Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

[jrfsp]

WA Health is reporting a total of 9,754 new cases to 8pm last night. There are currently 50,957 active cases in Western Australia.

To 8pm last night, there were 208 people with COVID-19 in hospital, six in ICU.

Today’s report also includes three historical deaths from preceding days, with one dating back to March 21, which were reported to WA Health yesterday, a male in their 80s, a woman in their 70s and a woman in their 90s.

Must be getting close to the peak hopefully

 

[exceladdict]

Must be getting close to the peak hopefully

Restrictions easing today, will probably nudge known cases slightly higher.
50k cases is still 2.5% of Perth's general population so there are still plenty of people to burn through; even if many have infection immunity from recent third doses (and that's now waning).
I think it will cross 10k for a few days but then have a long tail in the high thousands.

 

[oz_mark]

Must be getting close to the peak hopefully

They've been saying we're a few days away from the peak for a couple of weeks now!

 

[Pushka]

They've been saying we're a few days away from the peak for a couple of weeks now!

SA is having second wave just 8 weeks after the last one. As soon as restrictions ease the numbers go up again.

 

[jakeseven7]

As soon as restrictions ease the numbers go up again.

Whoever would have thought and really so what right....

 

[oz_mark]

WA Health is reporting a total of 9,727 new cases to 8pm last night. There are currently 52,533 active cases in Western Australia.

To 8pm last night, there were 219 people with COVID-19 in hospital, seven in ICU.

Today’s report also includes three historical deaths from preceding days, with one dating back to 27 March, which were reported to WA Health yesterday, a man in his 60s, a woman in her 40s and a woman in her 90s.

 

[JohnM]

I think it will cross 10k for a few days but then have a long tail in the high thousands.

Just like NSW, Qld, Vic... and so on.

It's all becoming a bit ho-hum...

 

[Pushka]

Whoever would have thought and really so what right....

My point being that these predictions of reaching the peak are irrelevant until it's completely business as usual with no restrictions. And it's not Winter. Nor spring. Nor exceptionally cold. Etc etc. Meaning, there will always be a potential for an outbreak.

 

[exceladdict]

My point being that these predictions of reaching the peak are irrelevant until it's completely business as usual with no restrictions. And it's not Winter. Nor spring. Nor exceptionally cold. Etc etc. Meaning, there will always be a potential for an outbreak.

Peak or no peak, and other than your own circumstances and behaviour, the risk of being exposed would be dependent on the amount and distribution of covid in the community at any given time. Some surveillance may be useful, if it can usefully inform policy and behaviour.

 

[jakeseven7]

My point being that these predictions of reaching the peak are irrelevant until it's completely business as usual with no restrictions. And it's not Winter. Nor spring. Nor exceptionally cold. Etc etc. Meaning, there will always be a potential for an outbreak.

Agree but there’s no more outbreaks is just going to always on, all of the time. With some peaks now and then. Let’s retire the word outbreak too

 

[clifford]

Agree but there’s no more outbreaks is just going to always on, all of the time. With some peaks now and then. Let’s retire the word outbreak too

Wishful thinking, whether you like it or not...

 

[RooFlyer]

When I hear about infection numbers, cases etc, I think: OK, but does it matter? Infection in an old folks home, or within a hospital matters, but out in the community, for the most part, I don't think so - or at least no more than flu has affected some, and severely impacted some, for many years.

I'm +60, with some "underlying health concerns" but have no fear of covid, whatsoever.

 

[jakeseven7]

Wishful thinking, whether you like it or not...

What are you talking about

 

[nutwood]

When I hear about infection numbers, cases etc, I think: OK, but does it matter? Infection in an old folks home, or within a hospital matters, but out in the community, for the most part, I don't think so - or at least no more than flu has affected some, and severely impacted some, for many years.

I'm +60, with some "underlying health concerns" but have no fear of covid, whatsoever.

I think general opinion has very much swung that way. I've just returned from a couple of days work in Hobart and I don't think I saw a single mask. I wasn't circulating, so if I'd been in the CBD it might have been different but I was still driving about, staying overnight, getting food etc.
Hard to remember that only a few months back, the entire south of the State was locked down because some idiot did a runner on isolation.

 

[clifford]

I think general opinion has very much swung that way. I've just returned from a couple of days work in Hobart and I don't think I saw a single mask. I wasn't circulating, so if I'd been in the CBD it might have been different but I was still driving about, staying overnight, getting food etc.
Hard to remember that only a few months back, the entire south of the State was locked down because some idiot did a runner on isolation.

Yes, it's the same in rural NSW (eg Cootamundra), but I'll still be wearing my mask there in cafes and restaurants.

Let's see how it plays out over the next 12-24 months. Perhaps then we can make judgments on what was appropriate or not...

 

[RooFlyer]

I think general opinion has very much swung that way. I've just returned from a couple of days work in Hobart and I don't think I saw a single mask. I wasn't circulating, so if I'd been in the CBD it might have been different but I was still driving about, staying overnight, getting food etc.
Hard to remember that only a few months back, the entire south of the State was locked down because some idiot did a runner on isolation.

There are still quite a few masks about. Not like a few months ago when I noted 75%+ wore them in the street, but in shops now, I'd say ... 30%? Interesting mix - many "young" with them on, many "senior" without.

I usually have a mask in my pocket. If I'm in an environment (shop) where most or the shop staff have masks, I'll put it on, as a courtesy.

 

[drron]

Well I'm 75 with some underlying health conditions but I am not going to give into the fear. I will protect myself and am likely to have the 4th vaccine shot. just as I always have my annual quadrivalent flu shot.
However as i have said before I once was in charge of a flu ward. The difference with covid is that often as well as killing older folk like me flu can be a killer of the under 5's. And depending on the strain of flu pregnant women are at risk. We don't stop the world for the flu \though we at times have locked down aged care institutions because of the flu.
For healthy young citizens the lockdowns etc have done way more harm than good.

It frightens me how so many people even on here have swallowed the fear story. that is sad.

 

[N860CR]

It frightens me how so many people even on here have swallowed the fear story. that is sad.

Yep. And as a whole, I suspect this forum is made up of people with greater average intelligence than the general population. Just read a few local community social media pages and you’ll realize how successful the fear campaign has been.

I’m more concerned for the precedent it’s set. Governments around the world now have a great ace up their sleeve.

 

[tgh]

We have been offered shot #4 by the GP (with a firm endorsement)...but swmbo failed to enquire the brand of poison.
I opine that a hit of Moderna would add a bit of variety but will need to ask the practice if they offer a choice.

As far as fear goes, we are getting on with life ; dining with unvaccinated friends, dining with #2 son who is daily bathed in potential bugs.
We have no idea if we have had it .. or are getting it.. but life must go on...

 

[drron]

Well you have a choice of Pfizer,Moderna and Novavax.
When i have the 4th it will be Novavax after 2 AZ and 1 Moderna.

I will only be due about 6 days before our Singapore and Bangkok trip. I am pretty sure I will leave it until closer to our August trip which will be Spain and the UK plus a Mediterranean cruise. That is likely to be higher risk and the weather will be starting to cool in the Northern Hemisphere.