Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

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The WA Health Minister Roger Cook said a decision had not yet to been made, as the state's Chief Health Officer had been "distracted" in responding to the coronavirus outbreak on Sydney's Northern Beaches.

"We'll be making more announcements or comments in relation to South Australia in the very near future," he told ABC Radio Perth.


I think distracted means 'gave the wrong advice'
 
3 from the cluster I believe.
Nurse, and the first two cases of the cluster.

Nurse does not have a direct link.

Then there is a crew transport driver reported 17/12 earlier in the month.

and the Hotel quarantine worker 4/12.

total 5 by my reckoning.

edit: at least 3 are officially classed as under investigation

5 stated by four week report - updates daily Usually after about 11am, but probably later at the Moment given nsw daily press conferences


cough was hoping they’d linked them by now.

Sounds like they are not confident of locating the index case anymore and not great they haven’t joined the transmission dots either with the nurse yet... Hopefully they do.
 
One of my patients had to get home yesterday so he could greet his daughter and son in law and his first grandchild that he hasn't seen.They are from Broken Hill but had booked their flight to Tassie via Sydney and it got cancelled yesterday.Only flight out they could get on out of Broken Hill was Rex to Adelaide.Could make a connection to the JQ HBA flight to hobart but that got into HBA after 7pm on 24/12 and no rental car available.
My patient is wheel chair bound his wife blind.No other family in Tasmania.So Christmas is off.
Having been the same position; QF ADL-SYD and JQ SYD-LST has worked for me. Things have freed up a bit lately and via MEL is also on the table. Given the date, prices could well be an issue though. Jetstar is only cheap if they don't see you coming!
 
cough was hoping they’d linked them by now.

Sounds like they are not confident of locating the index case anymore and not great they haven’t joined the transmission dots either with the nurse yet... Hopefully they do.
So if it’s unlinked, NSW remains locked out of Queensland.

We move on and make our own plans.

More revenue for NSW tourism operators, who must be struggling to meet demand in regional NSW.

In short, the highest income group and largest source market in the country is locked out of all other states. Let’s see how much pressure all other tourism industries can sustain. Evidence is coming in already about the desperation in Queensland...


The estimated impact is now $3 billion of this border closure:
 
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cough I wa shopping they’d linked them by now.

Sounds like they are not confident of locating the index case anymore and not great they haven’t joined the transmission dots either with the nurse yet... Hopefully they do.
Yeah, NSW is taking a bit of leap of faith for Christmas.

As I indicated, by 1 Jan, the source of Avalon cluster is effectively redundant. Testing rates has narrowed its possible location.

the nurse is one case, and I think NSW have successfully handled before a situation of 1 case not directly linked, but epidemiologically linked.

Media is pretty hopeless from their questioning and seemingly none have figured it out.

Edit: unfortunately with the modifications for Christmas will mean a lot of people (bordering on covidiots) will decide to visit many households, potentially away from places of residence, so no daily visitor caps are breached.
 
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Classic NoNews reporting here (apologies if already posted and I missed it).

"Brexit Flu" strain :rolleyes:
 
Perhaps the good thing about a secular and/or multicultural workforce is that not everyone needs to celebrate Christmas
Although back in 1973 as a Senior Registrar at RPAH I was asked to fill in for the Clinical Superintendent in December.I was then responsible for rostering over the Christmas/New year period.It was the secular/multicultural residents/registrars that were far more likely to request Christmas off.
 
Test numbers huge = exceptionally good.

I did note last night that one of the journos who lives in the northern braches stated that it took 48 hrs for her to get her results back.

Probably not surprising given the sheet volume of tests now.
 
So according to the press conference they are up to 6 mystery / unlinked cases including the office workers and the news which is still concerning them clearly as it means possible transmission outside of northern beaches. Grrrr.
 
Not a negative comment in any way. But I note that NSW reports test taken whereas Vic Reports test results received.

So for example 9 positive tests today will most probably not be 9 positive tests in 60K.
 
So according to the press conference they are up to 6 mystery / unlinked cases including the office workers and the news which is still concerning them clearly as it means possible transmission outside of northern beaches. Grrrr.

Yes as it still means that apart from the testing and wasterwater testing that they do not know where the virus may be or who may have.

As you have said the virus is not contained and has already moved as far afield as Vic and Qld as well as regional NSW (Orange etc).

With each Avalon sub-cluster too there are many questions:
  • Did one cluster create the other through unknown transmission? ie One leak from quaratine/aircrew
  • Or where they both infected through different transmission chains from whomever arrived in the USA with it? ie Two leaks from quaratine/aircrew


Huge test volumes per day are excellent, but it is reliant in the main in people deciding to go and get tested. If not tested and found positive it also undermines contact tracing. A significant reason why the Victorian second wave got as big as it did was that a significant number of people from particular demographics did not go and get tested for a numbers of reasons, and some that did did not isolate. That there were also often in very large multi generational households of 15 odd connected with similar households just very conducive to spread as well. It all added to the momentum, capped off by also working in workplaces that were conducive to transmission.
 
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Not a negative comment in any way. But I note that NSW reports test taken whereas Vic Reports test results received.

So for example 9 positive tests today will most probably not be 9 positive tests in 60K.

Well results are within 48 hours, so even if it is:

9 / 41, 865 (Wed Tests) or 9 / 44, 466 (Tue Tests) = positivity rate is 0.02% which is neglibly higher than 9 / 60,184 = 0.01% if we use todays test numbers.

I missed today's 11am presser as had to go pick up prawns for xmas lunch, will need to go find it online now for more detail.
 
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