Vaccine Rollout in Australia - personal accounts.

[dairyfloss]

Because l'm casual, as are 99% of the people who work in my industry.

Ah, well then a wise move, in that regard!

 

[NM]

I am late 40s and trying to vaccinated. GP doesn't want me to have AZ. Been in the Qld Health queue for ages, got an email saying we haven't forgotten about you and likely in October. So some of us are trying....

We are in the same boat, though mid 50's. Received the same email from Qld Health after "registering" the day after the original revised recommendation for 50-59yo Pfizer preference. Prior to that new recommendation, I already had an appointment with my GP to receive AZ. At that time, my GP clinic policy changed to only administering AZ to over 60s, so booking was changed to a general check-up. So immediately after that appointment I "registered" for Pfizer with Qld Health.

So looks like October is going to a busy month for the Qld Health centres. In the end, I will be fully 5G compliant at about the same time as if I had received AZ when originally planned. The earliest date I could find any Pfizer booking available via any of the Fed Govt. GP distributions was late September and the location is not convenient. I am hoping the October timeframe slated in the Qld Health email is a case of "under promise and over deliver" and might move forward a little. Either way, should be double-dipped by sometime in November.

 

[dairyfloss]

Greg Hunt has recently announced that we have delivered over 201,000 vaccines to people in Australia, yesterday. That's pretty massive at the equivalent of 1.4M for 7 days! This is 5.5% of the Total Population in a week, and that's without the walk-ups, the pharmacies and having AZ ready to go in the mass vax hubs (NSW only?), all of which are only just getting underway now / very soon.

Some back of the envelope calculations, and not even allowing for that gearing up in delivery and the boost to PZ that's meant to be coming, suggests that it would be quite possible to fully vaccinate 80% of the total population before the year is out; not just to offer them all a first shot. Timing of shots aside, and also ignoring hesitancy or brand preference, I estimate it would take about 18.5 weeks to deliver the necessary 26 million doses to do this.

Numbers (based off SMH vax tracker), for those who wish to play at home:

Total Population = 25,693,059 / and 80% of Total Pop. = 20,554,447

Total People Fully Vaccinated (at today) = 3,544,484
Total People with 1st dose only (at today) =8,049,282

Total doses remaining to be delivered in arms* = 25,970,644
Yesterday's rate of delivery = 201,000 doses / 1,407,000 per week
Weeks to deliver doses = 18.5

*This remaining doses number was calculated by taking 80% of the population, less those who are fully vaccinated, multiplied by 2 (doses), then less the number of the single dose population.

Now, very optimistic to think we'll have 80% fully vaccinated by the 1st week of December - I realise - but we need a bit of that right now, don't we?

Cheers,
Matt.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Greg Hunt has recently announced that we have delivered over 201,000 vaccines to people in Australia, yesterday. That's pretty massive at the equivalent of 1.4M for 7 days! This is 5.5% of the Total Population in a week, and that's without the walk-ups, the pharmacies and having AZ ready to go in the mass vax hubs (NSW only?), all of which are only just getting underway now / very soon.

Some back of the envelope calculations, and not even allowing for that gearing up in delivery and the boost to PZ that's meant to be coming, suggests that it would be quite possible to fully vaccinate 80% of the total population before the year is out; not just to offer them all a first shot. Timing of shots aside, and also ignoring hesitancy or brand preference, I estimate it would take about 18.5 weeks to deliver the necessary 34 million doses to do this.

Numbers (based off SMH vax tracker), for those who wish to play at home:

Total Population = 25,693,059 / and 80% of Total Pop. = 20,554,447

Total People Fully Vaccinated (at today) = 3,544,484
Total People with 1st dose only (at today) =8,049,282

Total doses remaining to be delivered in arms* = 34,019,926
Yesterday's rate of delivery = 201,000 doses / 1,407,000 per week
Weeks to deliver doses = 18.5

*This remaining doses number was calculated by taking 80% of the population, less those who are fully vaccinated, multiplied by 2 (doses), then less the number of the single dose population.

Now, very optimistic to think we'll have 80% fully vaccinated by the 1st week of December - I realise - but we need a bit of that right now, don't we?

Cheers,
Matt.

Maybe I mis-calculated the number of required doses

20,554,447x2 - 3,544,484x2 - 8,049,282x1 = 25,970,644 doses needed to get to 80% of population

But yes, still 18.5 weeks

 

[DC3]

…. But yes, still 18.5 weeks

Yes, but the Fed government won’t confirm that?

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Yes, but the Fed government won’t confirm that?

Need to have a free/spare weekend here or there ..

 

[dairyfloss]

Maybe I mis-calculated the number of required doses

20,554,447x2 - 3,544,484x2 - 8,049,282x1 = 25,970,644 doses needed to get to 80% of population

But yes, still 18.5 weeks

Oops - yes, I calculated the number & weeks required from the right cells (errr... section of the back of that envelope), but copied the wrong one for my summary in here!... editing now

 

[Flying mermaid]

Greg Hunt has recently announced that we have delivered over 201,000 vaccines to people in Australia, yesterday. That's pretty massive at the equivalent of 1.4M for 7 days! This is 5.5% of the Total Population in a week, and that's without the walk-ups, the pharmacies and having AZ ready to go in the mass vax hubs (NSW only?), all of which are only just getting underway now / very soon.

Some back of the envelope calculations, and not even allowing for that gearing up in delivery and the boost to PZ that's meant to be coming, suggests that it would be quite possible to fully vaccinate 80% of the total population before the year is out; not just to offer them all a first shot. Timing of shots aside, and also ignoring hesitancy or brand preference, I estimate it would take about 18.5 weeks to deliver the necessary 26 million doses to do this.

Numbers (based off SMH vax tracker), for those who wish to play at home:

Total Population = 25,693,059 / and 80% of Total Pop. = 20,554,447

Total People Fully Vaccinated (at today) = 3,544,484
Total People with 1st dose only (at today) =8,049,282

Total doses remaining to be delivered in arms* = 25,970,644
Yesterday's rate of delivery = 201,000 doses / 1,407,000 per week
Weeks to deliver doses = 18.5

*This remaining doses number was calculated by taking 80% of the population, less those who are fully vaccinated, multiplied by 2 (doses), then less the number of the single dose population.

Now, very optimistic to think we'll have 80% fully vaccinated by the 1st week of December - I realise - but we need a bit of that right now, don't we?

Cheers,
Matt.

Probably belongs in the vaccination rollout thread, rather than here. It would be good to get some optimists over there

 

[dairyfloss]

Probably belongs in the vaccination rollout thread, rather than here. It would be good to get some optimists over there

Umm, that’s where we are…? or perhaps there’s another broader one. Hadn’t checked that

 

[Flying mermaid]

Umm, that’s where we are…? or perhaps there’s another broader one. Hadn’t checked that

No you are in personal accounts. This is the one you actually want

The COVID-19 vaccine rollout in Australia has begun

No, you've got it totally wrong. You get vaccinated, and your local MP gets the ticket....

www.australianfrequentflyer.com.au

 

[dairyfloss]

No you are in personal accounts. This is the one you actually want

https://www.australianfrequentflyer...ia-has-begun.101036/page-204#post-2269048[/UR

located, and copied over

 

[OATEK]

My niece in her 30s has just had her first AZ shot. She works in aged care, but only started there very recently so was not part of the original vaccination push. Lives in S/E Melbourne, and did not want the ordeal of travelling to the state hub for pfizer so discussed with GP and settled for AZ.

 

[Seat0B]

Because l'm casual, as are 99% of the people who work in my industry.

Or self employed as I am and also Mr Seat0A is.

 

[mviy]

I have reached the 4 week mark since my first AZ dose. So 8 weeks to the 12 week mark and with a 6 week gap between Pfizer doses in VIC state hubs that means it's looking increasingly likely that the full 12 week gap between AZ doses will see me fully vaccinated sooner than I could have been with Pfizer.

I am planning on waiting the full 12 weeks to get the second dose at this stage to get optimal protection. Though if the situation in VIC changes for the worse I could reassess.

Short of an outbreak in VIC like in Sydney the only other thing that I think even remotely likely to change my mind would be if international travel was allowed now for someone in my situation, not that that's going to happen.

 

[MooTime]

I

I have reached the 4 week mark since my first AZ dose. So 8 weeks to the 12 week mark and with a 6 week gap between Pfizer doses in VIC state hubs that means it's looking increasingly likely that the full 12 week gap between AZ doses will see me fully vaccinated sooner than I could have been with Pfizer.

I am planning on waiting the full 12 weeks to get the second dose at this stage to get optimal protection. Though if the situation in VIC changes for the worse I could reassess.

Short of an outbreak in VIC like in Sydney the only other thing that I think even remotely likely to change my mind would be if international travel was allowed now for someone in my situation, not that that's going to happen.

Think I've seen reports that 8-10 weeks between AZ jabs is more optimal than 12 weeks.

Why would international travel rules change for someone in your situation?

Have your any special circumstances?
Our just want to visit family like rest of us.

Back of the que with us sir. A far que it is.

 

[serfty]

Think I've seen reports that 8-10 weeks between AZ jabs is more optimal than 12 weeks.

The reports I have seen are that waiting 8 weeks between doses generally results in a significant increase in efficacy over shorter periods like 4 weeks while 12 weeks produces slightly better results than 8 weeks, so 12 weeks it is for me.

Today I get my activation dose, 12 weeks to the day since my first dose in May.

The UK shortened the time between AZ jabs. Here are the pros and cons for Australia

Could we cut the time between the first and second dose of AstraZeneca from 12 weeks to eight weeks? We look at the pros and cons of getting the shot early.

www.abc.net.au

A study published earlier this year in The Lancet found that a single dose of AstraZeneca is 76 per cent effective in the first 90 days.

Receiving a second dose 12 weeks or more after the first can kick this protection up to around 81 per cent.

But this efficacy dropped to around 55 per cent if the second jab was given less than six weeks after the first, the study found.

Single-dose administration and the influence of the timing of the booster dose on immunogenicity and efficacy of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) vaccine: a pooled analysis of four randomised trials

The results of this primary analysis of two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 were consistent with those seen in the interim analysis of the trials and confirm that the vaccine is efficacious, with results varying by dose interval in exploratory analyses. A 3-month dose interval might have advantages...

www.thelancet.com

Single-dose administration and the influence of the timing of the booster dose on immunogenicity and efficacy of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) vaccine: a pooled analysis of four randomised trials

The results of this primary analysis of two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 were consistent with those seen in the interim analysis of the trials and confirm that the vaccine is efficacious, with results varying by dose interval in exploratory analyses. A 3-month dose interval might have advantages over a programme with a short dose interval for roll-out of a pandemic vaccine to protect the largest number of individuals in the population as early as possible when supplies are scarce, while also improving protection after receiving a second dose.

 

[mviy]

Why would international travel rules change for someone in your situation?

Have your any special circumstances?
Our just want to visit family like rest of us.

Back of the que with us sir. A far que it is.

Back of the queue like they rest of us, so the rules won’t change for me. The government won’t provide me the one incentive that may persuade me to take the second jab sooner.

 

[MooTime]

Back of the queue like they rest of us, so the rules won’t change for me. The government won’t provide me the one incentive that may persuade me to take the second jab sooner.

Typical younger generation, all about me.
You said 'me' twice.

Bigger picture here mate. The community, the country. Just move your plans to next year. Save yourself the disappointment now.

Btw getting a vaccination has a little more benefit than just possibility of going O/S.
Dont just hang it on the gov for you getting 2nd dose, how about getting it to keep yourself & those around you safe.
Hmm wild thought I know

 

[Spongbob]

... You said 'me' twice.

Ummm, this thread is "personal accounts".

 

[MooTime]

Ummm, this thread is "personal accounts".

Fair enough. Good call.