Tokyo Haneda slot - 2025

Coming through SYD intl a few times I’ve noticed the JAL flight load is listed in the low 100s. This was a 777 as well. I suspect JL has the weakest brand of the operators to/from Australia, but they’re still pretty poor numbers.
I think the whole market is a bit over capacity... JAL has a better load factor than ANA for example, who are regularly around 50-60% so they are probably more likely to drop or rejig something.

I always thought JAL are playing at a slightly different game since their Y is so low density, so they're probably chasing a higher fare over volume like ANA, QF etc have to... Every time I fly QF in/out of HND it seems like Y is mostly school groups.
JL is premium heavy. There's a lot of business traffic between Sydney and Tokyo as well.

Also unlike NH which regularly is targetting Aussies JL makes minimal effort on that front and instead focuses more on their own JP market. After all they're not chasing Aussies flying to Japan rather Japanese flying to and from Australia.
 
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IASC awarded the slot faster then expected.
The submission deadline was last Wednesday and they had said they wanted to assign the slot by Oct 10. Normally that means they'll announce on that date.
 

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