Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

[jakeseven7]

View attachment 232620

Great testing rates as well at 13.5K.

I wish we could get more people testing in other states somehow. They should incentivise people or something....

 

[lovetravellingoz]

Importantly Vic still achieving zeros after over a week now of greater mixing after restrictions were eased.

 

[RooFlyer]

Great testing rates as well at 13.5K.

I wish we could get more people testing in other states somehow. They should incentivise people or something....

Hopefully not the same incentinivation as Victoria ...

 

[RAM]

Importantly Vic still achieving zeros after over a week now of greater mixing after restrictions were eased.

You sure like tempting fate!

That's a bit like saying, "I never get punctures" before starting out on a road trip.

_________________________________________________​

Recently there were some posts questioning how the vaccine will be distributed due to most of the front runners needing to be stored at -70 Celsius or below - something that virtually no existing pharmaceutical requires, and certainly none on bulk.

One AFFer mentioned they'd been working on constructing a massive refrigerated facility at one major airport for an import/export logistics firm. Apart from the technical requirements to achieve -70 Celsius (very specialised equipment). There's the matter of how to ship vaccines around the world.

This quote from IATA helps put the task into perspective:

IATA has even gone on record to say “8,000 Boeing 747 freighters’ will be needed to transport a sufficient number of vaccines. The unprecedented logistical task is even more difficult given the current state of the aviation industry. According to de Juniac:

“If borders remain closed, travel curtailed, fleets grounded and employees furloughed, the capacity to deliver life-saving vaccines will be very much compromised.”

How Airlines Are Preparing To Ship The COVID-19 Vaccine

simpleflying.com

With this article detailing one particular issue that suggests the IATA estimate is out by an order of magnitude due to limitations on how much 'coolant' can be carried per flight.

Why Cargo Dry Ice Limitations Could Limit The Distribution Of The COVID-19 Vaccine

simpleflying.com

 

[lovetravellingoz]

You sure like tempting fate!

I don't believe in fate.

With the last "true" mystery case having been in Vic on 15th Oct, almost 3 weeks ago, the current trend is a good one. Obviously we need longer yet as there could still be an unknown asymptomatic spreader or two. But we are are now past one incubation period and are a week away from two incubation periods.


However even if, or rather when, another mystery case pops up with cases so low, and contact tracing and other resources having all been ramped up it means that if another case emerges that Victoria is now much better positioned to jump on it that it was at the start of the second wave.

As people mixing increases and business activity resumes, including international passengers arriving in Vic in say a month, then sooner or later there will be another case (Just as in New Zealand this week there have been another two hotel quarantine workers return positive tests. And this following a steady occurrences of similar breaches in NZ), but the important thing is that systems have been improve to deal with this.

Moving forward as we re-open up all states, including Victoria, this is what we need in what will "Covid normal" times. ie The ability to jump on and contain any new case (whether it be from sea freight, iron ore carriers, international arriving passengers or unknown local transmission).

Soon the risk from unknown community transmission should be so low that all state borders will be able to be re-opened. But sooner or later cases will emerge from somewhere such as the ongoing cases that pop up in NZ show.

 

[jb747]

Re dry ice... It’s only a limitation if you want the cabin air to be breathable.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

No new local cases in NSW





So this should mean another day of no new local cases in Australia today

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Nsw mystery case watch

Today’s reports indicate:
- 1 in the past 7 days
- 0 in the period 8-14 days
- 1 in the period 15-28 days
- 33 older than 28 days but since before Crossroads emerged.

So no change over the past 3 days - since Saturday.

Nsw mystery case watch

Today’s reports indicate:
- 0 in the past 7 days
- 1 in the period 8-14 days
- 0 in the period 15-28 days
- 34 older than 28 days but since before Crossroads emerged.

So an expected change today due to usual aging.

 

[jakeseven7]

Nsw mystery case watch

Today’s reports indicate:
- 0 in the past 7 days
- 1 in the period 8-14 days
- 0 in the period 15-28 days
- 34 older than 28 days but since before Crossroads emerged.

So an expected change today due to usual aging.

Tick tock goes the infamous border clock for both VIC and NSW!! Fingers crossed....

 

[lovetravellingoz]

Ok, a different type of doughnut in Victoria today. ZERO cases now in aged care

And only one active heathcare worker case now remains. Hospitalisations remains at 2 which is where it has been since 31st Oct..



Plus total active cases is now down to only 20. And at the current rate of decline will be approaching zero very soon.

 

[Lynda2475]

From Todays, SMH.com.au:



Pity it doesnt show the breakdown between overseas acquired and local cases.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

From Todays, SMH.com.au:

View attachment 232693

Pity it doesnt show the breakdown between overseas acquired and local cases.

As I said yesterday, the NSW Health reports indicate the NSW active case figure are all local cases having been derived/linked to local tests.

Vic is clearly local. NT, Qld, WA and SA are all from overseas I believe.

PS tomorrow Australia is a chance of being under 50 active local cases and under 100 active cases

 

[Lynda2475]

Map of where the active cases are in NSW:





I havent seen any warning for Goulburn - so was surprised to see they have 2 cases. Might have the ACT worried.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

Note this is new active cases per day, and not a running total.




. *31/10: SA local case was child in medi-hotel, technically local known source but no risk.


EDIT I have added the info below to explain the SA local known case in the graph above.





31/10/2020
There have been four new cases of COVID-19 today. There have now been a total of 501 cases reported in South Australia.
South Australian COVID-19 Cases
Today’s cases are a man and woman in their 70s and a woman in her 50s, all who recently returned from overseas and returned positive results in hotel quarantine. They have been in a medi-hotel since their arrival and there is no public health risk.

The fourth case is child who is a known contact of a positive case and is also in a medi-hotel.

COVID-19 Update 31 October

www.covid-19.sa.gov.au

 

[Pushka]

From Todays, SMH.com.au:

View attachment 232693

Pity it doesnt show the breakdown between overseas acquired and local cases.

Which would make a zero then for all SA cases for months.

 

[Lynda2475]

Where the Vic active cases are:

 

[Lynda2475]

As I said yesterday, the NSW Health reports indicate the NSW active case figure are all local cases having been derived/linked to local tests.

If NSW Health are now only reporting active local cases and that is what the SMH appears ot have used, they need to fix the label on their graph! As Im pretty sure there are many more active cases in Hotels, as the number of positives in overseas arrivals has been steadily climbing last few weeks, as situation worsens overseas, and the international arrivals into Sydney arent dedicated repatriation flighst witht he extra health checks liek the ones into Darwin.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

Which would make a zero then for all SA cases for months.

There was locally acquired case reported in SA on 31st October.

 

[Pushka]

There was locally acquired case reported in SA on 31st October.

View attachment 232700

Really? News to me. That is last week. Actually I think it was a close contact of an overseas traveller and both were in quarantine so if that's the case it doesn't equate to locally acquired as not in the community.
"The fourth case is child who is a known contact of a positive case and is also in a medi-hotel."

COVID-19 Update 31 October | SA Health

There have been four new cases of COVID-19 today. There have now been a total of 501 cases reported in South Australia.

www.sahealth.sa.gov.au

 

[lovetravellingoz]

Really? News to me. That is last week.

If SAHealth is accurate then yes.