Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

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I’m quite surprised that VIC have still held back from putting in a hard border with NSW given the multiple incursions and spread from the Sydney outbreak. Both VIC and QLD seem to be really holding back on this.

Because:
1. The cases aren't in the regions along the border, they are overwhelmingly in greater Sydney which already has restrictions re going to the regions
2. Locking your own residents out doesn't poll well.
 
Because:
1. The cases aren't in the regions along the border, they are overwhelmingly in greater Sydney which already has restrictions re going to the regions
2. Locking your own residents out doesn't poll well.
I am still surprised theres been no community spread on the Central Coast.
 
I am still surprised theres been no community spread on the Central Coast.

Not really, looking at the map most of the areas north east of Sydney are covid free (or only have 1 or 2 cases).

1626337118948.png

We have had restricted movements with most people WFH for 3 weeks, no reason to expect mass spread north.
 
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I am still surprised theres been no community spread on the Central Coast.
Why?

I think the outer Greater Sydney (ie Blue Mountains, Central Coast, Wollongong and Shellharbour) deserve an early mark from lockdown if there is no community spread. I doubt it will happen soon though because NSW authorities seem to be just focussed on non-compliance to get the non-isolating while infectious number down at the moment
 
Another interesting news.com.au poll (so again open to anyone in Australia or overseas)

Does Victoria lockdown too quickly?

37% - Yes, it should be the last resort
63% - No, you have to act fast

Almost 19,000 votes
 
Why?

I think the outer Greater Sydney (ie Blue Mountains, Central Coast, Wollongong and Shellharbour) deserve an early mark from lockdown if there is no community spread. I doubt it will happen soon though because NSW authorities seem to be just focussed on non-compliance to get the non-isolating while infectious number down at the moment
Pre lock down 35000 people travel out of the area for work every day. I don't know the numbers but many travel into the area for work. If 3 removalists have spread the virus to Victoria what are the odds of that compared to no spread to the Central Coast.
 
Pre lock down 35000 people travel out of the area for work every day. I don't know the numbers but many travel into the area for work. If 3 removalists have spread the virus to Victoria what are the odds of that compared to no spread to the Central Coast.

Whilst many travel out of the central coast into Sydney for work, doubtful many of those are heading to Bondi or South West - most would be working in City, North Sydney (or north along that rail line through Macquarie park, Chatswood or Hornsby). WRT people travelling into Central Coast for Work its more likely they would be coming down from the Hunter or up from Northern Suburbs than South West Sydney.

We have been in lockdown for 3 weeks and most are WFH, so odds of mass spread to Central Coast was never going to be high. Look at Melbourne, whilst there were cases that spread to Geelong the numbers never surged there.

There are 5 active cases in the central coast area (acquired outside of the central coast).
 
Pre lock down 35000 people travel out of the area for work every day. I don't know the numbers but many travel into the area for work. If 3 removalists have spread the virus to Victoria what are the odds of that compared to no spread to the Central Coast.
OK.

I read your initial post differently from what you meant.

I was thinking you meant spread in Central Coast - eg between Central Coast residents - but you meant those on the Central Coast who had to continue to go to work (as the rules now work - because their employer deemed it essential) in Sydney.

Perhaps its just luck that the numbers in outer Greater Sydney are not going up - well not that I've noticed. I guess the linkages from South West Sydney to outer Greater Sydney is not that strong?!?!
 
FWIW ... looking from afar and not affected by it, I think the Vic decision is good. I was critical before of many of their actions, but under present circumstrances (Delta), early, hard (and hopefully short) is way to go. Else a slow creep up in numbers before it really explodes out. NOW - that may not in itself be a crisis IMHO, but given no government would currently tolerate that, its either now and short or later and longer.
 
If we’re still in this position in 5 months then he needs to be removed from office (along with the PM and every other premier).
In that case, I expect there will be some blood stains on the wall…. They’ll be the first ones against, displacing the marketing department of Sirius Cybernetics.
 
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Ok, the latest Melbourne Outbreak is now an "official" one as there are now Exposure Sites at Chadstone Shopping Centre.

However, I am not sure there has been toilet paper rush today, but that would be just so 2020...

1626340784433.png
 
Another interesting news.com.au poll (so again open to anyone in Australia or overseas)

Does Victoria lockdown too quickly?

37% - Yes, it should be the last resort
63% - No, you have to act fast

Almost 19,000 votes

Well hot on the heels of the NSW approach which has ended up like it has, what else are are you going to vote for…
 
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