Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

[lovetravellingoz]

I’ve only heard 8 cases over 14 days about 5-7 days ago now and Vic Premier indicating middle of this week, so perhaps Wednesday is the 12-14th day since a mystery case occurred.

It is hard to know as the unknown/mystery stats are the most rubbery of all the stats and investigation can see what was an unknown/mystery changed to a known if a link is discovered. But yes one would presume that in Regional Vic that the unknowns are all older cases.

 

[Flying mermaid]

Oh, I agree with you. Once she refused to do this and that, All bets were off ( and that’s why I posted the clarification. It was only the ‘dragged out by the legs’ I was left wondering about.

Maybe to stop her kicking them? she was behaving like an idiot

 

[Lynda2475]

NSW down to one community transmission (unknown source/mystery case) every second day, both over two weeks and four weeks.

I think its less than that, we often get "under investigation" every other day, some of those are then attributed to known clusters. And once the genomic testing results come out, even older ones are also often tied to clusters as well.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

As Melbourne gets to below 50 for the 14-day average,it will be interesting to what ‘not a day longer than necessary’ means, since there is a date and a target range. In the event it is say 29.9 before 28 September, you would hope Vic Premier/CHO pull the trigger early.

Just has time to go back and look at the cases per each day.

With respect to Melbourne the 3rd Sep had a spike up in new daily cases, with days either side significantly lower.

So if the current trends on new daily cases remain then on the 16th it should be under 50 and on 17th Sep be appreciably below 50.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

More on the Casey Cases referenced this morning:


Nine cases emerge in Hallam, Narre Warren

Professor Sutton urged residents of Hallam and Narre Warren to come forward for testing, after nine of Monday's 35 new cases were from the area.

He said the Casey council area, which includes those suburbs and has a large multicultural community, was dealing with community transmission linked to high-risk workplaces.

"We haven't linked all of the households definitively. They might be linked by a workplace that hasn't been identified. They might be linked by going to a single setting that hasn't been identified," he said.

"It is a community that is a priority for engagement, a priority for testing for us. They do the right thing, but they have some vulnerabilities, in terms of where they are needing to work and how they are needing to work."

Professor Sutton said he had made a personal offer to speak to residents in the area himself.

"Having been to Afghanistan a couple of times over the years, I want to be able to reflect on my cultural experiences and the fact I know that there are universal motivations that every family has to do the right thing to protect their own families and the wider community," he said.

"That is absolutely the case here and I know they're motivated to get on top of this as much as anyone."

'A mighty effort': Premier flags more freedoms for country Victorians as Melbourne records 35 new cases

Country Victorians could soon be enjoying even more freedoms after recording another zero-case day, while Melbourne reported 35 new infections and seven deaths.

www.theage.com.au

 

[SydneySwan]

VIC 42 / 0 (no deaths) today

 

[lovetravellingoz]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1305635204996923393

 

[Pushka]

Still 82 with unknown sources.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

Still 82 with unknown sources.

In the last 14 days it is 83 coughulative unknown cases.

In the last 14 days it is 82 coughulative unknown cases for Melbourne and for Regional Vic it is 1

These numbers may change as some or all may still be under investigation.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

Updated Vic Trigger Graphs.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Still 82 with unknown sources.

The Melbourne figure seems to be only important at Step 3 (26 October-soft date) as they are aiming for total unknown source number (state-wide) of 5 or less over the past 14 days (and the 14-day average of 5 new cases state-wide per day).

The Regional Victoria figure is important this week, likely tomorrow, as Regional Victoria Step 3 requires total unknown source number in Regional Victoria of zero over the past 14 days (and the 14-day average of 5 new cases per day, which they are already meeting)

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Qld reports 1 new case an overseas arrival in quarantine. Total active cases is 31.

 

[Pushka]

In the last 14 days it is 83 coughulative unknown cases.

In the last 14 days it is 82 coughulative unknown cases for Melbourne and for Regional Vic it is 1

These numbers may change as some or all may still be under investigation.

I'd hope it will rapidly come down. Otherwise SA wont open for a very long time.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

Victorian Regional restrictions to now be eased again.

Also with dining , inside dining (2 spaces with no more than 10 pax, 2 hr limit) will be allowed and not just the originally planned outdoor dining.

From announcement:

Regional Victoria will be opening up in just the next 24 hours or so. It is a massive thing. It is a very positive thing. It is something we should all be very pleased and proud of the job that regional Victorians have done. This will be welcomed, I’m sure, and there’s no greater evidence to the people of Melbourne that these strategies, getting numbers low, is possible, and it is essential. You have no chance of keeping numbers low once you open up if you don’t first get them low via the restrictions and the rules we have in place. This is a credit to everyone in regional Victoria. I am proud of you. I am grateful to you.



To give you a sense of what these changes to the rules will mean, the four reasons to leave your home will no longer apply.

Gathering limits will increase and most workplaces will reopen.

Restrictions on businesses and visitors do remain in place regarding people caps, physical distancing, the wearing of masks, things of that nature.

But the key changes include:

Outdoor gathering limits will increase to 10 people.

Infants under 12 months are not included in the calculation of that 10.

The household bubble is introduced, where up to five visitors are allowed in the home from a nominated household.

School will be a staggered start over the first couple of weeks of term 4. And we will have more to say about the exact age groups, year levels, that will be coming back over those first two weeks of term 4. But that will be essentially all classes, all schools across regional Victoria will have as close to a normal term 4 as we can possibly deliver.

Hospitality and entertainment will be allowed, subject to gathering limits, and some other requirements around density.

Retail, of course, has remained open and will be expanded to include personal services such as beauty and tattooing, where a mask can be worn.

For real estate services, outdoor auctions will be permitted with a limit of 10 people.

All community sport will return for children, non-contact sport will be permitted for adults.

Gathering limits for weddings will increase to 10 people, and for funerals to 20 mourners.

Outdoor religious gatherings will increase to up to 10 people, plus one faith leader.

Tourist accommodation will open for regional Victorians in regional Victoria, for them to travel and holiday within regional Victoria.

Every business, every single business across regional Victoria, will be required to have a Covid-safe plan, and those plans will be enforced from 28 September.

 

[Pushka]

I do like the honesty of the Deputy CMO in Victoria. He has a real grip on the situation and concerns of the people. As opposed to previous employees.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Victorian Regional restrictions to now be eased again.

Also with dining , inside dining (2 spaces with no more than 10 pax, 2 hr limit) will be allowed and not just the originally planned outdoor dining.

From announcement:

Regional Victoria will be opening up in just the next 24 hours or so. It is a massive thing. It is a very positive thing. It is something we should all be very pleased and proud of the job that regional Victorians have done. This will be welcomed, I’m sure, and there’s no greater evidence to the people of Melbourne that these strategies, getting numbers low, is possible, and it is essential. You have no chance of keeping numbers low once you open up if you don’t first get them low via the restrictions and the rules we have in place. This is a credit to everyone in regional Victoria. I am proud of you. I am grateful to you.

Technically Regional Victoria takes Step 3 at tomorrow 11:59pm, but for practical purposes Thursday.

 

[lovetravellingoz]

On dining at cafes etc:

Coronavirus Australia live update: Daniel Andrews holds press conference as Victoria records 42 new Covid cases

If you are headed out in regional Victoria, here are the rules for food and drink establishments.
Daniel Andrews:
This will be predominantly outdoor – that is for cafes, bars, restaurants, pubs.

Subject to gathering limits and density quotients. Only table service will be allowed.

And there will be a two-hour limit on bookings. For indoor service venues, they can open with a cap of 10 seated patrons per space.

Subject to a one to four square metre density rule. There will also be a maximum of two such spaces.

So, two spaces inside, a maximum of 10 each. So, for larger venues, that would be 20 people inside.

This is from, again, midnight tomorrow night.

For outdoor service, more customers can be seated. There are different arrangements there.

But essentially outdoor service venues, there will be a cap of 50 seated patrons per space, subject to density requirements at one per two square metres. Group limits of 10 apply as well. The key point there is that tables will need to be 1.5m apart. So, for many venues, larger venues, they will be able to have up to 70 people seated at any one time.

Others may have different outdoor areas, which are quite separate. Again, there will be advice, assistance, guidelines, very detailed conversations over the next 24 hours with various peak bodies.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

NSW health Twitter slides in their daily report

Of the seven new cases:
- 4 are travellers in hotel quarantine
- 2 are locally acquired and linked to a known case or cluster
- 1 is locally acquired and under investigation

 

[lovetravellingoz]

The Melbourne figure seems to be only important at Step 3 (26 October-soft date) as they are aiming for total unknown source number (state-wide) of 5 or less over the past 14 days (and the 14-day average of 5 new cases state-wide per day).

The Regional Victoria figure is important this week, likely tomorrow, as Regional Victoria Step 3 requires total unknown source number in Regional Victoria of zero over the past 14 days (and the 14-day average of 5 new cases per day, which they are already meeting)

Step 2 is little different than Step 1 for Melbourne. So we really need Step 3 for any significant differences including more people getting back to work.

 

[I love to travel]

The lack of testing is a real concern, would not be surprised if numbers start ticking upwards in next few weeks. SIgh. I get why people are desperate for things to open up and that may be part of the reason why they choose not to get tested but I just wish they would think about the potential damage they can do to others. Rant over