AFF's 1,000,000th post thread....

[JohnK]

Come on everyone! I only need 2,000 posts by tomorrow morning to win.

If people try to do that then AFF will have a melt down and it will take 4 days to fix the server and then I win.

Good thinking Jess.

 

[whatmeworry]

Sorry JohnK, but more of a chance of you being delayed tonight then you winning!

 

[coolumbla]

17:00 22/06/14 ** 477 posts per day needed by Princess Fiona

so princess needs to post 477 times a day?

I think she's up for it

 

[JohnK]

Sorry JohnK, but more of a chance of you being delayed tonight then you winning!

As the Thais would say.

Mai pen rai....

 

[Mwenenzi]

952,690 posts when JohnK announced the contest on 02 April 2014
998,865 posts a few minutes ago. 586 posts per day from the contest announcement
For the approximate last 24 hours post rate has been 267 posts per day.
For the last 7 days the average post rate has been 556 posts per day
The 7 day average post rate has had a noticeable rise in the last week

Since the contest was announced
- the daily post rate has varied from a high of 803 per day to a low of 302 per day
- the 7 day rolling average post rate has varied from a high of 703 per day to a low of 472 per day

-24.7 days from the calculated finish for the coolumbla prediction
+21.8 days from the calculated finish for the Jacques Vert prediction

On Monday 12 May the calculated time/date was 21:19 22/06/14
On Friday 23 May the calculated time/date was 14:26 22/06/14
On Friday 30 May the calculated time/date was 10:13 22/06/14
On Friday 06 June the calculated time/date was 18:11 21/06/14
On Friday 13 June the calculated time/date was 06:52 22/06/14
On Thursday 19 June the calculated time/date was 03:29 22/06/14
On Friday 20 June the calculated time/date was 16:36 22/06/14

Posting normally slows at weekends & public holidays.
Saturday & Sunday are often 100~ 200 less posts per day
Next summary will be Saturday evening
Post count as the bottom of http://www.australianfrequentflyer.com.au/community/forum.php

Prediction -------- If the prediction is to be correct, (based from contest start to the recent post)
00:34 29/05/14 ** [-]-50 posts per day needed by coolumbla[/-]
08:30 09/06/14 ** [-]-100 posts per day needed by Steady[/-]
12:00 10/06/14 ** [-]-111 posts per day needed by Samh004[/-]
16:50 12/06/14 ** [-]-141 posts per day needed by drross[/-]
12:00 13/06/14 ** [-]-156 posts per day needed by basso[/-]
12:00 15/06/14 ** [-]-216 posts per day needed by jb83[/-]
18:00 16/06/14 ** [-]-283 posts per day needed by boomy[/-]
18:30 17/06/14 ** [-]-380 posts per day needed by whatmeworry[/-]
07:53 18/06/14 ** [-]-468 posts per day needed by swanning_it[/-]
12:00 19/06/14 ** [-]-904 posts per day needed by straitman[/-]
11:00 20/06/14 ** [-]-3818 posts per day needed by JessicaTam[/-]
23:55 20/06/14 ** 4711 posts per day needed by Mwenenzi
08:15 21/06/14 ** 1930 posts per day needed by Orca
12:00 21/06/14 ** 1525 posts per day needed by Welsh-Kiwi
21:00 21/06/14 ** 1014 posts per day needed by oz_mark
07:00 22/06/14 ** 739 posts per day needed by oz_mark/Princess Fiona half way
16:36 22/06/14 ** 586 posts per day needed by based on last post (by calculation)
17:00 22/06/14 ** 581 posts per day needed by Princess Fiona
21:00 22/06/14 ** 536 posts per day needed by Rooflyer (looking good for a late run to the line)
19:00 23/06/14 ** 374 posts per day needed by Buzzard
09:30 24/06/14 ** 312 posts per day needed by major
19:00 24/06/14 ** 281 posts per day needed by kpc
21:30 24/06/14 ** 274 posts per day needed by Nizar
07:31 25/06/14 ** 249 posts per day needed by JohnK
13:40 25/06/14 ** 236 posts per day needed by hj.au
11:45 26/06/14 ** 198 posts per day needed by gwilli1
13:00 26/06/14 ** 196 posts per day needed by Amaroo
15:00 27/06/14 ** 165 posts per day needed by rainbowgirl
11:00 28/06/14 ** 147 posts per day needed by serfty
06:15 29/06/14 ** 133 posts per day needed by Clivem
13:30 30/06/14 ** 116 posts per day needed by Petercr
13:00 01/07/14 ** 105 posts per day needed by robw0910
12:00 14/07/14 ** 48 posts per day needed by Jacques Vert

 

[Orca]

Hmm I wonder if I can make 2000 posts in the next twelve hours...

 

[JessicaTam]

Hmm I wonder if I can make 2000 posts in the next twelve hours...

Well I was unsuccessful, but go your hardest.

 

[RooFlyer]

Dum de-dum, de-dum de-dum (whistles tunelessly) ....

 

[Mwenenzi]

Dum de-dum, de-dum de-dum (whistles tunelessly) ....

For one person a slow posting rate is better
For another person a faster posting rate is better
Saturday & Sunday are often 100~ 200 less posts per day
I could give a prediction based on the last Saturday & Sunday posts (but will not)

We could have a stewards enquiry to determine if its fair race down the final straight

 

[basso]

Well, I seem to have gone way early. Not even close!

 

[Steady]

Well, I seem to have gone way early. Not even close!

Yes, I know how you feel

 

[drross]

So.... We're still thinking the Princess will be wearing the crown?

 

[JohnK]

Data point

Threads 51,858
Posts 999,204
Members 37,579


A lot of posts in the past few hours....

 

[woodborer]

So.... We're still thinking the Princess will be wearing the crown?

If I were a betting man, I'd be going for RooFlyer at this point...Things slow down a bit on the weekend.

 

[drross]

Still think it will the Princess given current rate of postings

 

[Mwenenzi]

If I were a betting man, I'd be going for RooFlyer at this point...Things slow down a bit on the weekend.

There is only 4 hours between Princess F and RooFlyer but like in the 2 mile Melb Cup, some fillies tire and slow in the fnal 400 to the line. Others are just bounding along at a steady pace. The roo has a 22hr gap to the buzzard swooping down from behind

 

[RooFlyer]

So I'm thinking I should post about my exclusive interview with AJ (where he reveals his secret plan for AFF), about now? (just to throw some randomness into the equation)?

 

[whatmeworry]

There is only 4 hours between Princess F and RooFlyer but like in the 2 mile Melb Cup, some fillies tire and slow in the fnal 400 to the line. Others are just bounding along at a steady pace. The roo has a 22hr gap to the buzzard swooping down from behind

So your saying the Princess is just a show pony?

 

[basso]

So I'm thinking I should post about my exclusive interview with AJ (where he reveals his secret plan for AFF), about now? (just to throw some randomness into the equation)?

Are you trying to speed up posting? You should have done that two weeks ago!

 

[Mwenenzi]

Are you trying to speed up posting? You should have done that two weeks ago!

The show pony will like that
581 posts per day needed by Princess Fiona
536 posts per day needed by Rooflyer