Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

[oz_mark]

WA headline number is 1043...

 

[drron]

WA headline number is 1043...

The premier is finding out what exponential means.

 

[oz_mark]

More details

WA Health recorded 1,039 new local cases of COVID-19 in WA to 8pm last night.
Today’s new cases include 113 self-reported positive RATs.
4 cases have also been recorded related to travel.
----
New active cases: 1,043
- Local: 1,039
- Other: 4
Total WA cases: 6,195
Total WA recoveries: 3,147
Active cases: 3,038
Cases in hospital: 12



Please note, the figure of 617 new cases reported in yesterday’s statement has been reviewed. A data discrepancy was identified and the accurate figure for the number of new cases reported up until 8pm on 23 February was 732.

 

[JohnM]

The premier is finding out what exponential means.

Even at 1K, numbers are still trivial - but we should be on the rocket now.

It seems that he's driven such a paranoid fear over here that people are staying away in droves from going out to restaurants, bars etc. Proprietors are squealing.

So now Marko is saying to people "Go out; support businesses. - But we still may have to introduce 'level 2' restrictions."

 

[MooTime]

Even at 1K, numbers are still trivial - but we should be on the rocket now.

It seems that he's driven such a paranoid fear over here that people are staying away in droves from going out to restaurants, bars etc. Proprietors are squealing.

So now Marko is saying to people "Go out; support businesses. - But we still may have to introduce 'level 2' restrictions."

So he wants bit of both worlds, stay safe, but go out too, hmm.

Somebody should ask him who's in lockdown now, ha!

All is good though, getting the tail end of this curly covid animal.

 

[jakeseven7]

Even at 1K, numbers are still trivial - but we should be on the rocket now.

It seems that he's driven such a paranoid fear over here that people are staying away in droves from going out to restaurants, bars etc. Proprietors are squealing.

So now Marko is saying to people "Go out; support businesses. - But we still may have to introduce 'level 2' restrictions."

A few more weeks then people will realise they've been misled and things will start returning to normal. Just like the rest of the world.

 

[oz_mark]

Even at 1K, numbers are still trivial - but we should be on the rocket now.

It seems that he's driven such a paranoid fear over here that people are staying away in droves from going out to restaurants, bars etc. Proprietors are squealing.

So now Marko is saying to people "Go out; support businesses. - But we still may have to introduce 'level 2' restrictions."

Kimberley is getting Level 1 tomorrow, with the rest of the state going to Level 1 on Monday.

1000 may be trivial, but given the extent of fearmongering over the last two years is it a surprise that people would stay home. Anywhere else with those numbers were described as Covid-ravaged and posing an extreme risk to the state.

Maybe it's Perth's turn to be in lockdown by default.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

I think ABC has not started a daily covid blog today - now appears to be reverting to covid issue articles, 3 today so far.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

NSW (98,491 active (PCR+/RAT+) – 21,000 public hospital beds, 884 public/private ICU beds)
[previous peak hospital: 2943 – January 2022, ICU: 242 – September 2021]
Paused surgery to 75% capacity (private, regional/rural public) resuming 7/2 – announced 1/2

18/2 3867 PCR+, 35k tests, 5376 RAT+, 1381 hospital, 92 ICU
19/2 2847 PCR+, 30k tests, 4768 RAT+, 1297 hospital, 81 ICU
20/2 1716 PCR+, 22k tests, 3866 RAT+, 1280 hospital, 77 ICU
21/2 1259 PCR+, 15k tests, 3657 RAT+, 1288 hospital, 74 ICU
22/2 2716 PCR+, 36k tests, 6036 RAT+, 1293 hospital, 71 ICU
23/2 3270 PCR+, 35k tests, 5661 RAT+, 1246 hospital, 69 ICU
24/2 3021 PCR+, 37k tests, 5250 RAT+, 1211 hospital, 59 ICU
25/2 2809 PCR+, 31k tests, 4774 RAT+, 1144 hospital, 64 ICU
26/2 2621 PCR+, 27k tests, 4396 RAT+, 1130 hospital, 59 ICU

Victoria (40,968 active – 15,000 public hospital beds, 476 public/private ICU beds)
[previous peak hospital: 1229 – January 2022, ICU: 163 – October 2021]
Paused surgery to 50% capacity (private hospitals, day centres) resuming 7/2 – announced 4/2
All surgery to 100% capacity resuming 28/2 – announced 16/2

18/2 2606 PCR+, 18k tests, 4329 RAT+, 451 hospital, 64 ICU
19/2 2066 PCR+, 18k tests, 4214 RAT+, 365 hospital, 55 ICU
20/2 1726 PCR+, 17k tests, 3141 RAT+, 358 hospital, 51 ICU
21/2 1507 PCR+, 11k tests, 4104 RAT+, 361 hospital, 49 ICU
22/2 1744 PCR+, 15k tests, 5042 RAT+, 345 hospital, 48 ICU
23/2 2422 PCR+, 22k tests, 4504 RAT+, 319 hospital, 46 ICU
24/2 2229 PCR+, 21k tests, 4486 RAT+, 322 hospital, 43 ICU
25/2 2317 PCR+, 19k tests, 4263 RAT+, 301 hospital, 38 ICU
26/2 2086 PCR+, 17k tests, 3788 RAT+, 281 hospital, 43 ICU

Qld 33,256 active – 13,000 public hospital beds, 408 public/private ICU beds)
[previous peak hospital: 928 (public) – January 2022, ICU: 71 (public+private) – February 2022]
Certain elective surgery suspended/paused until 1/3 – announced 8/1]

18/2 2618 PCR+, 11k tests, 3177 RAT+, 408 hospital, 34 ICU *twitter typo tests
19/2 2128 PCR+, 9.9k tests, 2791 RAT+, 414 hospital, 36 ICU
20/2 2146 PCR+, 9.4k tests, 2119 RAT+, 386 hospital, 38 ICU
21/2 1526 PCR+, 5.7k tests, 2588 RAT+, 401 hospital, 37 ICU
22/2 1544 PCR+, 5.3k tests, 4039 RAT+, 394 hospital, 34 ICU
23/2 2777 PCR+, 12k tests, 3524 RAT+, 379 hospital, 35 ICU
24/2 2628 PCR+, 11k tests, 3486 RAT+, 334 hospital, 30 ICU
25/2 2330 PCR+, 9.6k tests, 3110 RAT+, 350 hospital, 30 ICU
26/2 1965 PCR+, 8.5k tests, 2873 RAT+, 341 hospital, 25 ICU

SA (15,069 active 25/2 – 4500 public hospital beds, 161 public/private ICU beds)
[previous peak hospital: 298 – January 2022, ICU: 37 – January 2022]
Paused surgery gradually recommencing from 7/2 (100% by 28/2) – announced 1/2

18/2 1479 positives, 9.0k tests, 177 hospital, 13 ICU
19/2 1336 positives, 8.8k tests, 182 hospital, 12 ICU
20/2 1118 positives, 7.7k tests, 190 hospital, 13 ICU
21/2 1217 positives, 7.0k tests, 190 hospital, 13 ICU
22/2 1378 positives, 8.8k tests, 205 hospital, 12 ICU
23/2 1958 positives, 10k tests, 192 hospital, 14 ICU
24/2 1735 positives, 12k tests, 142 hospital, 13 ICU
25/2 1714 positives, 11k tests, 112 hospital, 13 ICU
26/2

Tasmania (4731 active – 1500 public hospital beds, 38 public/private ICU beds)
[previous peak hospital: 41 – January 2022, ICU: 3 – January 2022]

18/2 138 PCR+, 1.2k tests, 485 RAT+, 7/11 hospital, 2 ICU
19/2 121 PCR+, 1.1k tests, 464 RAT+, 7/12 hospital, 2 ICU
20/2 153 PCR+, 1.2k tests, 402 RAT+, 6/9 hospital, 2 ICU
21/2 100 PCR+, 0.9k tests, 469 RAT+, 3/10 hospital, 2 ICU
22/2 97 PCR+, 1.0k tests, 723 RAT+, 6/11 hospital, 2 ICU
23/2 162 PCR+, 1.3k tests, 680 RAT+, 5/10 hospital, 2 ICU
24/2 158 PCR+, 1.3k tests, 695 RAT+, 3/12 hospital, 2 ICU
25/2 138 PCR+, 1.0k tests, 713 RAT+, 4/11 hospital, 2 ICU
26/2 116 PCR+, 1.2k tests, 676 RAT+, 4/10 hospital, 2 ICU

ACT (3922 active – 1200 public hospital beds, 37 public/private ICU beds)
[previous peak hospital: 73 – January 2022, ICU: 12 – October 2021]
Certain elective surgery suspended/paused at Calvary hospital for 6 weeks – announced 7/1
Paused surgery resuming 21/2, with gradual return to 100% in following days – announced 18/2

18/2 265 PCR+, 296 RAT+, 45 hospital, 2 ICU
19/2 276 PCR+, 79 RAT+, 40 hospital, 2 ICU *twitter typo active
20/2 234 PCR+, 326 RAT+, 35 hospital, 1 ICU *twitter typo active
21/2 186 PCR+, 272 RAT+, 37 hospital, 1 ICU
22/2 274 PCR+, 309 RAT+, 41 hospital, 1 ICU
23/2 376 PCR+, 570 RAT+, 40 hospital, 2 ICU
24/2 350 PCR+, 311 RAT+, 41 hospital, 3 ICU
25/2 410 PCR+, 363 RAT+, 41 hospital, 3 ICU
26/2 161 PCR+, 317 RAT+, 41 hospital, 2 ICU

NT (4965 active 25/2 – 1000 public hospital beds, 20 public/private ICU beds)
[current peak hospital: 178 – February 2022, ICU: 7 – February 2022]
Pausing elective and day surgery as required – announced 4/2

18/2 1027 positives, 127 hospital, 1 ICU
19/2 835 positives, 127 hospital, 2 ICU
20/2 546 positives, 127 hospital, 2 ICU
21/2 627 positives, 123 hospital, 3 ICU
22/2 716 positives, 123 hospital, 3 ICU
23/2 864 positives, 131 hospital, 4 ICU
24/2 757 positives, 108 hospital, 7 ICU
25/2 755 positives, 101 hospital, 7 ICU
26/2

WA (3038 active 25/2 – 5900 public hospital beds, 179 public/private ICU bed)
[previous peak hospital: 59 – April 2020, ICU: 18 – April 2020]]
Certain elective surgery suspended/paused for up to 8 weeks (no new bookings for multiday ‘non-urgent’ after 28/2) – announced 8/2

18/2 194 local positives, 9.3k tests, 0 hospital
19/2 257 local positives, 7.3k tests, 0 hospital
20/2 222 local positives, 5.6k tests, 2 hospital
21/2 213 local positives, 5.8k tests, 2 hospital
22/2 258 local positives, 11k tests, 3 hospital
23/2 645 positives, 11k tests, 5 hospital
24/2 732 (617*) positives, 11k tests, 7 hospital *original report, revised next day
25/2 1043 positives, 12k tests, 12 hospital
26/2

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Tas reported cases still in the 800s today. Seems to be the new 'average' level with schools open.

Just for reference - recorded positives:

NSW (bi-weekly "mandatory" RAT surveillance of schools eg student, staff)
13,333 [Friday report before week 1]
10-12k [week 1 (31/1-4/2)]
8-10k [week 2 (7/2-11/2)]
7-10k [week 3]
7-8k [week 4]

Vic (bi-weekly "mandatory" RAT surveillance of schools)
12,755 [Friday report before week 1]
11-14k [week 1 (31/1-4/2)]
7-10k [week 2]
6-8k [week 3]
5-6k [week 4]

Qld (no surveillance)
6857 [Friday report before week 1]
5-7k [week 1 (7/2-11/2)]
4-6k [week 2]
4-6k [week 3]

SA (no surveillance) school resume from Thursday 27/1
1869 [Tuesday report before school resumes]
1700-1900 [week 1 (27/1-28/1)]
1200-1700s [week 2]
1200-1600s [week 3]
1100-1600s [week 4]
1300-1900s [week 5]

ACT (no surveillance)
734 [Friday report before week 1]
400-500s [week 1 (31/1-4/2)]
400s [week 2 (7/2-11/2)]
300-500s [week 3]
400-900s [week 4]

NB SA and ACT seem to be creeping up in the current week. Others seems about the same or keeping previous trend of lower figures.

 

[oz_mark]

WA Health recorded 1,098 new local cases of COVID-19 in WA to 8pm last night.
7 cases have also been recorded related to travel.
Today’s new cases include 422 self-reported positive RATs.
----
New active cases: 1,105
- Local: 1,098
- Other: 7
Total WA cases: 7,245
Total WA recoveries: 3,335
Active cases: 3,900
Cases in hospital: 15

 

[Pushka]

Just for reference - recorded positives:

NSW (bi-weekly "mandatory" RAT surveillance of schools eg student, staff)
13,333 [Friday report before week 1]
10-12k [week 1 (31/1-4/2)]
8-10k [week 2 (7/2-11/2)]
7-10k [week 3]
7-8k [week 4]

Vic (bi-weekly "mandatory" RAT surveillance of schools)
12,755 [Friday report before week 1]
11-14k [week 1 (31/1-4/2)]
7-10k [week 2]
6-8k [week 3]
5-6k [week 4]

Qld (no surveillance)
6857 [Friday report before week 1]
5-7k [week 1 (7/2-11/2)]
4-6k [week 2]
4-6k [week 3]

SA (no surveillance) school resume from Thursday 27/1
1869 [Tuesday report before school resumes]
1700-1900 [week 1 (27/1-28/1)]
1200-1700s [week 2]
1200-1600s [week 3]
1100-1600s [week 4]
1300-1900s [week 5]

ACT (no surveillance)
734 [Friday report before week 1]
400-500s [week 1 (31/1-4/2)]
400s [week 2 (7/2-11/2)]
300-500s [week 3]
400-900s [week 4]

NB SA and ACT seem to be creeping up in the current week. Others seems about the same or keeping previous trend of lower figures.

We currently have The Fringe in SA. And from anecdotal reports of people attending, no masks, no social distancing at all. Warm weather. Alcohol and so on. Hospital rates have halved in the last few days. So likely it's a combo of schools and young people mixing so no escalation in hospital rates.

 

[oz_mark]

..and where in WA were those cases?

Midwest: 2
Wheatbelt: 6
Goldfields: 10
Kimberly: 23
Pilbara 23
South West: 18
Great Southern: 3
Metro: 1,020

 

[N860CR]

..and where in WA were those cases?

Midwest: 2
Wheatbelt: 6
Goldfields: 10
Kimberly: 23
Pilbara 23
South West: 18
Great Southern: 3
Metro: 1,020

This is what makes the whole thing so ridiculous. Do we honestly think there are only 2-10 “cases” in these areas? Does it matter? Of course not, but people are conditioned to think it does.

 

[oz_mark]

This is what makes the whole thing so ridiculous. Do we honestly think there are only 2-10 “cases” in these areas? Does it matter? Of course not, but people are conditioned to think it does.

I think the Goldfields number is way wrong, but I think what you can take from the numbers is that it's all over the state

 

[N860CR]

I think the Goldfields number is way wrong, but I think what you can take from the numbers is that it's all over the state

Correct. And to WAs credit, they waited longer than virtually anywhere in the developed world to “allow” the virus in (given it was technically accidental). The fact that it is widespread and has literally caused less impact on the hospital system than a three Camry pileup is probably the clearest indication we have that covid in a fully vaccinated population means SFA.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

Putting WA aside, the health indicators for most regions are all still trending down (and the third dose rate is still steadily increasing).

 

[JohnM]

Correct. And to WAs credit, they waited longer than virtually anywhere in the developed world to “allow” the virus in (given it was technically accidental). The fact that it is widespread and has literally caused less impact on the hospital system than a three Camry pileup is probably the clearest indication we have that covid in a fully vaccinated population means SFA.

And WA got coughy that Covid had morphed into the much milder Omicron.

If the reported infections are truly only a small fraction of what's actually out there, then it is clearly turning out to be a non-event.

What has me puzzled is who are the c. 10-12K people fronting up to get tested, yet only returning about 10% infected? Are they mostly people who have been ordered to get tested because of 'exposure'?

Surely nobody in their right mind would just front up and stand in line in the heat we've been having here for an age to get tested on a whim? Similarly, with just a sniffle or a tickle in the throat, why bother getting tested to be pushed into the slammer?

I have heard of young people getting out and making a point of getting to numerous bars/dancing/singing as a 'Covid party' - presumably to get this thing moving and punch through it.

 

[MooTime]

And WA got coughy that Covid had morphed into the much milder Omicron.

If the reported infections are truly only a small fraction of what's actually out there, then it is clearly turning out to be a non-event.

What has me puzzled is who are the c. 10-12K people fronting up to get tested, yet only returning about 10% infected? Are they mostly people who have been ordered to get tested because of 'exposure'?

Surely nobody in their right mind would just front up and stand in line in the heat we've been having here for an age to get tested on a whim? Similarly, with just a sniffle or a tickle in the throat, why bother getting tested to be pushed into the slammer?

I have heard of young people getting out and making a point of getting to numerous bars/dancing/singing as a 'Covid party' - presumably to get this thing moving and punch through it.

I know many ppl have to get semi regular tested as part of their employment conditions so there's some portion of the 10k - 12k.

Others maybe just like to add cost to the gov as each test is paid for.... By each one of us really.

 

[Port Power]

Others maybe just like to add cost to the gov as each test is paid for.... By each one of us really.

I cannot believe that! Would you really have a stick up your nose for such a nonsensical reason?

But taxpayers did foot the bill for travel tests for people moving between eastern seaboard states. Good thing the requirement ceased as tests should have been paid for by the traveller.