Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

[antycbr]

Good luck to all Victorians... the walls must be closing in on you by now...

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Postcode lockdowns are unlikely in Melbourne

Could there be more suburb-specific lockdowns?

Professor Sutton is asked if there's a possibility of suburb-specific lockdowns as Victoria moves out of its restrictions.
"I think it's going to be very difficult. What we have learned from postcode lockdowns is that people are networked beyond their postcodes, and if you see cases in a particular geography and you think it is just about the location, you are not understanding that there are networks of cohorts of people or groups within a population who go beyond those geographies," he said.
"If it is a case of very low numbers in a particular setting, there might be a policy piece that we reflect on about exactly what needs to happen in a particular postcode but it will not be a lockdown."

 

[jakeseven7]

So technically VIC isn’t far off being at NSW levels but will have much greater restrictions on them when they reach that stage compared to their mates in NSW. wonder how that will go down....

 

[MelMel]

So technically VIC isn’t far off being at NSW levels but will have much greater restrictions on them when they reach that stage compared to their mates in NSW. wonder how that will go down....

And we’ll be stuck at step 3 forever because step 4 is never going to happen even with a vaccine Step 4 “no new cases across 14 days”

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

So technically VIC isn’t far off being at NSW levels but will have much greater restrictions on them when they reach that stage compared to their mates in NSW. wonder how that will go down....

And we’ll be stuck at step 3 forever because step 4 is never going to happen even with a vaccine Step 4 “no new cases across 14 days”

I’d suggest Step 3 (5 per day average for 14 days) would be aligning Melbourne to where Sydney is now. Given there is an indication of allowing Melbourne to go to regional Vic for travel at about that point in time.

Step 4 has no number of new cases attached based on ABC blog reporting that I copied, so I’m uncertain when shops and other workplaces will open apart from the nominal date in November.

they have caveated the Steps with words to the effect of ‘not a day longer than needed’ and ‘depending on numbers at the time’, So it still could be slightly earlier or later.

based on the 33% reduction week on week. October 26 is about 40 per week (nationally) and November 23 is about 7 per week (nationally 1 per day??)

I feel come end October/early November Melbourne might go to Step 4 comparable to Sydney, if they are getting similar numbers.

 

[kyle]

And we’ll be stuck at step 3 forever because step 4 is never going to happen even with a vaccine Step 4 “no new cases across 14 days”

Totally agree that we'll be stuck. This roadmap is fu***d.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Totally agree that we'll be stuck. This roadmap is fu***d.

Did you expect anything else?

Needed to shut up the Federal pollies’ whinging. Going through such a difficult lockdown (hopefully for the last time), they really had to go for gold and not settle for second best. Then with the hotspot definition being revealed (10 per day) and watch Sydney numbers, it would be hard to remove hotspot designation unless you got to half of that at a minimum.....

Appreciate that its not what Melburnians want to hear..... ❤ ❤ ❤

 

[jb747]

So, regional areas, that have no cases whatsoever, are stuck at level 3. WTF.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

So, regional areas, that have no cases whatsoever, are stuck at level 3. WTF.

Unfortunately I guess Regional Victoria has to wait until Geelong corridor is part of Melbourne restrictions.

Edit: to add industry restrictions for regional Victoria. Step 2 applies next week.

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Victoria

What you need to know about COVID-19 in Victoria.

www.vic.gov.au

 

[Must...Fly!]

Whatever is left of many businesses in Victoria were finally killed off with this bizarre roadmap of unachievable numbers.

 

[p--and--t]

Whatever is left of many businesses in Victoria were finally killed off with this bizarre roadmap of unachievable numbers.

(Except that they have been achieved in 6 out of 8 jurisdictions)

 

[jb747]

Unfortunately I guess Regional Victoria has to wait until Geelong corridor is part of Melbourne restrictions.

And I guess that’s the problem. It appears that they can only understand, “in Melbourne” and “not in Melbourne”. A case in Portland should have little relevance to Mildura, but that’s not how they’ve written it.

Another nail for the airlines anyway.

 

[dajop]

And I guess that’s the problem. It appears that they can only understand, “in Melbourne” and “not in Melbourne”. A case in Portland should have little relevance to Mildura ....

A workable solution could be to use the fire districts for regional Vic. They seem to be a nice division. Too much lateral thinking required for that though. Maybe a campaign is needed around this in the country!

Find Your Fire Weather District

Victoria is divided into nine Fire Districts based on council boundaries.You can find which council you are in on the 'Know Your Council' website.

www.cfa.vic.gov.au

 

[Scr77]

So, regional areas, that have no cases whatsoever, are stuck at level 3. WTF.

Yep! Why the heck can‘t regional cafes serve outdoor seating, for example.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

A workable solution could be to use the fire districts for regional Vic. They seem to be a nice division. Too much lateral thinking required for that though. Maybe a campaign is needed around this in the country!

Find Your Fire Weather District

Victoria is divided into nine Fire Districts based on council boundaries.You can find which council you are in on the 'Know Your Council' website.

www.cfa.vic.gov.au

Perhaps, but I’m sure Ballarat (no new cases in 10+ days) doesn’t want to be put in the same boat as Geelong.

 

[Flying mermaid]

Things will ease for regional Victoria from the 13th and they said in the press conference that they would monitor the Geelong corridor and perhaps split it off from the rest of regional Victoria, so hopefully that would help,

 

[Pushka]

Victoria's target for opening up of gyms etc is impossible to achieve. 14 days of zero community transmission.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Victoria's target for opening up of gyms etc is impossible to achieve. 14 days of zero community transmission.

Perhaps Vic’s way to motivate/make despondent and get as high level of compliance as possible.

I do feel that as Melbourne approaches Sydney’s results that there might be a re-think. But right now politically this is probably the most feasible path back.

 

[Must...Fly!]

Victoria's target for opening up of gyms etc is impossible to achieve. 14 days of zero community transmission.

Indeed the last two steps of the roadmap are bizarrely impossible to achieve.

The press conference felt like play school. The Super computer says this and that... Terrible. Judging by the response of people I work with, this extended lockdown will not be nearly as tolerated and respected as the first one

 

[Pushka]

Perhaps Vic’s way to motivate/make despondent and get as high level of compliance as possible.

I do feel that as Melbourne approaches Sydney’s results that there might be a re-think. But right now politically this is probably the most feasible path back.

It makes me want to wave a white flag and give up tbh.