Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

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Breaking: NSW Health issues several new location warnings as inner Sydney spread escalates

NSW Health are now issuing additional warnings for several venues across Sydney, and are urging people to monitor symptoms and get tested if required.

A confirmed positive case of COVID-19 attended Matinee Coffee in Marrickville on Sunday July 26 and on Monday July 27.

Another, who is linked to the funeral gatherings cluster, attended Tan Viet Noodle House in Cabramatta on Thursday July 23.

Another case confirmed today who attended the Apollo Restaurant in Potts Point on Saturday July 25 also attended Harpoon and Hotel Harry in Surry Hills on Sunday 26 July for more than 9 hours.

Snap. See above.

Also St Leonards Fitness First 27/7 Phase 2 and Woolies Crows Nest 27/7 Phase 1
 
Interesting graphic which demonstrates the different types of clusters in Vic and NSW at present.
The common denominator being that they both have clusters in environments where there are concentrations of people, usually in confined settings.
Though in Vic more recently aged care and workplaces have started to dominate. Family to family spread and gatherings in homs which was common has largely disappear after the current restrictions came in, though in the Geelong Region it was reportedly starting to grow and so restrictions on gatherings in homes has now also been brought in.

From the site:

As in the first wave of infections, clusters are now re-appearing in environments where there are concentrations of people, usually in confined settings.

This includes places such as nursing homes, hospitals, public housing residential towers, meatworks, pubs and restaurants.

The chart below shows all current clusters with, coughulatively, more than 10 cases. (Hover over the bubbles to see the location.)


Note Club includes pubs

1596109558371.png

 
Interesting graphic which demonstrates the different types of clusters in Vic and NSW at present.
The common denominator being that they both have clusters in environments where there are concentrations of people, usually in confined settings.
Though in Vic more recently aged care and workplaces have started to dominate. Family to family spread and gatherings in homs which was common has largely disappear after the current restrictions came in, though in the Geelong Region it was reportedly starting to grow and so restrictions on gatherings in homes has now also been brought in.

From the site:

As in the first wave of infections, clusters are now re-appearing in environments where there are concentrations of people, usually in confined settings.

This includes places such as nursing homes, hospitals, public housing residential towers, meatworks, pubs and restaurants.

The chart below shows all current clusters with, coughulatively, more than 10 cases. (Hover over the bubbles to see the location.)


Note Club includes pubs

View attachment 223723


Wait a few weeks and compare Brisbane’s... I suspect will be more like Sydney - our cafes bars and restaurants are packed with minimal social distancing...
 
Wait a few weeks and compare Brisbane’s... I suspect will be more like Sydney - our cafes bars and restaurants are packed with minimal social distancing...
Given the first two cases were in big families I think residential, as well as restaurants, perhaps public transport.

With an infectious period probably 22/7-25/7, There are probably 5 places Each person including medical centre.

Qld is still looking ok, with technically maximum 4 generations at risk.
 
Victoria confirms another COVID-19 death

A man in his 50s, from the regional Victorian town of Portland in the state's west, has died from COVID-19 – bringing the number of people to die in the pandemic to 106.
 
CHO's message to Victorians celebrating Eid al-Adha

Victoria's chief health officer Brett Sutton has asked the state's Muslim community to refrain from gathering this weekend to celebrate Eid al-Adha, one of the biggest Islamic festivals of the year.

"Eid al-Adha is normally a time for family and friends to come together," Professor Sutton says in the video, featuring Arabic subtitles.

"But this year, it has to be different. This Eid al-Adha, please help stop the spread of coronavirus by staying home and celebrating with the people you live with."

The occasion is usually celebrated with friends, family and community and by donating food and supplies to charity and those in need.

Connecting with family and friends via video or phone calls are ways people can put "the lives of your family, friends and community first", Prof Sutton said.

Health Minister Jenny Mikakos also asked family members to avoid hugs and handshakes, writing in a tweet: "This is how we can help those in need this year – by reducing the risk of spreading the virus to others."
 
Not just the young ones being selfish

A 65-year-old woman who spent several weeks in Victoria, amid soaring coronavirus cases, has been arrested after returning home to Mount Gambier by allegedly hiding in a truck. She was refused bail and spent the night in gaol

She was dobbed in!
 
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Bailed to appear in a few weeks by a JP …

It seems they are now in protective custody in hospital , likely at our expense , folks of this iteration are masters at managing the system

OT.. but one way to avoid capital expenditure in the prison system is to recruit soft judges.
Idealistic socialists are a fertile source of these folks , why is the left so soft on crime ?
 
Bailed to appear in a few weeks by a JP …

It seems they are now in protective custody in hospital , likely at our expense , folks of this iteration are masters at managing the system

OT.. but one way to avoid capital expenditure in the prison system is to recruit soft judges.
Idealistic socialists are a fertile source of these folks , why is the left so soft on crime ?
Sounds like either they are really unwell or they think they are easier to control there. Id suggest they are unwell as they did go to a Doctor early on. And of course the brother is saying its because they are black is why everyone is so angry at them. I wonder how Karen feels about that.

The vaccine developed in Adelaide ( they were developing one for SARS when that disappeared) has passed stage 1 and triggered antibodies so will launch stage 2 shortly. No significant side effects (eg no fever).
 
An article this morning was pushing the virtues of the NSW Health tracking team doing a wonderful job. At first I was thinking along those lines.

But once it mentioned some numbers...

NSW Health Tracking team = 300 people at work over the last 7 days.

Total number of people to be contacted = 4,985

So roughly 17 people each member of the team had to contact over their working week (say 5 days), so only 3 or 4 a day. Sure some would have taken multiple attempts but if you ring a number and it does not answer that takes up no more than 2 minutes max (waiting for 90 second auto-disconnection). The initial interview for a +ve contact has been reported as between 15 to 45 minutes and has been coming down as the weeks have progressed as more people are getting prepared for the interview before they're contacted.

Does anybody else think that perhaps the NSW contact tracing team have been under-utilised somewhat?

Perhaps they could have been used to help out with making calls in Victoria! After all they are currently trying to contact up to 14,000 people a day!!!
 
An article this morning was pushing the virtues of the NSW Health tracking team doing a wonderful job. At first I was thinking along those lines.

But once it mentioned some numbers...

NSW Health Tracking team = 300 people at work over the last 7 days.

Total number of people to be contacted = 4,985

So roughly 17 people each member of the team had to contact over their working week (say 5 days), so only 3 or 4 a day. Sure some would have taken multiple attempts but if you ring a number and it does not answer that takes up no more than 2 minutes max (waiting for 90 second auto-disconnection). The initial interview for a +ve contact has been reported as between 15 to 45 minutes and has been coming down as the weeks have progressed as more people are getting prepared for the interview before they're contacted.

Does anybody else think that perhaps the NSW contact tracing team have been under-utilised somewhat?

Perhaps they could have been used to help out with making calls in Victoria! After all they are currently trying to contact up to 14,000 people a day!!!

Is it not better for them to be overstaffed than understaffed taking into account numbers are growing daily? As it's a state by state management of CV who knows what's going on in the background. Maybe they have offered assistance to Victoria and were told no thanks. Are contract tracers from other states ie SA or WA helping out Vic? I ask because I have no idea. I don't think this is an area I really want to second guess the decision makers on. I'm just glad that the contract tracers are there and they seem to be doing a good job.
 
Is it not better for them to be overstaffed than understaffed taking into account numbers are growing daily? As it's a state by state management of CV who knows what's going on in the background. Maybe they have offered assistance to Victoria and were told no thanks. Are contract tracers from other states ie SA or WA helping out Vic? I ask because I have no idea. I don't think this is an area I really want to second guess the decision makers on. I'm just glad that the contract tracers are there and they seem to be doing a good job.
Nothing wrong with over-staffing. Much wrong with not using them when needed elsewhere. No problem making phone calls to Victorian numbers other than political ones I suspect.

Victoria did ask other states for assistance & the ones that provided support got named, the ones that did not were not singled out but the glaring omission is NSW.

With the contact tracing (I've been told) it has been getting easier (one reason noted in previous post) once a cluster has been identified. Questioning goes along the line have you eaten out recently, what suburb? Where do you work, shop etc.

The lack of NSW co-operation (or even basic contact) with Victoria was shown starkly recently with NSW blocking all Victorian doctors, nurses, orderlies etc who work at the hospital just the other side of the border - from crossing to go to the hospital. This resulted in large parts of the hospital effectively shutting down due to insufficient staff.

Then Gladys complains that Qld did not personally notify her before changing the restrictions for entry into Qld for people living in Greater Sydney starting in a f5 days time - pot, kettle, black.

So, until (once) NSW demand requires them to be occupied for most of the day - then the NSW Govt is 'cutting off its nose to spite its face' by not having them support Victoria.

But then again when has politics EVER put the community in front of blind ambition? If ever there was a time - it is now.
 
Does anybody else think that perhaps the NSW contact tracing team have been under-utilised somewhat?

It has been well reported that Vic has understaffed its health contact tracers even before the pandemic when compared to other states; its moot now that the numbers are so high, but clearly made a difference in the early days of the second wave.

Most of the team I manage are Melbourne based, from the start we observed big differences between reporting in NSW and VIc. In NSW they tell you the specific venues cases have attended and dates, in Vic except for the large clusters related to schools, places of employment and aged care - they mostly just list LGAs, not even suburbs. If you lived in one of those LGAs with the large family outbreaks you werent told what supermarket or shops they had been to.

The NSW team would appear to have been more thorough, and I for one would hate to see them asked to be less diligent given the number of unknowns we have right now. The other states without any community transmission of their own are best placed to provide extra contract tracing assistance at this time.

Are contract tracers from other states ie SA or WA helping out Vic? I ask because I have no idea

I understand that this is indeed what is happening both SA and WA have been mentioned in media reports over the past 2 week, and NSW has also provided assistance for regional areas of Vic, especially those near the border. In addition, NSW has been processing some Vic test results even though we conduct similar number of tests per day ourselves and I know SA has also provided nurses.
 
I've been following the stats since February as well as getting some other information.

The numbers for Vic showing ICU, & then the subset of those with some type of artificial respiration assistance have been flat. No large increases nor decreases in the recent fortnight - day by day.

Yet there's been massive fluctuations in daily deaths & admitted to hospital. The probability that the number of new serious admissions who live less than 1 day EXACTLY matching the number from the day before is very low. To match for 12 days straight = they have been mostly dying out of hospital at the nursing homes.

Or the officials figures released each day are false.

Typically (using figures out of US & EU) someone put into ICU +/or ventilation either lives for another 17 days before succumbing, longest 97 days, or fully recovers to the point they're out of ICU. So the VIc situation is either a world first, the deaths are virtually all out of hospital or the numbers are falsified.

Iran, as a country, was the first obvious example of this - stage managed numbers.
[In the absence of a breakdown of the ICU system...] Early deaths from Covid are very likely to be in frail vulnerable people who are not able to withstand or benefit from the rigors of intubation. They will often be from nursing homes and be managed palliatively.
 
... Then Gladys complains that Qld did not personally notify her before changing the restrictions for entry into Qld for people living in Greater Sydney starting in a f5 days time - pot, kettle, black ....
Poor Glad looks as though she carries all the problems of the World in her head.

Pity about having Labor premiers on the Southern and Northern borders.

Edit: However, a pretty tough job at the best of times
 
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