Predictions of when international flights may resume/bans lifted

[I love to travel]

Dec 15 domestic
July 1 2021 international

 

[kelvedon]

Domestic mid June 2020. International for NZ, QF 9/10 mid- late September 2020 with a recent covid19 clearance medical certificate?

 

[serfty]

Domestic - July 2020
International - September 2020

 

[MEL_Traveller]

A lot depends on whether any of the current drugs being tested represent a 'cure'. If you can pop one of the head lice drugs (Ivermectin) and kill the virus in 24/48 hours we may see a resumption of the economy and everything else a lot quicker than we thought.

 

[cove]

2022-23?

 

[kpc]

OS travel will only realistically be safe when a vaccine becomes available.

 

[I love to travel]

2022-23?

A one month ban for you on AFF for putting that one out to the universe.

 

[Antoallison]

My best guess is:

August 2020 for domestic
December 2020 for international


My niece and her 3 children were/still are booked on Qatar London to Perth in late October 2020, but I am hoping she can cancel and rebook for 2021. This year is no time for a holiday.

 

[kelvedon]

Not that QF has stopped flying domestically entirely. It’s running about 12 flights per day out of SYD ( inc QantasLink)

 

[clifford]

...when a vaccine becomes available.

And proven in the field over many months (as far as I'm concerned). Many round trips to Bali, for example, might be a good test.

 

[jakeseven7]

My best guess for the prize:

1) Reasonable restoration of domestic - From October/November (minus VA I'm afraid)
2) SELECTED International - once an effective anti viral is identified
3) ALL International - once an effective vaccine is identified

 

[dajop]

I think the other alternative for limited (non-repatriation) international services to restart could be if significant numbers recover and are proven to have antibodies that prevent reinfection. That proof would seem some way off yet though.

 

[N860CR]

So us Africans aren't even on the list hey

I've got three trips to Cape Town booked this year. My partner and I finally settled into life after 10 hectic years so this was the year to head back to the Cape and plan for the future. Basically... I caused Corona by planning ahead.

June trip - accepted that it's not happening. Have flights booked with SQ and QF on the same day but suspect it will mean nothing

September trip - Not making any changes but not making further plans

November trip - Expecting it to go ahead as planned

 

[Seat0B]

I'm currently booked on a paid DSC business trip on a Finnair ticket (I class) from Canberra to Paris via a lot of interesting places departing on 5 Oct. I'm also not making changes, but not booking anything further like accommodation. I sort of hope now that it is cancelled, as given the state of play in Europe I'm not sure how much fun the trip would be at that time anyway. Plus the main reason for going in the first place has been cancelled.

 

[tgh]

Amazing optimism here, do y'all imagine that the bug is just going to fizzle, shrivel, and die out.. good luck with that.

 

[Tiki]

Domestic - July 2020
International - September 2020

I hope this one is right! Even if I had to self isolate for 14 days on return, I would just buy the groceries in advance and plan on staying home. Maybe it would happen if they could at least test people before boarding and make everyone wear masks while on board, I would expect service to be limited so crew could minimize passenger interaction.

 

[CityRail]

My prediction is that domestic travel will resume in June 2020 together with Trans-Tasman travel as Winston Peters suggested to open the AU-NZ Bubble. With a medical clearance that you don't have COVID-19, I think you can start entering NZ without told to self-isolate with that clearance.
I think domestic travel and Trans-Tasman Travel can resume by then is because in Australia we are going to see Winter (Term 2) break commencing from July, which I am sure parents would like to see some respite to go on holidays with their kids during the winter break.
Some international travel to Asia, such as Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, Japan etc. can resume in September, that's where the Term 3 break lies, and I think long haul travel, including those to Europe, may have to wait until Term 4 break and we have a clearer picture of a vaccine (which by then we should have a lot more idea) to resume most of the international travel by then.

 

[Hvr]

Domestic travel for Christmas 2020.

'Safe' international June 2021. i.e. NZ,

Rest of the world, if we're lucky Christmas 2021.

 

[oznflfan]

Domestic travel for Christmas 2020.

'Safe' international June 2021. i.e. NZ,

Rest of the world, if we're lucky Christmas 2021.

Bring all these forward 3-6 months.
Domestic by 30/9/20
NZ by 31/12/20
Some SE Asia 31/3/21
Europe 30/6/21

 

[jakeseven7]

Amazing optimism here, do y'all imagine that the bug is just going to fizzle, shrivel, and die out.. good luck with that.

It’s not, we are going to have to live with it unfortunately and accept a baseline level of cases that our healthcare system can manage (so we dont end up like UK, US, Italy, Spain etc where health care systems are overloaded).

So corona will still be alive and kicking when travel is re-allowed is my point, but at manageable levels.