I have the luxury of watching Australia's rollout unfold from a distance, but I also have a vested interested due to my son's (sport) touring requirements.
This is just so patently dumb I have to wonder what your agenda might be.
Surely if you want to compare annual statistics drawn from a long period (good sample) encompassing various conditions with 4 weeks' (italics yours; also dumb) worth of data or two weeks (even dumber) or whatever, it would make more sense to divide the annual statistics rather than multiplying the more limited ones?
This sort of disinformation is an utter disgrace and may end up killing people.
No agenda - just a dislike of incorrect information distributed as facts instead of spin. That's what can lead to deaths, for example the claim that face masks would provide no community safety - those false claims did lead to deaths.
No disinformation presented in my post - the 'medical experts' were comparing something that had only been going for a short period and invalidly used annual statistics as the comparison - something which in recent days a number of heads of medical faculties have also called out as not valid.
As all the articles & 'experts' aired on radio/TV/internet had been talking about "compared with annual figures" - I converted the figures to annual (but did not do so geometrically which would have been invalid). As the 'experts' are quoting annual periods - I compared like with like.
The relativities or ratios remain the same regardless whether dividing the annual figure (risk of death from XYZ) by 26 or multiplying the 2 weekly figure (for AZ doses that had completed the 20 day period).
You missed the point - at the time AZ's roll out had been going for some weeks not months.
The time period for 'the extremely rare type of clots' after injection is stated to be normally 4 to 20 days after injection. So including any count of AZ injections that had not fulfilled the 20 day period is incorrect - as those people are still at risk. = should not be counted yet.
That reduces the available time period of AZ doses administered.
Equally do you consider it is correct to compare the risk of dying in a fatal car accident against the risk of developing clots from AZ or woudl the valid comparison (adjusted for periodicity) been:
- Risk of dying in a car accident vs risk of dying from rare form of clotting after AZ injection; or
- Risk of being injured in a car accident vs risk of developing rare form of clotting after AZ injections
Yet the experts (possibly not all but the articles seen & reports on TV) did compare risk of death from car accidents against risk of developing clots. In Australia the risk of injuries caused by a motor vehicle is 27x higher than the risk of death.
That certainly changes the relative risks vs the AZ shot does it not than comparing risk of death from motor vehicle accident vs risk of developing clots (& either surviving or dying). Understating the relative risks by a factor of 27 times = disinformation.
The disinformation is coming from the Federal Govt & related experts.
Totally agree as l pointed out in one of my first posts in this thread - the government has been flapping around regarding the rollout and need to be called out on it, even though not many people here agreed with my comments.
I suggested vaccination hubs, open all hours (dayshift and nightshift, even reduced staff for nightshift is better than nothing) and was called out about it in this thread too by some users.
Then l suggested bringing in the defence force (like the USA) to help, which the Government is now going to be implementing.
I think people who aren't struggling or running a small business on the brink don't get it - we need all hands on deck to sort this out, people are going under (job keeper/seeker is now wound back to nothing). If your going to wind back job seeker/keeper, then make the vaccine available ASAP to everyone to get the economy going, 4 million doses available and only 1.4 administrated - thats a joke!
Tourist operators have been hit and another lockdown in QLD will send them to the wall. I think its easy for public servants (Governments) because they still get paid week in/week out regardless of what goes on....
I provided the figures (that I have been posting on AFF) to a number of journalists last week, some sought confirmation of my figures from the Fed Govt who delayed responding until talk of filing a FOI/GIPA request was made on follow-up this week (by at least one journalist early on Monday). That saw some of the information confirmed but the number of each type of vaccine administered has still not been supplied.
Perhaps it would definitively show exactly which part of Phase 1A failed the worst vs the others.
Big questions over who exactly has received the Pfizer doses as the number of Pfizer doses that have arrived in Australia & been cleared for disribution/injection is now 9 deliveries totalling over 1.25m. If all had been administered in the week following the TGA clearance (with half kept back for 3 weeks later) then the first 6 weeks cleared (arrived starting Feb 15th) - would have been sufficient for all Phase 1A recipients to have received their first dose of Pfizer (Dept of Health state the number as 678,000 people) by last Friday, with over 450,000 having also received their 2nd injection.
That is based on the supply received by the Federal Govt & available to go into peoples' arms.
Yet as of last Friday under 400,000 Phase 1A designated had received their first dose and between 50,000 to 80,000 of those are understood to have been AZ not Pfizer. The complete clinical team at one of Sydney's largest public hospitals in possibly the most directly CV facing roles (refered to in an earlier posting) finally got their first injection and it was AZ not Pfizer.
So where exactly have the Pfizer doses gone?
Given that Aged & Diability Care residents were to be all vaccinated by the end of Week 6 or Sunday April 3rd (announced by Greg Hunt on Feb 16th), and totalled just 190,000 people - the private sector companies with responsibility, for all but the few State Govt run facilities, have clearly breached their contracts if the Fed Govt is blameless as the public keep being told?
Add in the Aged & Disability Care workers (fewer than 5% received first injection by last Friday, and of those AZ believed to be the vaccine) numbering 318,000 then something is seriously amiss with the private sector companies.
The Australian Government is securing an additional vaccine workforce and working to deliver essential training to everyone who will administer the vaccinations.
www.health.gov.au
Through our plan, a panel of four providers have been appointed who will be called upon to provide a vaccine workforce to supplement the existing immunisation workforce for specific populations.
The providers are Aspen Medical, Healthcare Australia, International SOS, and Sonic Clinical Services.
and
As vaccines are approved for use in Australia and our vaccination program commences, we are ensuring the workforce is there to administer the vaccines in an efficient manner, particularly to our priority groups including residential aged care, residential disability, and carers.
With a little luck, there may be some equally revealing articles coming out next week.