lovetravellingoz
Enthusiast
- Joined
- Jul 13, 2006
- Posts
- 12,704
Sutton gave an illustrative example yesterday.
If someone panicked, it is because they are reacting to what he gave an example of what might be if absolutely nothing was being done (ie this is not the current situation), which as he stated at the time "Clearly that is not happening here"
Cheng has clarified today that the current theoretical Ro being used for the current outbreak and strain is 3.75. This is more than the 2.53 value used at the time of the second wave in Victoria relevant to the strains in circulation then..
"I talk about the R-0 for this virus. It might be 5. That means if you are not altering your behaviour, if are you not doing contact tracing, every person passes it on to five others.
"Clearly that is not happening here. We are chasing down every case, we are chasing down their primary contacts but we have seen a growth of probably a dozen primary close contacts for that first case to thousands upon thousands.
If someone panicked, it is because they are reacting to what he gave an example of what might be if absolutely nothing was being done (ie this is not the current situation), which as he stated at the time "Clearly that is not happening here"
Cheng has clarified today that the current theoretical Ro being used for the current outbreak and strain is 3.75. This is more than the 2.53 value used at the time of the second wave in Victoria relevant to the strains in circulation then..