I'm hoping that the numbers need to be in the tens of thousands before mutations occur. I think Australia is just not used to higher numbers but in the viral world, the numbers are tiny. But of course that's maybe just me being Pollyanna.
But what if the new strain is more infectious than delta but less severe. It is believed that that is what happened with the 1918 flu pandemic after the third wave.
The statistics are the statistics. The several thousand cases in Sydney are statistically unlikely to generate a new variant. The UK with it's 6 million cases (in reality probably double that) managed to generate one (that we know of).That’s around about 20 million per variant. Only another 19,995,000 or so cases fo go
This somewhat facile attempt to laugh off the threat is interesting.
If one assumes that we are approaching mid point of the third wave, at circa 600,000 new cases per day, and use the 20m per variant as actual data , we can expect a new variant of concern every 30 or so days.
The current wave is about 40 days old so perhaps we already have a new variant of concern circulating somewhere.
What will it bring to the viral strength and longevity of Covid ?
I was referring to the ludicrous suggestion there would be a Sydney variant. Of course there will be new varianrs globally but with the case numbers in Australia the way they are, it’s extremely unlikely they would occur here.That’s around about 20 million per variant. Only another 19,995,000 or so cases fo go
This somewhat facile attempt to laugh off the threat is interesting.
If one assumes that we are approaching mid point of the third wave, at circa 600,000 new cases per day, and use the 20m per variant as actual data , we can expect a new variant of concern every 30 or so days.
The current wave is about 40 days old so perhaps we already have a new variant of concern circulating somewhere.
What will it bring to the viral strength and longevity of Covid ?
He's already updating...now it's <500 but a new record.
Updating = hopeless.
That'll be fun at the checkpoints - and also will be interesting to see if the Commonwealth allows state access into the vaccination database
You don’t get the certificate until both doses if I recall…
Yes, but 1 dose would be on the full immunisation history statement (if the provider promptly uploads) - 2 dose would be the covid-19 digital certificate.
