Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

[Lynda2475]

And didn't the ACT have 17 cases today. With a population of 250000 that if adjusted to a population of 7 million would equal 476 cases.

Great point, but your populations sizes are a little out.

ACT = 431,215 (Sept 2020)
NSW = 8.166M (Sept 2020)

So adjusted rate would be 322, which is still quite high.

 

[drron]

Great point, but your populations sizes are a little out.

ACT = 431,215 (Sept 2020)
NSW = 8.166M (Sept 2020)

So adjusted rate would be 322, which is still quite high.

Sorry I just was lazy and used the vaccination numbers posted on here.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

And didn't the ACT have 17 cases today. With a population of 250000 that if adjusted to a population of 7 million would equal 476 cases.

They did.

But the question is have they lost control and will it just keep building for weeks if not months, or is just a surge that they may still get on top of?

In another week or so the numbers may be there to have a feel for which way it will go.

 

[MEL_Traveller]

Versus the mental health of young people separated from important family members and not having a life. Losing years of quality education.

The 'not wanting to get vaccinated because I'm ok jack' is wearing thin.

The Vic Premier acknowledged the mental health issues, but also pointed out that the mental health implications of a full-blown outbreak would be far worse.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

It looks like may be a case/s in the apartment tower (510 Lygon St) next to the two reported today at 480 Lygon St Carlton.









From the exposure site update it looks like there may be a case who works (and possibly lives) in Malvern East, and another case at Carrum.

 

[trevella]

The Vic Premier acknowledged the mental health issues, but also pointed out that the mental health implications of a full-blown outbreak would be far worse.

"pointed out" is just weasel language signifying that he said something that supports one of your views.

"contended", "claimed", "argued", or something else along those lines would be much more intellectually honest, if that were to appeal to you at all.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

During the Vic Presser earlier today St Kilda was flagged as a key are of concern as they had 5 unlinked cases except that that they all had a geographic link in some manner to St Kilda.


In this evening's Vic DHHS Update they are now calling for anyone who lives, works or spends time in St Kilda - or in other areas in the Glen Eira and Port Phillip local government areas - to get tested.

This will be a sizable number of people. Say 300,000+

​

Update: Public health focus on St Kilda and surrounding areas​

The Department is asking anyone who lives, works or spends time in St Kilda - or in other areas in the Glen Eira and Port Phillip local government areas - to get tested.​

​

People should get tested if they have been to exposure sites, or if they have had any symptoms, or even if they are unsure.​

 

[dairyfloss]

Well that certainly signals many things....

In addition to weaning the masses away slowly slowly away from this hyper-emotionalised daily reporting.

A big +1 to this... the outcry, finger pointing & panic from my local (SYD northern suburbs) community FB pages whenever a casual contact site appears because someone has wandered into a local Coles or Aldi for 5 minutes is painful. Truth be told, for this area, the case probably wasn't even in the store, but rather out the back delivering a box or two. It's all a bit tiring, in any event.

 

[burmans]

"pointed out" is just weasel language signifying that he said something that supports one of your views.

"contended", "claimed", "argued", or something else along those lines would be much more intellectually honest, if that were to appeal to you at all.

“Contended”, “claimed” or “argued” could also be used against those who want to suggest a full blown outbreak won’t cause mental health issues.

 

[trevella]

“Contended”, “claimed” or “argued” could also be used against those who want to suggest a full blown outbreak won’t cause mental health issues.

Thanks, if I come across someone that coughing facile I’ll let them know.

 

[Princess Fiona]

A big +1 to this... the outcry, finger pointing & panic from my local (SYD northern suburbs) community FB pages whenever a casual contact site appears because someone has wandered into a local Coles or Aldi for 5 minutes is painful. Truth be told, for this area, the case probably wasn't even in the store, but rather out the back delivering a box or two. It's all a bit tiring, in any event.

And Dr McNulty mentioned this today as they are now not listing every single potential exposure point in the Greater Sydney area as they have found that the vast majority of these sites are not ultimately exposure points and they would rather that the community have a smaller daily list where the risk is greater rather than miss that in a larger list.

The caveat being that the regions have a much smaller pool of potential exposure sites due to smaller case numbers and they will continue to list every regional exposure site given the low numbers of them and not having so much confidence in the spread in the regions.
It’s a good strategy IMHO

 

[Lynda2475]

It was refreshing to have NSW Deputy Chief Health Officer Marianne Gale giving the health update late last week (when Dr Chant was taking a break), she is a much more natural speaker (or has had better media training) than both Dr Chant (who has improved immensely) and Dr McNulty, was hoping to see more of her.

 

[N860CR]

A big +1 to this... the outcry, finger pointing & panic from my local (SYD northern suburbs) community FB pages whenever a casual contact site appears because someone has wandered into a local Coles or Aldi for 5 minutes is painful.

Yep. I don’t tend to pay much attention to the community FB page but our little piece of heaven had the active covid cases change from 0 to 1 overnight. From the FB hysteria you’d think an atomic bomb had just been dropped. Somewhat scary to read some of the responses… people are literally just setting their own rules and loudly forcing them on others. Madness.

 

[Must...Fly!]

‘Playing with women’s lives’: Premier urged to keep breast screening services open

Three prominent Liberal Party MPs and leading health professionals are urging Premier Gladys Berejiklian to reverse the temporary closure of breast screening services across the state.

www.theage.com.au

This is unacceptable. No preventative health service should be suspended.

 

[dairyfloss]

Yep. I don’t tend to pay much attention to the community FB page but our little piece of heaven had the active covid cases change from 0 to 1 overnight. From the FB hysteria you’d think an atomic bomb had just been dropped. Somewhat scary to read some of the responses… people are literally just setting their own rules and loudly forcing them on others. Madness.

Tell me about it! My eyes are sore from rolling so much.

 

[Lynda2475]

Nice recent change to the NSW Covid Active case map, in now being able to view by LGA (ability to look by postcode is still there).

NSW COVID-19 cases, deaths and testing statistics

The latest weekly case numbers, testing figures totals and related COVID-19 statistics in NSW.

www.nsw.gov.au

Dubbo LGA (population 53,719) has 90 active cases, 70 exposure sites, did 3397 tests yesterday (and 13,893 in the last 14 days) which is a massive testing effort, a 0.65% rough positivity rate

WRT LGAs of concern:

Bayside LGA - population 178,396 has 157 active cases, did 5116 tests yesterday (and 36,077 in the last 14 days), 0.44% rough positivity rate.

Blacktown LGA - population 374,451 has 822 active cases, 43 exposure sites, did 10,679 tests yesterday (and 108,178 in the last 14 days), 0.76% rough positivity rate.

Burwood LGA - population 40,612 has 17 active cases, did 929 tests yesterday (and 6,868 in the last 14 days), 0.25% rough positivity rate. Somewhat unlucky to be a AoC given numbers, compared to the other restricted LGAs.

Canterbury-Bankstown LGA - population 377,917 has 1,534 active cases, 54 exposure sites, did 15,937 tests yesterday (and 107,757 in the last 14 days), 0.86% rough positivity rate.

Campletown LGA - population 170,943 has 308 active cases, did 5231 tests yesterday (and 53,556 in the last 14 days), 0.58% rough positivity rate.

coughberland LGA - population 241,521 has 1117 active cases, 20 exposure sites, did 9,938 tests yesterday (and 178,534 in the last 14 days), 0.63% rough positivity rate.

Farfield LGA - population 211,695 has 938 active cases, did 8,753 tests yesterday (and 88,388 in the last 14 days), 1.06% rough positivity rate.

Georges River LGA - population 159,471 has 134 active cases, did 3998 tests yesterday (and 39,114 in the last 14 days), 0.34% rough positivity rate.

Liverpool LGA - population 227,585 has 562 active cases, did 7823 tests yesterday (and 76,107 in the last 14 days), 0.74% rough positivity rate.

Parramatta LGA - population 257,197 has 279 active cases, did 4579 tests yesterday (and 49,691 in the last 14 days), 0.56% rough positivity rate.

Penrith LGA (noting that only some of this LGA is an area of concern) - population 212,977 has 426 active cases, did 6058 tests yesterday (and 66,832in the last 14 days), 0.63% rough positivity rate.

Strathfield LGA - population 46,926 has 88 active cases, did 1955 tests yesterday (and 15,897 in the last 14 days), 0.55% rough positivity rate.

 

[jakeseven7]

So interestingly NSW Health is releasing the FULL exposure list to some organisations for ‘research purposes’ but just not publishing it anymore publicly.

I guess we don’t publish flu exposure sites so this is a first step to reducing the anxiety of people by reducing the amount of information available and changing to ‘assume it is just everywhere, all the time and behave accordingly’.

 

[nutwood]

So interestingly NSW Health is releasing the FULL exposure list to some organisations for ‘research purposes’ but just not publishing it anymore publicly.

I guess we don’t publish flu exposure sites so this is a first step to reducing the anxiety of people by reducing the amount of information available and changing to ‘assume it is just everywhere, all the time and behave accordingly’.

Very true. People will get excited about anything if it's marketed. Covid has been blown up to such a scale that one case within a km has people fearing for their lives. Possibly the hysteria was necessary to get people to take notice but if it's overdone, it will run foul of the "cry wolf" problem. I suspect this is already happening.

 

[OATEK]

Are you an advisor to Gladys?

Play the ball.

Interesting analysis here that shows that the rest of NSW (inc. the rest of Greater Sydney) is on the same trajectory as the 12 LGAs of concern...but just 2.5 weeks behind.

Based on the commentary a few of the Twitter data boffins have double checked the numbers.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1427266905778233351

I note that there has been no increase in cases in my LGA over the last 6 weeks. But like others I feel that Covid zero is not achievable so they will continue to appear, but not convinced that every LGA will match the curve proposed. I am convinced that the later in time that infections grow locally, the rate of infections will be offset by the rapid uptake of vaccinations.

 

[Seat0B]

Family fears toddler contracted Sydney Delta strain that leaked into hotel quarantine

Exclusive: NSW Health interviewing staff and studying CCTV after child tested positive shortly after leaving accommodation

www.theguardian.com

Seems like we just never learn. This reports that a child returned from overseas was quarantined at the sam location as Australian domestic COVID cases. It appears that she now has caught COVID whilst in quarantine - the same Delta strain currently circulating in Sydney.