enough of the time.. to win
Two threads in one!
OK. If we look back, we see that the old days were always better. Children respected their elders, there was no moral corruption and so on. It was the Golden Age. Things are going downhill fast and we see society breaking down - children refuse to respect us, the women are promiscuous etc. etc.
I'll go along with a moral code being good for a society and that religion supplies a lot of that. But look at America - chock full of Bible-bashing tub-thumpers and who can hold them up as an example of moral hygiene?
As for Rudd winning the election, no. Labor is on the nose for any number of reasons, and we can thank Craig Thomson and Eddie Obeid for some of these. Sure, Rudd is popular and smiling and all that, but look at what he's been like since being dumped. When he had his hands on the levers he was leading the ALP downhill because he'd lost his policy directions. Since then, apart from the odd tanty, he hasn't had to answer any of the hard questions. When they start being asked, he suddenly "has to zip".
Should he be in the hot seat he'll be under fire from three sides. First of all his own party, because he's going to have a whole bunch of Gillard troops gritting their teeth in public and slagging him out in private. Things will be said, and things will be added to last year's stockpile.
Second, the Liberals. Tony Abbott destroyed him in 2010 and he's got Rudd's range still. He'll ask the hard questions, probe the weak points, keep on punching away.
Third, the media. There'll be no second honeymoon. Rudd is a juicy story all by himself, and in an election campaign the boring stories will never be heard. Rudd will have to share the front pages with Tony Abbott, so that raises the bar higher for public interest. Humdrum policy and hand-crafted media releases will find their way to the inside pages. Shock and awe drama and conflict is what we are going to get up front and I don't believe that Rudd is equipped to handle that well. He will melt down under pressure.