Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

[HappyFlyerFamily]

I haven’t heard what the link is between the QLD truckie and the 4yo girl is. Daughter of a co-worker?

Same, all I've heard is close contact. Niece, granddaughter???

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Series of news.com.au questions/survey relating to lockdown, borders, vaccination/unvaccinated freedoms

How we should treat the anti-vaxxers

Australia has reached a critical point in its attempt to escape the Covid pandemic.

www.news.com.au

 

[oz_mark]

I haven’t heard what the link is between the QLD truckie and the 4yo girl is. Daughter of a co-worker?

According to Nine Queensland won't go into lockdown over four-year-old with coronavirus

The girl is the daughter of an administrative officer who works in the same area of the truck company's headquarters and is a family friend of the truck driver.

 

[Bundy Bear]

According to Nine Queensland won't go into lockdown over four-year-old with coronavirus

Not today anyway.
Brisbane Lions play Western bulldogs in the AFL semi finals and Brisbane Broncos play their final game in the NRL home and away.
money talks.

 

[Princess Fiona]

According to Nine Queensland won't go into lockdown over four-year-old with coronavirus

At some point QLD’s very good run of luck is going to come to an end.

I hope not for them but this could be it.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

According to Nine Queensland won't go into lockdown over four-year-old with coronavirus

Not today anyway.
Brisbane Lions play Western bulldogs in the AFL semi finals and Brisbane Broncos play their final game in the NRL home and away.
money talks.

At some point QLD’s very good run of luck is going to come to an end.

I hope not for them but this could be it.

Doesn't that make it probable that at one other person is infected???

 

[Princess Fiona]

Doesn't that make it probably that at one other person is infected???

In NSW we are finding that if one household member is diagnosed positive their entire household is either already infected or will become so.
The community exposures overwhelmingly occur prior to the diagnosis of the first family member.
So yes it’s entirely possible that there are other family infected.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Haha - today NSW authorities press conference - all questions journalists had seemed to have been asked today. Not necessarily that all have been answered adequately. Well done NSW Health Minister.

 

[jakeseven7]

As true as this may be, if the system has failed then it has done so much later than in other parts of the world. And everything I have heard about NSW is that they have done a lot of work to prepare for this.

No system in the world could contact trace these amount of numbers it’s just not possible.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

In NSW we are finding that if one household member is diagnosed positive their entire household is either already infected or will become so.
The community exposures overwhelmingly occur prior to the diagnosis of the first family member.
So yes it’s entirely possible that there are other family infected.

Thanks - I was thinking more at the same time (common social event) or intermediate between the truck driver and child, not subsequent to the child being the first infected.

 

[jase05]

32 in the ACT today

 

[burmans]

Who ever would have thought that epidemiological dynamics turn out to be more complicated than just eyeballing moving averages?

Well of course if you'd actually read my post instead of indulging your desire to be a smartarse you'd find that I also said myself that a couple of days would change predictions a lot and I felt a lot more confident predicting the trend than actual numbers. And the trend is still clear, the rate of increase is slowing down.

 

[Bundy Bear]

Its likely that there will be a mass testing blitz of known contacts, with testing being done now, if only 1 person is positive we will go into lockdown at midnight.
The politicians are trying to win brownie points after the stupid comments made this week by Anna, so restaurants and football will be doing a good trade today knowing that lockdown is around the corner.
Once we do go into lockdown we won’t be coming out for a few weeks.

 

[oz_mark]

Its likely that there will be a mass testing blitz of known contacts, with testing being done now, if only 1 person is positive we will go into lockdown at midnight.
The politicians are trying to win brownie points after the stupid comments made this week by Anna, so restaurants and football will be doing a good trade today knowing that lockdown is around the corner.
Once we do go into lockdown we won’t be coming out for a few weeks.

How are toilet paper sales going?

 

[ketsuzei]

if you'd actually read my post

Oh I read it, I just found "looks to me like x' is going up or down" to be as completely vacuous a statement as "looks to me like x is going up or down".

smartarse

Ooooooh, nice one Kiwi, you sure showed me.

 

[Spongbob]

As the 45th POTUS once said: "a downward uptick".

 

[nutwood]

No system in the world could contact trace these amount of numbers it’s just not possible.

I totally agree but all the talk on opening up, based on Doherty, is using "optimal TTIQ". That ship sailed, hit a rock and sank, a long time ago!

 

[Must...Fly!]

I totally agree but all the talk on opening up, based on Doherty, is using "optimal TTIQ". That ship sailed, hit a rock and sank, a long time ago!

What are the likes of Denmark doing so well then? Or have all the vulnerable died off...

 

[nutwood]

What are the likes of Denmark doing so well then? Or have all the vulnerable died off...

Fair question. I don't know. What I do know is that effectively testing, tracing, isolating and quarantining cannot be practically possible when there are hundreds of new cases every day, most of which have been happily circulating.
I have to confess that I haven't dived extensively into the Doherty figures but from what I can see, their optimal TTIQ was based on low numbers circulating. Some of their research might survive extrapolation but I'm very doubtful that optimal TTIQ does.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

What are the likes of Denmark doing so well then? Or have all the vulnerable died off...

Fair question. I don't know. What I do know is that effectively testing, tracing, isolating and quarantining cannot be practically possible when there are hundreds of new cases every day, most of which have been happily circulating.
I have to confess that I haven't dived extensively into the Doherty figures but from what I can see, their optimal TTIQ was based on low numbers circulating. Some of their research might survive extrapolation but I'm very doubtful that optimal TTIQ does.

What is the Denmark - lockdown, etc - rules/triggers in a vaccinated world?