Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Hospitalization rates aren’t yet rising though.
Anecdotally we are seeing a lot more patients presenting to EDs but many are seen and discharged.
Hopefully the vaccination rates will keep it that way.

Do you mean covid patients or just patients in general?

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Again taking one day out of a data set means very little. Need to look at the whole data set. - see my previous post. Statistics is never about taking one data point out, but rather how it all fitstogether.
The Qld data set for last 8 weeks point to a standard deviation of 1.7 ranks. This means that each day in that data set has a variability of about 1.7 ranks.

Well you can keep describing statistical deviations/variations. Can you give me the odds of one Monday reported test figure being lower than the Sunday (day before) after eight Mondays were higher than the corresponding day before with no apparent change in testing protocol?

I just point out yesterday's reported lower test figure is unusual.
Just like I noted the ICU figure had a noteworthy "one day" drop last week.

 

[Princess Fiona]

Do you mean covid patients or just patients in general?

Covid patients

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Covid patients

Has any of the criteria for sending covid patients home changed as a result of some deaths at home? Or nothing yet perhaps because no coroner's findings...

 

[antycbr]

Has any of the criteria for sending covid patients home changed as a result of some deaths at home? Or nothing yet perhaps because no coroner's findings...

Some of those deaths have had zero contact with the medical system at all...

 

[justinbrett]

Hmmm, one way to keep today's reported number under 1,000 would be to move 160 or so to the days before.

That's one way to flatten the curve

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Some of those deaths have had zero contact with the medical system at all...

Yes i know that but hasn't there been some diagnosed as covid positive and sent to the 'hospital at home' stream as well?

 

[Princess Fiona]

Has any of the criteria for sending covid patients home changed as a result of some deaths at home? Or nothing yet perhaps because no coroner's findings...

I’m not personally aware of any Covid patients being discharged from hospital who have died.
The majority of those who die at home have never been to hospital at all.

There are some clear guidelines around
Caring for Adults with Covid-19 in the Community

 

[Quickstatus]

Can you give me the odds of one Monday reported test figure being lower than the Sunday (day before) after eight Mondays

I'm sure you can do that just by looking at the numbers.
Taking Qld - for example Sunday testing (reported on Monday) last 8 weeks. Qld last Sundays: 7,6,5,7,7,6,6,7
As you can see Sunday was the lowest testing day only 50% of the time...
But importantly the standard deviation for last 8 Sundays only is only 0.8 (rank) meaning the variability for Sundays is small.
So Sundays tends to be the lowest testing day and if there is variability it does not shift rank by much - at most by 1, occasionally by more than 1 rank. That gives the impression that Sundays is always lowest, but its not...

As for your question above 1/8 Mondays was lower (12.5%)

In the end, for Qld, I suspect Sunday testing tends to be the lowest because its the weekend and there are no/if any mandated employer testing. Better things to do on a Sunday... NSW is a different situation.

 

[jakeseven7]

Well I guess the aim of any trial is to test things before expanding.

Well the TGA news today re rapid at home was what I was naughtily referring to, just wasn’t allowed to share until made public!

 

[jakeseven7]

Well you can keep describing statistical deviations/variations. Can you give me the odds of one Monday reported test figure being lower than the Sunday (day before) after eight Mondays were higher than the corresponding day before with no apparent change in testing protocol?

I just point out yesterday's reported lower test figure is unusual.
Just like I noted the ICU figure had a noteworthy "one day" drop last week.

BREAKING NEWS, tomorrow the case numbers in NSW, VIC, ACT and QLD are projected to go UP or DOWN!!!

And in further news, some states will be HIGHER or LOWER than others.

Strap in for the thrilling ride

 

[jakeseven7]

It would be funny but talking to some people in WA some of them really seem to believe this and have swallowed the propaganda hook line and sinker

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

BREAKING NEWS, tomorrow the case numbers in NSW, VIC, ACT and QLD are projected to go UP or DOWN!!!

And in further news, some states will be HIGHER or LOWER than others.

Strap in for the thrilling ride

That’s not a projection.

 

[Lynda2475]

So Viccs 2nd day in the lead of the race you don't want

Victoria had more cases than NSW in past two days. What does it mean?

Victoria has recorded more single daily cases than the same days in New South Wales. But what does that mean for Victoria? Leading epidemiologists weigh in.

www.abc.net.au

Puts to bed the myth that going harder a few days earlier makes any real difference. The supposedly tougher Vic restrictions were not able to contain Delta any better.

Fully vaccinated people are tired of restrictions which mean they cant see their families and the rule breaking is only going to increase for the nonsensical restrictions.

On the plus side, with things reopening very happy to have a confirmed hairdressing appointment for 16th, will finally get to see my parents on 17th (stupid 5km restriction is long over due for removal) and theatre tickets for 24th.

The 80% relaxation meetings mean work xmas parties will be possible, will finally get to meet a bunch of new colleagues face to face.

 

[blackcat20]

Of course we have more cases

 

[justinbrett]

950 for Victoria today

https://twitter.com/x/status/1442993091107962881

 

[jakeseven7]

Of course we have more cases

Look at the vaccination rates soaring though. Ignore the breathless commentary and rabid frothing at the very old state v state comparisons on cases, better for your mental health

 

[justinbrett]

Heaven forbid people post reports of the virus spread in the Australian Reports of the Virus Spread thread.

If you're not interested, don't look at it.

 

[oznflfan]

Is it bad to think positive if QLD get's a massive outbreak, so as to bring whole of east coast back as one country?

 

[jakeseven7]

The 80% relaxation meetings mean work xmas parties will be possible, will finally get to meet a bunch of new colleagues face to face.

Yup we’ve got Freedom Day work gatherings all booked and sorted for our Sydney team! Going to be a huge day!