Australian Reports of the Virus Spread

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I do wonder if the Vic Premier/CHO will go 2 step for regional Vic if it’s 0community transmission (mystery cases/unknown source) say 12 days (not 14) And 13th or 14th day had 1 or 2 cases.

Vic Premier sounding like 2 steps might happen early next week. The only report I heard on community transmission in Regional Vic was about 2 days ago saying 8 cases in last 14 days. Nothing on when the last case occurred.
 
Hope the link is found...courtesy of abc Covid live blog

Echuca mystery case

Does the Echuca mystery case mean regional Victoria won't go to Step 2 Sunday? Also if we go to Step 3 and there is a mystery case, does that mean an immediate return to Step 2?

-Concerned Regional Resident

Premier Andrews was asked this exactly in the previous press conference. He gave no indication that regional Victoria would not move to step 2 at 11:59pm on September 13 and said he wanted regional Victoria to move two steps next week, but it was "too early to be able to say".

“We will investigate that [Echuca mystery case] as thoroughly as we possibly can, and try and understand as much about that case as we can,” Mr Andrews said.

 
Covidlive must have done another of their regular hot takes....it says 1336 now.
1483 was the number of active cases yesterday. Covid live updates no of cases and deaths immediately that is released. It leaves yesterday’s numbers as today’s numbers until it gets further information and then applies those figures. So initially it’s in a hybrid state with some current and some old information against today’s date.
 
In the other jurisdictions, only SA has a new case, in quarantine but an old infection, so need to add to case count (because presumably not counted elsewhere in the world) but not an active case.
 
Hope to heck this doesn't have repercussions:

Dozens of coronavirus close contacts in the southwest Victorian town of Colac have been sent an erroneous text message from health authorities on Friday, telling them they are free to leave quarantine.

The Australian has been told some left their homes and visited local shops after days in isolation, only to receive another SMS telling them the first message had been sent in error.

The bungle comes after a litany of contact tracing failures in Victoria, including one notorious case where a woman’s family received a call from Department of Health and Human Services contact tracers a week after her death from coronavirus, and more than a month after she had been infected.
...
“We have reviewed your case details and are happy to inform that you meet the Department of Health and Human Service’s (sic) criteria for cessation of quarantine,” said the first text message, which was received by Colac close contacts early this afternoon and sent from the Geelong-based DHHS hub at Barwon Health.

“This message can be used as confirmation for your employer or educational facility to return to normal duties.

...
An hour later, a follow-up message stated: “Please disregard previous SMS-Sent in error. You will receive clearance tomorrow 12.09.2020 by SMS as discussed. Please continue to isolate until you receive that SMS tomorrow.”
 
Hope to heck this doesn't have repercussions:

Dozens of coronavirus close contacts in the southwest Victorian town of Colac have been sent an erroneous text message from health authorities on Friday, telling them they are free to leave quarantine.

The Australian has been told some left their homes and visited local shops after days in isolation, only to receive another SMS telling them the first message had been sent in error.

The bungle comes after a litany of contact tracing failures in Victoria, including one notorious case where a woman’s family received a call from Department of Health and Human Services contact tracers a week after her death from coronavirus, and more than a month after she had been infected.
...
“We have reviewed your case details and are happy to inform that you meet the Department of Health and Human Service’s (sic) criteria for cessation of quarantine,” said the first text message, which was received by Colac close contacts early this afternoon and sent from the Geelong-based DHHS hub at Barwon Health.

“This message can be used as confirmation for your employer or educational facility to return to normal duties.

...
An hour later, a follow-up message stated: “Please disregard previous SMS-Sent in error. You will receive clearance tomorrow 12.09.2020 by SMS as discussed. Please continue to isolate until you receive that SMS tomorrow.”
It seems at the moment that Day 12 is the critical one so likely a stupid error but hopefully not with significant consequences.
 
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It seems at the moment that Day 12 is the critical one so likely a stupid error but hopefully not with significant consequences.

Well that seemed dramatic:

People out possibly spreading the virus ... after days in isolation ..... till looking online to read what happened one discovers that "days" was in fact just 12 hours short of the 14 day self-isolation period.


PEOPLE required to isolate for 14 days in Colac have been sent a text message saying they can cease quarantine a day early, Polwarth MP Richard Riordan says.
Mr Riordan said he was "frustrated" on Friday to see residents had been sent the information, which came from Barwon Health's COVID-19 Monitoring team.


Barwon Health public affairs and communications director Kate Bibby said a message with advice from our COVID-19 monitoring team was sent in error to 28 close contacts of confirmed cases in Colac on Friday.

"These close contacts had been self isolating following their contact with someone who had confirmed positive and they had all recently had a negative test for COVID-19," Ms Bibby said.

"The message was sent 12 hours early due to an internal miscommunication. This was quickly resolved with a follow-up message.




While being released a day early is unfortunate, given that people, if infected, are at their most infectious within the first week on being released on Day 13 rather that Day 14 is pretty unlikely to have made any difference. Typically most people are believed to not be capable of infecting other people beyond 10 days.
 
All I can say is interesting.


View attachment 227257

An expected political move. Regardless of the legal decision I hope it stays on for a couple weeks more at least.

It's working to restrain a lot of Richard Craniums.

I don't want the imposts we have already suffered to be all for nothing if the restraints come off too early and we are back here in 6-8 weeks time.
 
An expected political move. Regardless of the legal decision I hope it stays on for a couple weeks more at least.

It's working to restrain a lot of Richard Craniums.

I don't want the imposts we have already suffered to be all for nothing if the restraints come off too early and we are back here in 6-8 weeks time.
You know what? If there is no vaccine then this awful cycle is going to repeated again and again unless the virus does a Swine Flu and just goes pffft. I'm not convinced we can stem the tide whatever we do once we return to any kind of normal.
 
You know what? If there is no vaccine then this awful cycle is going to repeated again and again unless the virus does a Swine Flu and just goes pffft. I'm not convinced we can stem the tide whatever we do once we return to any kind of normal.

Almost guaranteed it will come back. The lowest level you can start from with the quickest response seems to be the way to handle it.

If we still have 1300 infected and 2% richard craniums we could be back up to 250 cases a day within less than a week.

We need better odds than that.
 
An expected political move. Regardless of the legal decision I hope it stays on for a couple weeks more at least.

It's working to restrain a lot of Richard Craniums.

I don't want the imposts we have already suffered to be all for nothing if the restraints come off too early and we are back here in 6-8 weeks time.


With everything closed anyway, and no visiting etc, it is not like the curfew is of any real inconvenience to those of us following the rules. It does make life a lot easier of the police at present and moreso given all the extra CV19 related duties.
 
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