QANTAS forges Emirate tie

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Those familiar with Qantas announcements are aready prepared to be underwhelmed.

I suspect QF will pull 1 flight from SIN-FRA and 1 from SIN-LHR.
QF will then retire both those aircraft or perhaps they will route one flight per day from SYD-DXB. At a stretch they might also offer MEL-DXB or SYD-KUL, but it would be unlikely. That's the transformation, I suspect.


Lots of codeshares from DXB-Europe, but my guess is that you will only be able to purchase that DXB-Europe codeshare if you fly Oz-DXB first. So, for example if you fly VA to AUH, and then decide to fly DXB-LHR on EK, then you will not be able to use the QF codeshare on that route.

I also would like to have a side bet that the venture ends in tears before it even gets started.
 
Perhaps QF can get some of those EK-777 orders *stirs the pot*

Seriously though, I do not see how this can be successful without cannibalising and killing QFi (but perhaps this is Alan Joyce's intention). EK can survive easily without QF. A partnership with CX would seem more logical to me, given the oneworld partnership, availability of Premium Economy, and that QF has an established presence in HKG.

If QF partner with EK I suspect that QF will no longer fly SYD-BKK, freeing 1x330 to use on East Coast-West Coast. QF will also drop SYD-SIN-FRA, freeing up 3x744 for SYD/MEL-PER or retirement. I also think that if QF wants to use some A380 to Dubai.....perhaps you would only see QF1/2 via SIN......

I do not see any upside in this for anyone who wants to genuinely fly on a Qantas aircraft.
 
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Surely this is also a direct breach of the conditions of their OW membership? They will be moving pax away from OW partner airlines.

Ultimately OW is simply a general agreement that a group of airlines would co-operate together. How each airline co-operates with each other airline in OW still seems to be at the discretion of each airline involved, with lounge access for status members about the only thing which is uniform. Of course like any agreement, each airline is only going to stick with it whilst it is in their interest to do so. I have no doubt that QF would dump OW if they feel a tie up with EK would be a more profitable and it turns out both are mutually exclusive.

Of course QF can no doubt see advantage in this agreement, but I do wonder what EK will get out of it. AFAIK They already serve the 5 majors (or are about to), and I doubt they would really be too keen to give up a part of their share of the DXB -> AU market to QF to simply be able to offer seemless connections to CBR \ DRW and HBA.
 
Surprisingly flying QF internationally suits me at the moment. I know exactly what to expect on QF1/QF2/QF9/QF10/QF7/QF8 and then exactly what I'll receive on OW partners when I connect. It gives some certainty to my travel experience.. This is why VA has had little of my international travel despite getting nearly all of my domestic travel. I have flown Etihad as a VA codeshare and really had no certainty as to what my platinum status entitled me too....not decent seat selection.....I found.

If QF switches it's hub to DXB from SIN but still flies the 388's to LHR I won't be unhappy. If I have to switch to EK as part of a codeshare arrangement to complete my journey to LHR I'll be less happy.

That said the prospect of booking a return FASA MEL-DXB and then "slumming" it in J with EK to LHR is mildly appealing. I guess that puts me fairly and squarely on the fence at the prospect of a tie in. :D
 
Well two possiblities
1) MH join OW and SIN gets shifted to KUL
2) QF Red or whatever they call it based in SIN become the Asian feeder network (though how this is different to JetStar Asia im not sure)

It would be full service unlike Jetstar Asia which is LCC.
 
Perhaps QF can get some of those EK-777 orders *stirs the pot*

Seriously though, I do not see how this can be successful without cannibalising and killing QFi (but perhaps this is Alan Joyce's intention). EK can survive easily without QF. A partnership with CX would seem more logical to me, given the oneworld partnership, availability of Premium Economy, and that QF has an established presence in HKG.

If QF partner with EK I suspect that QF will no longer fly SYD-BKK, freeing 1x330 to use on East Coast-West Coast. QF will also drop SYD-SIN-FRA, freeing up 3x744 for SYD/MEL-PER or retirement. I also think that if QF wants to use some A380 to Dubai.....perhaps you would only see QF1/2 via SIN......

I do not see any upside in this for anyone who wants to genuinely fly on a Qantas aircraft.

Don't see the connection to BKK which is now served as a destination rather than a stop over point to London. However if anything you would probably see EK stop their BKK-SYD flight.
 
Don't see the connection to BKK which is now served as a destination rather than a stop over point to London. However if anything you would probably see EK stop their BKK-SYD flight.

It would be great if the opposite was true, whereby QF brought back the 747 to BKK as part of EK dropping the BKK-SYD flight, and perhaps added frequency SYD-CHC. But given that QF wants to retire aircraft early and be more capital efficient, putting its code on EK to BKK might make sense.
 
Positive move IMO.

Icing on the cake will be if F or J award seats will be easier to secure on the SYD/MEL-SIN-LHR run due to the numbers moving over to DXB route.
 
Personally, I think it is a good move for QFi which could allow them to focus more on Asia and/or retire older aircraft.

As others have intimated, Oneworlds repsonse to this would be interesting. They arleady have CX, JL and QF as airlines in the Asian region, with potentially MH joining soon. Surely they will begin eating into each others bottom line. I highly doubt EK will join the fold, perhaps its a sign that QF will depart OW, perhaps setup something with EK directly? The missing piece in that puzzle is who will partner in the Americas?

Whilst it is possible that QF may leave OW, I highly doubt it would happen. QF is a founding member of OW (I know this does not mean much) and the departure of QF would leave a hole in OW's global network which not many airlines (if any) can fill.

I don't see how the members of OW would eat into each other's bottom line. Have a look at *A in Asia, you have CA, NH, AR, SQ and TG in Asia and they all co-exist with cannablising each other, likewise for SkyTeam.
 
Perhaps QF can get some of those EK-777 orders *stirs the pot*

Seriously though, I do not see how this can be successful without cannibalising and killing QFi (but perhaps this is Alan Joyce's intention). EK can survive easily without QF. A partnership with CX would seem more logical to me, given the oneworld partnership, availability of Premium Economy, and that QF has an established presence in HKG.

If QF partner with EK I suspect that QF will no longer fly SYD-BKK, freeing 1x330 to use on East Coast-West Coast. QF will also drop SYD-SIN-FRA, freeing up 3x744 for SYD/MEL-PER or retirement. I also think that if QF wants to use some A380 to Dubai.....perhaps you would only see QF1/2 via SIN......

I do not see any upside in this for anyone who wants to genuinely fly on a Qantas aircraft.

Although a partnership with CX would make sense, one has to keep in mind that the relationship between CX and QF has not been great with the only codeshare between CX and QF is the HKG-FCO (Rome) route. For some strange reason, QF chooses to codeshare with AF on the HKG-CDG route.

Should QFi chooses to cease flying between SYD and BKK, I would like to see the freed up A330 to be used to boost frequencies on routes to Asia (e.g. bringing SYD-HKG to double daily, increase frequencies from BNE/PER-HKG) to capture demand. There are plenty of international A330 on the trans-con route already.
 
So if this did go ahead, would QF still have any link from BKK and HKG into Europe?

Can't see QF leaving OW - for 2 main reasons - AA and LA. QF have obviously moved SFO-->DFW on the back of promoting DFW as AA's hub. In additon, the move from EZE to SCL has a lot to do with using the LA hub, does it not?

The problem with BA would seem to be LHR. Going with EK removes the need for any Kangaroo LHR transit into Continential Europe?

I suppose HKG could remain with BA or even go to CX as a codeshare?

Or, how about SkyTeam for QF? (just putting it out there ;)) - seemingly a better 'network' for Asia - Korean, Vietnam, Garuda(soon), China Southern/Eastern along with Delta for US? (although not necessarily better product) - Delta would be a problem due to VA tie-up though?
 
It strikes me that DFW is a bit of a problem route and if they have another partner they might be happy to ditch it. I guess it depends how profitable it would be with the A380 when the 744s go away.
 
Dfw hardly a problem route. Is on the edge of operating performance, but then so is lax-syd -- qf12 got diverted to bne yesterday
 
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It strikes me that DFW is a bit of a problem route and if they have another partner they might be happy to ditch it. I guess it depends how profitable it would be with the A380 when the 744s go away.

I doubt that. It is only for a brief period where the conditions are not ideal.

The 747's operating the DFW route will be around for a while, as that are from around 2002/3.
 
Should QFi chooses to cease flying between SYD and BKK, I would like to see the freed up A330 to be used to boost frequencies on routes to Asia (e.g. bringing SYD-HKG to double daily, increase frequencies from BNE/PER-HKG) to capture demand. There are plenty of international A330 on the trans-con route already.

Is SYD-HKG not double daily already? (QF87/127 and 88/128)?
 
However, I can't see much benefit for EK.

Just thinking outside the box, maybe BNE-LAX could be transferred to EK. Or even MEL-LAX, leaving spare capacity for Sydney Airlines to add A380 services to DXB.
 
How about 7 million-odd frequent flyers?
10 million, of which, how many are simply frequent shoppers? Or do not travel to Europe regularly? I can't see it being a huge drawcard for EK.

As mentioned, the only small one I could see would be them getting feeder traffic to AU DOM on QF.

I see this as the death knell for QFi personally. A long, slow, drawn out death. I am of course happy to be proven wrong (until JQ take over the world).
 
The words have definitely floated around for a while, but I'm surprised if QF actually secures this tie-up.

As alluded to by some others, I would've thought EK would never think of this because it is doing well by itself right now. It's not like EY, which benefits greatly from the VA Australian domestic network to reliably ferry passengers to and from gateways. (Also links to New Zealand and the Pacific Islands). Notwithstanding possibly QantasLink, QF doesn't exactly offer much on top of what EK achieves on its own right now (and codesharing with JQ is just fraught with problems both of the logistic and strategic kinds).

Also, after all of the controversial remarks made by Alan Joyce, I would've thought the Middle Eastern carriers, and in particular EK, would've harboured nought but contempt, and wouldn't even think of partnering with QF (and more of probably partnering with DJ).

Of course QF can no doubt see advantage in this agreement, but I do wonder what EK will get out of it. AFAIK They already serve the 5 majors (or are about to), and I doubt they would really be too keen to give up a part of their share of the DXB -> AU market to QF to simply be able to offer seemless connections to CBR \ DRW and HBA.

Well I thought part of the objective of getting into this agreement would be that there might even be more flights (whether operated by EK or QF), since it would be anticipated that a significant portion of the traffic (and you'd think a prospect for expanding traffic) would move to this route.

As I previously alluded to, I can't see how current scheduling could offer good connections to each of those places. CBR might be OK, but DRW and HBA suffer from poor frequency of QF operated flights from any EK gateway.

The only upside for EK there could possibly be is that with an increase in traffic feed (stemming from QF moving off using BA regionals from LHR and more to direct from DXB, plus cutting off SIN-FRA), EK might have a better go at forcing the hand of stiff regulators around the place (particularly Europe) who won't offer further traffic rights to EK (Germany in particular, which LH is relying on to protect its vulnerable position as it is). Either that or QF may have an opportunity to through-fly via DXB if EK can help in creating a good hub at DXB for them.

Dare I mention it, but there's even a possibility of flight partnering with RJ (through DXB-AMM and onwards).

Surprisingly flying QF internationally suits me at the moment. I know exactly what to expect on QF1/QF2/QF9/QF10/QF7/QF8 and then exactly what I'll receive on OW partners when I connect. It gives some certainty to my travel experience.. This is why VA has had little of my international travel despite getting nearly all of my domestic travel. I have flown Etihad as a VA codeshare and really had no certainty as to what my platinum status entitled me too....not decent seat selection.....I found.

I would imagine some of the inconsistencies with VA and its partners re: how to treat elites (on all sides) will be resolved in the next 6-12 months.

If QF switches it's hub to DXB from SIN but still flies the 388's to LHR I won't be unhappy. If I have to switch to EK as part of a codeshare arrangement to complete my journey to LHR I'll be less happy.

Put it another way - if you had to fly J or F, is there such a thing as a bad seat? (Notwithstanding QF's new A380 configuration...) So that makes seat selection rather moot.

Hopefully EK would allow like-for-like class access to lounges, viz. EK F pax can access QF F Lounges and vv. (What this exactly means for QF at DXB if it happens is a different argument). That solves the lounge issue.

Probably the one that will stick out is baggage allowance. If you often travel light or HLO, again no problem. But some of us do travel with bags and might take issue (i.e. only having, say, 40 kg in EK J as a QF WP, as opposed to 3 x 32 kg). I know that I have never carried more than 32 kg internationally (and that's even when I've been lugging a bit); might change if I desire to move overseas.

All said and done, VA and EY is a partnership; most of us - cynically albeit rather expectantly - would see QF and EK as a mere codeshare. Huge difference between both concepts, and it can mean, in the end, very little for QF and EK (just like it did when QF and EY gave it a go).


Let's not even start with the QPNBs and issues with them in this tie-up..... that's just going to blow up...


Taking away the Kangaroo route JSA would probably leave QF without a pathway from SIN to LHR unless it sets up a new codeshare agreement with BA. That would leave only one Asian routing left to Europe, viz. HKG with codeshare on CX to FCO or codeshare on BA to LHR.

Seriously though, I do not see how this can be successful without cannibalising and killing QFi (but perhaps this is Alan Joyce's intention). EK can survive easily without QF. A partnership with CX would seem more logical to me, given the oneworld partnership, availability of Premium Economy, and that QF has an established presence in HKG.

I imagine HKG is part of the Jetstar Hong Kong strategy, but a real tie up with CX would've been done and dusted by now, but realistically for that to happen QF would need to really suck up to CX. Not exactly on amicable terms.

I do not see any upside in this for anyone who wants to genuinely fly on a Qantas aircraft.

Well, I don't either. But it's not as if the current situation is any good in that respect either. So might as well move to a better equilibrium position.


It surprises me that the article in the OP mentions that "Qantas would shift a proportion of its London flights from Singapore to Dubai". As if to imply Qantas had significant London flights right now - and there aren't: there's only 2 (QF1/2 and QF9/10). Moving a "proportion" of the flights would either entail 50% or the lot - not a lot of grey in that scale. (Unless it is implied that QF might keep some of these flights but on a less-than-daily basis).


Finally, I'm not as optimistic as some that a EK tie up will mean markedly more opportunities for ASAs / awards in general. I'd imagine on the codeshares operated by EK, seats will be just as difficult (if not more) to find and especially in F (how many F seats is QF going to buy from EK so it can make them available as awards? Come on!)
 
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