I am still struggling to understand this whole thing. The "numbers" out there in the media are completely useless, even though they are just what is actually available to them. A common theme I have heard from medical people who seem to know what they are talking about is that the overall death rate from COVID is somewhere around 1% - give or take a bit. They are struggling, as we all are, with the lack of sufficient testing. It is not so much about who is positive and who is negative - at the end of the day the actual mortality rate can only be defined by testing EVERYONE eventually and thus deciphering who actually caught COVID and survived - it is way too early for that sort of info to come in. But as I say, the "experts" are all talking about somewhere around 1%. Not 10% as seen in basket case countries, but also not 0.1%
And obviously the fatality rate will depend also on medical resources - hence the whole "flattening the curve" concept. I really get the fundamentals of this now, and by God I hope here in Australia we take advantage of our extremely low population concentrations, great health system, and national decency, to come out of this as best can be. Already in society (at least here in Qld - suspect similar elsewhere) people have actually transformed to a much more socially/physically distant day to day reality - which can only be very good. Really this accomplishment has been made in unbelievably quick fashion - who would have thought just two months ago they could not go to the pub or to their gym? That restaurants would be universally closed!!
But the maths still scares me. I think the coming weeks in the USA will reveal the horror of this virus. I was one of those that at the outset took this whole thing flippantly - thought it was a storm in a teacup. But the initial info from China is now being shown to be incorrect, or at least not applicable to other societies. We face the very probable loss of many tens if not hundreds of thousands of our nation - this makes me very unhappy. The economic side, despite it being painful in some sense, to me just does not warrant feeling - we will not starve, our country will survive. It is the impending collective loss of so many loved ones that appalls me. I take heart in what I have already expressed - that it appears that most of society is adapting extremely quickly to a lockdown that will save people. And I also admire the intense and innovative strivings that our medical profession is taking to come up with more tools to beat that dreaded curve....