OATEK
Senior Member
- Joined
- Apr 12, 2013
- Posts
- 5,590
Given that the QF787s can do one stop PER to most EU destinations they are likely to fly to (CDG, LHR, FCO, FRA) then the A350s would likely only be overkill on these routes. Can't see them putting these on just to provide F, nor the refitting of the 787s with F. So all the A350/Sunrise discussion around PER is wasted on this thread IMO when the Sunrise initiative already has its own thread.I'm saying that many of these flights (capacity is a difference question) to these cities would still exist with or without connecting passengers.
That's the difference between USA to Aus vs Aus to Europe. There are dozens of cities in between in Asia and the Middle East whereas there's nothing the Pacific Ocean (unless Atlantis was here).
Airlines make a lot more money in winter than they do in summer. In the US for example American, Southwest, Spirit, JetBlue all made steep losses in the first quarter of 2024 (winter in the north). AF-KLM and Lufthansa group have had disappointing results (again winter in the north). I know AA has shuffled their network a lot to account for this and still plan to do a lot more.
Most airlines will just take on the weaker results but AA, DL, and UA in particular have decided to dump a lot of capacity here
Again I can go on and on but winter is generally a weak spot.
To the average pax there is no difference between a transit in PER vs a transit in SIN/DXB/HKG/etc. The only difference is for the airline is that they get to charge an arm and a leg for those living in Perth because people in Perth are willing to pay extra for a nonstop., and PER is and will be a great hub because it makes money plain and simple.
I don't really want to elaborate more because this has gone off-topic, and the reason I did that was because of a few others made a few dubious claims.
As regards the non-stop discussion generally, which is very applicable to PER, then I see limited scope for QF. I can see seasonal availability as we have now to some ports being a goer, but year round is a stretch. Unless pax from SYD/MEL/BNE connect via PER, meaning they would be one-stop flights for them (and on inferior domestic aircraft in terms of J & PE), then the market out of WA will be constrained.
I was very grateful for the non-stop DRW-LHR flights as we came out of covid, removing a lot of risk around intermediate airports. But generally, like many on here, I will not be looking at non-stop from the east coast to EU/UK at any time in the future.