Qantas Delays/Cancellations

On Tuesday 2 July 2019, the 2345 hours Monday 1 QF108 (PEK down to SYD) departed at 0155 so arrival is expected at 1550 hours, 150 minutes behind schedule. This will delay QF43, the 1630 hours SYD - DPS to a projected 1705 hours pushback - minimum turnaround.

Also on Monday 1, long haul QF1 departed LHR 52 late at 2157 so Tuesday 2 Lion City (SIN) arrival is an estimated 1840, 75 late. Tonight's second sector is forecast to depart SIN at 2005, 35 late with Wednesday 3 SYD arrival 0550, 40 late. Is avoidance of a previous usual flight path at least slightly contributing to this given the USA's concerns about Iran?

QF80, Monday's 2005 hours NRT - MEL redeye did not push back until 2219, taking off at 2254. On Tuesday 2, as at 0930 hours it remained holding above Tocumwal, so arrival may be later than the 0949 hours (134 late) that QF is predicting. As the aircraft A333 VH-QPJ is forming the 0940 hours MEL - HKG QF29, the latter will be delayed until at least 1110 in departure with HKG arrival optimistically predicted as 1825, 65 late. In turn this may lead to one of the Oz-bound evening departures from HKG being delayed tonight.

QF413 (B738 VH-VYA, the 0745 hours SYD - MEL airborne at 0806, only about five minutes behind schedule) should arrive at 0953, 33 late as it had to hold above Mt Buller.

UPDATE: Expected pushback for QF29 out of MEL has become 1130.
 
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'The 29' ended up departing MEL at 1155 with HKG 2 July arrival predicted as 1856, 96 minutes behind schedule.

B717 VH-YQS is operating QF6200 from HBA to SYD, having taken off at 1309. Presumably this is a 'ferry' (empty) flight.

QF79, the 0910 hours 2 July MEL - NRT was also badly delayed with departure at 1235 and takeoff at 1247 hours meaning arrival suggested as 2140, 185 minutes behind schedule for A333 VH-QPI, which had arrived in MEL this morning 15 early at 0720 from HKG overnight as QF30, so not sure why the delay to 'the 79.'

This is the second time in the last four QF79s that the flight has been more than an hour late. Usually it's punctual or close to it, unlike the SYD - BKK QF23 or SYD - MNL QF19 to name a couple of other daily A332/A333 flights to Asia.
 
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On Tuesday 2 July 2019, the 2345 hours Monday 1 QF108 (PEK down to SYD) departed at 0155 so arrival is expected at 1550 hours, 150 minutes behind schedule. This will delay QF43, the 1630 hours SYD - DPS to a projected 1705 hours pushback - minimum turnaround....

QF43 did not become airborne until 1803, so DPS arrival has become a predicted 2135, 2201 hours, 56 minutes late. Redeye QF44 should depart DPS 35 late at 2300 with Wednesday 3 arrival in SYD 0705 hours, 40 late.
 
Wednesday 3 July has QF29, the 0940 hours MEL - HKG) again delayed with departure at 1143 hours meaning suggested arrival at 1900 tonight, 100 minuts late.

'The 79' to NRT pushed back in MEL 64 late at 1014 with at gate arrival showing as 1939, also 64 late.

The SYD to JNB B744, QF63 was off its blocks 48 late at 1143 late this morning with same day arrival forecast ahalf an hour late, at 1730 in the late afternoon local time.

QF127 has had a really bad delay with this 1020 hours SYD - HKG pushing back at 1434, 254 minutes late and taking off at 1452, so arrival is predicted at 2200 hours late this evening, 240 late. At present Wednesday is the one day of the week when this B789 flight becomes an A333, in today's case VH-QPA, presumably so the B789 can be maintained. QPA had arrived this morning in SYD nine minutes early at 0951 hours on QF118 ex HKG, so no obvious reason for the significant delay. One wonders if a flight crew member suddenly had to go off sick and QF scratch around for a qualified replacement.

UPDATE: QF127's expected arrival has become 2131, so not quite as bad as four hours late.

QF41 (1345 hours SYD - CGK) departed 80 late at 1505, so QF42 back overnight to SYD will be at least a little late this evening.

The next outbound flight (sequentially), QF43 is the 1630 hours SYD - DPS A332 that is forecast to depart an hour late.
 
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In more on 3 July 2019, QF43, the 1630 hours SYD - DPS departed at 1728 (see why above) with arrival predicted as 2210, 65 minutes behind schedule. This will delay QF44 back overnight (redeye) down to SYD with its revised off blocks time being 2325 hours, an hour behind schedule, meaning SYD 4 July arrival at 0730, 65 down.

UPDATE: qf43 must be being pushed along by favourable winds as arrival has radically altered to a predicted 2126, just 21 late with QF44 expected to push back in DPS at 2245, only 20 late.
 
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QF777 (Wednesday 3 July, the 1720 hours late afternoon MEL - PER) was not airborne until 2022 so arrival has become a very late 2213, 163 late for A332 VH-EBN.
 
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Thursday 4 July 2019 has QF80 from NRT to MEL (A333 VH-QPC) suggested as arriving 32 late at 0842 hours.

A388 VH-OQD on QF94 ex LAX on Tuesday night did not take off until 0130 on Wednesday 3, so Thursday 4 arrival is 0947, 137 minutes late, but still in sufficient time to form a punctual 1155 hours MEL - SIN (QF35.)
 
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For the third time in four days, QF29 (0940 hours MEL - HKG) will be more than half an hour late arriving, in today's case 45 down at 1805 as it departed at 1112 hours, 92 late. It has an A332 - VH-EBV - that is unusual as it's normally an A333. The aircraft arrived in MEL this morning 15 late at 0750 hours on QF30 ex HKG, and on Tuesday night was on QF117 SYD - HKG, laying over for the day in the SAR.

As at 1130, QF79, the 0910 hours MEL - NRT does not appear to have pushed back. AFFer Himeno may correct me but the slots situation at NRT is not as tight IIRC as at HND.
 
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QF7, the 1235 hours SYD - DFW has been cancelled (gaz0303 and me were concurrently notifying this.) So has QF8, the Thursday 4 July 2225 hours DFW - SYD not due to depart for about 16 hours.

Advice as to what other flight(s) passengers were or are to be placed on, transfers, meals and names of hotel(s) (if any) would be great.

Assuming that there was minimal notice, a difficulty is that almost all Oz - USA flights - QF73 SYD - SFO, QF55 when it operates BNE - LAX and QF49/95 MEL - SFO/LAX are some exceptions - depart in the morning between 0900 and 1130 hours. So options for nonstop flights become limited later in the day.

Earlier, QF11 departed SYD 33 late at 1008 with same day LAX arrival likely at 0702, 42 minutes tardy.
 
I missed this earlier today - apologies - but QF63, the 1055 hours morning SYD - JNB did not depart until 1254, so arrival is estimated - same day - as 1840, 100 minutes late. The redeye QF64 is predicted to arrive SYD on Friday 5 at 1605, 70 minutes behind schedule after departing JNB tonight at 2025, 75 minutes tardy.

This may change but from the gate numbers, it looks like the arrival B744 tomorrow from QF64 is not operating either QF73 to SFO or QF25 to HND, so both should not be late due to the delay ex JNB tonight.
 
QF1579 (Friday 5 July, the scheduled 0625 hours MCY down to SYD that was airborne at 0757 with B717 VH-YQW) should arrive at 0926 hours, 76 minutes late.
 
Continuing with Friday 5 July 2019, QF29, the 0940 hours morning MEL - HKG has had a most unimpressive week with unpunctuality a staple.

Today's no exception with departure delayed to 1215 hours, and estimated arrival to 2000 tonight local time, 160 minutes behind schedule.

B744-operated QF63 is another flight with a less than amazing on time performance: its departure should be 50 late at 1145 meaning arrival at 1735, 35 down.

UPDATE: QF63 pushed back in SYD at 1156 hours, 61 late with JNB arrival predicted as 1749, 49 late.
 
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QF41, Friday 5 July's 1345 hours from SYD up to CGK is predicted to depart 75 late at 1500 hours mid afternoon. This flight is often early or punctual. Quite unusual for it to be this late, unlike QF23 to BKK or to a slightly lesser extent QF19 to MNL.

A332 VH-EBJ is on what is most likely an empty working - 'ferry' flight' - having taken off from MEL at 1159 hours, so SYD arrival is 1300 or after.

VH-EBN is following, on QF426 (1100 hours late morning MEL - SYD in the sky at 1212 hours) with arrival at an estimated 1319 hours, 54 late.
 
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QF19, the 1210 hours SYD - MNL (Friday 5 July) an hour ago was showing as just a 20 minute delay so in line with usual practice it wasn't recorded here. However a further revised departure at 1600 this afternoon (230 minutes late) has just been advised, with MNL arrival to be a suggested 2140 tonight local time, 190 late. This will delay QF20, the 2000 hours redeye tonight MNL - SYD to a changed pushback at around 2300 hours, so SYD arrival tomorrow will be in the post-0830 hours region compared with the usual 0610 hours.

The identically timed departure from SYD, QF107 but to PEK was also earlier displaying as a benign 20 minute delay but this has blown out to revised pushback at 130-0 hours and arrival tonight in the mainland Chinese capital at 2225, only 10 minutes late.

UPDATE: QF107 departed 49 late at 1259 but is only expected a minute late to its PEK gate at 2216 tonight.

In contrast, the departure delay for QF19 ex SYD has extended to a predicted 1645 hours.
 
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QF812 (Friday 5 July 1315 hours lunchtime MEL up to CBR airborne at 1434) has B738 VH-VZU and is arriving at 1525 hours, 65 late.

B717 VH-YQY on QF1587, the 1355 hours SYD down to HBA took off at 1456. Anticipated arrival is 1636, 41 late.

The 1235 hours SYD across to SCL very long B744 flight departed at 1309 with same day arrival suggested as 1149, 44 late. This will delay the returning QF28 at least a little.

The tardy QF41 (SYD to CGK) that was predicted to depart at 1500 did so at 1517, 92 late with at gate arrival forecast as 2000 tonight, 80 late. This will delay the returning QF42 redeye back down to SYD.

The 1615 hours MEL - SIN (QF37) should depart half an hour behind its timetable.

Thursday 4 July's QF2 pushed back in LHR 13 late at 2118 with Friday 5 SIn arrival estimated as 1800 hours, 35 late. This makes an on time departure for the second sector down to SYD at 1930 challenging but the flight often picks up time on a gate-to-gate basis.

B744 VH-OEI in its sunset months is approaching SYD on QF64. Last night it took off from JNB at 2108 (pushback is timetabled for 1910) so 5 July afternoon SYD arrival should be 1641, 106 minutes tardy. As stated yesterday, it doesn't appear from the gate numbers to be forming QF73 to SFO at 1740 (or QF25 to HND at 2050 hours ex SYD) but (in something I omitted yesterday) is forming QF3 at 1915 hours to HNL. 154 minutes should be sufficient to turn it around for an on time departure of 'the 3.'

QF450 (1630 hours afternpoon MEL - SYD) has been canned.

UPDATE: The estimated delay to QF37 from MEL has become 75 minutes, not 30.
 
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QF484, the Friday 5 July 1915 hours MEL - SYD is predicted to depart 40 minutes behind schedule.

QF29 had been predicted to depart MEL at 1215 (155 late) but this occurred at 1236 hours. Arrival in HKG should be 1938, 138 minutes late. QF optimistically predicts as a result that QF98 from HKG down to BNE will only be 35 minutes late pushing back at 2050 hours. This is possible, but unfortunately turnarounds may take longer than 72 minutes.

The 1210 hours SYD - MNL departed 302 minutes late at 1712 with estimated arrival in the Philippine capital at 2246 hours, 256 minutes behind schedule. A332 VH-EBS is the aircraft. It arrived in SYD four minutes early at 0706 this morning on QF34 ex KIX. One surmises it must have required repairs. QF20 (MNL - SYD, the 2000 hours) is predicted to depart on the stroke of midnight with SYD arrival on Saturday 6 at 1005 hours, 235 minutes behind schedule. It is then to form the 1345 hours (QF41) SYD to CGK so barring unexpected events, that ought be timely.
 
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In even more on 5 July 2019, QF37 departed MEL 85 late at 1740 hours. SIN arrival for A333 VH-QPC is expected at 2335 late tonight local time, 70 late. As this aircraft arrived in MEL this morning on QF80 at 0828 hours, 18 late, there's no obvious reason for the delay. The A333 should tehn return to MEL on the QF38 redeye, due out as per its timetable at 2350 but more likely to push back at about 0050 on Saturday 6.

QF635 from BNE down to MEL has B738 VH-VZB and is arriving at its MEL gate at 2109, 34 minutes late.

The 1845 hours SYD down to CBR did not take off until 2021 with B717 VH-YQS. Arrival is expected for this QF1525 at 2058 hours, 78 minutes tardy.
 
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...The 1210 hours SYD - MNL departed 302 minutes late at 1712 with estimated arrival in the Philippine capital at 2246 hours, 256 minutes behind schedule. A332 VH-EBS is the aircraft. It arrived in SYD four minutes early at 0706 this morning on QF34 ex KIX. One surmises it must have required repairs. QF20 (MNL - SYD, the 2000 hours) is predicted to depart on the stroke of midnight with SYD arrival on Saturday 6 at 1005 hours, 235 minutes behind schedule. It is then to form the 1345 hours (QF41) SYD to CGK so barring unexpected events, that ought be timely.

Friday's QF19 arrived MNL at 2253, 263 late. QF20 then pushed back at 0016 on Saturday 6, 256 late with SYD arrival estimated as 1031, 261 late.

QF81, the Saturday 6 1010 hours SYD - SIN is suggested as departing 80 late.

The 0630 hours early morning HBA up to SYD, QF1582 (B717 VH-YQY) departed at 0835 with arrival at 1020 hours, two hours late.

On Friday 5 July, QF28 departed SCL 51 late at 1421 hours mid afternoon. Saturday 6 arrival in SYD should be 1845 hours, 55 late. This aircraft is then proceeding to HND on the 2050 hours ex SYD QF25, so the latter should be timely.
 
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