Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

[HappyFlyerFamily]

If we ignore WA and use hospitalisations as the trend indicator for infections in the community, Covid seems to be either declining, or going sideways, in all jurisdictions apart from the NT.

The Northern Territory now has Australia's highest rate of COVID-related hospitalisations per capita, with a rate nearly double the figure seen during New South Wales's coronavirus peak.​

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Deakin University chair of epidemiology Catherine Bennett said at NSW's peak, the state had roughly 3.5 patients hospitalised with coronavirus per 10,000 residents.​

​

By comparison, she calculated the NT now had roughly 6.32 COVID-related hospitalisations per 10,000 people.​

​

Professor Bennett said the territory's high hospitalisation wasn't altogether surprising, considering many people in the NT had a "high risk profile".​

ICU and those ventilated are overall trending down, except for Qld who joined the Omicron wave late in the timeline.

Deaths are still significant but seem to have peaked. Remember though that death often occurs 4 to 6 weeks after infection and so many deaths have been from infections in Dec or early Jan.

WA when Covid eventually spreads through will most likely have low per capita health indicators and mortality rate due to that the vaccination rate, including boosters, will be high before most people will be exposed to Covid and especially the elderly Retirement Villages (Whereas in Vic and NSW in particular the Booster rollout was slower than it should have been). The caveat there will in some the rural areas where like NT coverage is not so good for vaccinations.
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My impression/hope is NT just peaked, just soon after NT Health decided to pause some surgeries as required.

Most ‘disaster’ situations from a healthcare for Omicron seem to last at most a month.

NT had some additional factors which made things a little challenging. It just extended the issued rather than made things significant worse (ie a bump rather than spike)

PS haven’t looked for NT figures for today yet.

 

[jakeseven7]

If we ignore WA and use hospitalisations as the trend indicator for infections in the community, Covid seems to be either declining, or going sideways, in all jurisdictions apart from the NT.

The Northern Territory now has Australia's highest rate of COVID-related hospitalisations per capita, with a rate nearly double the figure seen during New South Wales's coronavirus peak.​

​

Deakin University chair of epidemiology Catherine Bennett said at NSW's peak, the state had roughly 3.5 patients hospitalised with coronavirus per 10,000 residents.​

​

By comparison, she calculated the NT now had roughly 6.32 COVID-related hospitalisations per 10,000 people.​

​

Professor Bennett said the territory's high hospitalisation wasn't altogether surprising, considering many people in the NT had a "high risk profile".​

ICU and those ventilated are overall trending down, except for Qld who joined the Omicron wave late in the timeline.

Deaths are still significant but seem to have peaked. Remember though that death often occurs 4 to 6 weeks after infection and so many deaths have been from infections in Dec or early Jan.

WA when Covid eventually spreads through will most likely have low per capita health indicators and mortality rate due to that the vaccination rate, including boosters, will be high before most people will be exposed to Covid and especially the elderly Retirement Villages (Whereas in Vic and NSW in particular the Booster rollout was slower than it should have been). The caveat there will in some the rural areas where like NT coverage is not so good for vaccinations.
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Forgetting WA which will drive upwards over time, almost all heading in a very positive direction reflecting the mildness of the strain. Still a vast majority of people unwell are not fully vaccinated / boosted. THere will be a longer tail of hospitalisations but the trend in the big states is excellent.

 

[oz_mark]

WA Health is reporting a total of 13 new local COVID-19 cases and 52 travel-related cases to 8pm last night.

Of the new local cases, 10 are linked to close contacts.

Of the 52 travel cases, 11 overseas, 41 overeast.

 

[jakeseven7]

More good news for living the virus spread with research indicating that Omicron is even less severe in terms of fatality rate than the flu….

So why aren’t we doing pre flight tests for the flu now? I think I’ll ask my local member why not

———

Danish data offers hope the COVID-19 pandemic is ending as fatality rate plummets beneath flu​

Since the start of the pandemic, sceptics of the severity of COVID-19 have likened it to the flu.

Two years in, with the milder Omicron variant now dominant, most of the developed world vaccinated, and much of it boosted, that assertion may bear some truth.

Analysis of recent Omicron BA.2 data from Denmark shows a fatality rate less than 0.05 per cent, which is below influenza.​

Mr Mackie said this is similar to the global death rate from influenza, which is estimated to kill between 0.05-0.1 per cent of those infected.

'The world will be able to live with COVID-19', but experts warn life might still look very different for years

An economist who has been analysing COVID-19 statistics since the start of the pandemic believes the latest Omicron strain may mark its end in highly vaccinated countries, but local epidemiologists warn COVID-19 could still have some nasty surprises.

www.abc.net.au

 

[Pushka]

So why aren’t we doing pre flight tests for the flu now? I think I’ll ask my local member why not

Do not give the CHO's any more ideas.

 

[nutwood]

I can just see the head lines: "Emergency powers extended indefinitely. State Premiers react in shock at escalation in deaths from influenza. 2022 has seen a 1000% increase in flu deaths, compared with 2021....".

 

[Lynda2475]

I can just see the head lines: "Emergency powers extended indefinitely. State Premiers react in shock at escalation in deaths from influenza. 2022 has seen a 1000% increase in flu deaths, compared with 2021....".

Well in NSW in 2021 there were only 42 cases of Influenza A and Influenza B int he whole state and no deaths, so yes when flu starts circulating at higher numbers (there were 9 cases in January 2022) we will of course see an increase, of course these will be the exact same people susceptible to Covid or any other respiratory infection. Its not media worthy in the slightest.

 

[andye]

I posted this in another thread but it is interesting


Worth remembering that in the last big flu outbreak there was mortality in children (especially under 5s) and pregnant women. I do wonder how that will be viewed now we have had awareness heightened with covid

 

[nutwood]

Well in NSW in 2021 there were only 42 cases of Influenza A and Influenza B int he whole state and no deaths, so yes when flu starts circulating at higher numbers (there were 9 cases in January 2022) we will of course see an increase, of course these will be the exact same people susceptible to Covid or any other respiratory infection. Its not media worthy in the slightest.

Statistics are always media worthy. 42 cases and no deaths in 2021 can be used to generate impressive % figures, if/when normality returns.
It'll be interesting to see how the flu reacts to the enforced holiday. Wouldn't surprise me if some impressive figures occur, even without referencing 2021.

 

[Must...Fly!]

"and in news just in, a man on his 90s has died with COVID in the ACT" - ABC News channel.

Why is this still happening?

 

[Lynda2475]

Why is this still happening?

People in their 90s die everyday form a myriad of things, just ignore it.

 

[jakeseven7]

"and in news just in, a man on his 90s has died with COVID in the ACT" - ABC News channel.

Why is this still happening?

Because nothing else is happening and the idiotic public health media teams keep issuing dramatic press releases / tweets constantly.

 

[oz_mark]

"and in news just in, a man on his 90s has died with COVID in the ACT" - ABC News channel.

Why is this still happening?

Fear mongering...

 

[N860CR]

"and in news just in, a man on his 90s has died with COVID in the ACT" - ABC News channel.

Why is this still happening?

It gets clicks. It sells newspapers. People have become so conditioned to this that they think it’s normal reporting. This forum is probably the most generally intelligent one that I follow, yet there are still a handful of people caught up in the hysteria. Sadly, I really don’t see where it ends. I suspect it will be NSW leading the way again by dropping masks, QR codes etc etc at the end of Feb and just stops talking about it. Time will tell.

 

[dairyfloss]

It gets clicks. It sells newspapers. People have become so conditioned to this that they think it’s normal reporting. This forum is probably the most generally intelligent one that I follow, yet there are still a handful of people caught up in the hysteria. Sadly, I really don’t see where it ends. I suspect it will be NSW leading the way again by dropping masks, QR codes etc etc at the end of Feb and just stops talking about it. Time will tell.

my bolding - this is what it all has to come down to. It never ends if it never ends.

 

[jakeseven7]

Such intelligence on the virus spread in WA:

------------

14 new local COVID-19 cases in WA as virus continues to spread, undetected transmission suspected​

It has been estimated over 80% of WA"s recent local cases have been infectious in the community leading Western Australia's Health Minister Amber-Jade Sanderson to confirm that "We think there is much more community transmission out there than is being recorded,".

Testing levels have been hampered by sudden testing clinic closures and WA has only recently begun utilising rapid antigen testing to monitor the spread of the virus in the state. From today Sanderson says all domestic and international travellers will receive two RATs on arriving into the state to use on day 1 and day 7 of their home quarantine.

Ms Sanderson says the decision was made to help ease the pressure on the state's PCR testing clinics.

All the coronavirus news you need in the one place — as it happened

Get up to speed on all the coronavirus news from across Australia.

www.abc.net.au

 

[Must...Fly!]

Let's do the time warp again

As suspected, exactly the same things that played out in every other state are now playing out in WA.

It is borderline criminal that no other preparations were made to prevent these same issues, as the government has been so manic about covid zero.

 

[oz_mark]

Why test and get locked up for a sniffle. Seems a common thought among a lot of people....

 

[drron]

Tasmania today. Slowly creeping up on 99% first doses for 12 +. 5-11 year olds rapidly taking up the vaccine.

 

[clifford]

yet there are still a handful of people caught up in the hysteria.

I guess I must be one of them? OK, not really hysteria (!), but can you advise us how old you might be (+/-5 yrs).

Birthday not Aug 1960? What then?