China - never a dull moment!

Courtesy of Andy in FT WeChat Group:

Shared with me by a friend working in the aviation industry: "At the briefing by the Int'l Dept. of the Central Committee of the CPC yesterday [mid-January] Mdm. Liang Nan, DG of the CAAC's Transport Dept., shared the CAAC's targets for int'l flight resumption rate, namely,
1. At present: 563 flights/week, representing 6% of the pre-pandemic level
2. By Feb: about 1,000 flights/week, 11%
3. Summer/autumn period: 1,300-2,300 flights/week, 15-25%
4. H2 2023 (a bit overlapped with summer/autumn period): accelerated recovery"
 
But where would they find the crew for these flights if they were to resume? Would you take the risk as flight or cabin crew that a return to policies of just a couple months ago could see you in an instant and prolonged lockdown? A two day layover could be two months. No thanks!
 
MEL any chance the airlines who are attempting to resume these flights might have a better handle on it than you?

Another lockdown in China for 2 months? Are you a betting person? Name the amount and I will cover it
 
MEL any chance the airlines who are attempting to resume these flights might have a better handle on it than you?

Another lockdown in China for 2 months? Are you a betting person? Name the amount and I will cover it
There’s two aspects to resuming a flight… commercial considerations, and health and safety from a crew perspective.

Asian carriers are ok given many of their crews will round-trip. But would you take the risk as a US or european crew member you’d get locked down for an extended period? It’s one thing for an airline to want to offer a flight, another to get crew willing to operate.

As for what China says… who knows. A promise not to have another lockdown is worthless, regardless of what the data says (we saw that for an extra year of lockdowns).
 
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Could also be that Chinese Airlines do not have planes out of storage and/or crew returned in sufficient numbers yet so need to delay resumption of competitors flights till they are ready. Bad for business though.
 
Line at Chinese Visa office in MEL:
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Memo to self - do not lose physical APEC Card then you won’t have to line up for visa - post May 1 no lining up anyway- ah China - the land of ‘Complication and Contradiction’
 
WOW - a train system that does actually work on time 👍
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No pictures can ever do justice to the enormity of the departure halls at the major Chinese train stations - today leaving Hongqiao heading to Linping South a suburb of Hangzhou.

AF3DB6AE-F56C-465F-8997-E83D729762AB.jpeg
 

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