The COVID-19 vaccine rollout in Australia has begun

[mviy]

Plus there are still first and second dose AZ occurring at present, and second doses at least will seem some AZ for another month or two. So that is in addition to the numbers above.

That includes me. Looking forward to getting my second AZ.

​

JOHN FREWEN:​

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Thanks, Minister. So you've heard today by the middle of October, we have enough vaccine to fully vaccinate all the eligible population.​

So with any supply concerns dealt with the focus will need to switch to making sure that supply gets to where it is needed and doing everything possible to get people to turn up.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Anyone willing to predict the uptake % of 12+ eligible by 31/12/2021?

I would presume after this date - the rollout program will shift to boosters (eg those jabbed before June, then rolling month).

 

[lovetravellingoz]

That includes me. Looking forward to getting my second AZ.

And my youngest daughter has her second AZ coming up soon as well, as are both my parents (health issues delayed their first dose) and so that will complete all in the immediate family including siblings.

So with any supply concerns dealt with the focus will need to switch to making sure that supply gets to where it is needed and doing everything possible to get people to turn up.

Which in Vic over the next few weeks is particularly required in all the hotspot postcodes which are generating most of the cases, but which are also where the vaccination rates are also typically the lowest in Vic. The extra GP's and Pharmacies now opening from this week on will help, as will the extra announced pop-ups.

We are about to find out nationally how many people are truly vaccine hesitant as well as those who will never get vaccinated.

 

[drron]

May be a jump in Tassies numbers announced tomorrow.One college in Launceston had 300 vaccinated today.The pop up clinics they have for schools are booked out the next 3 weeks.

 

[mviy]

Front Page of The Age - "State eyes mandatory vaccines for builders" - "The Victorian government is considering mandating vaccinations for construction workers as building sites emerge as coronavirus hotspots..."

AFR - "Jabs on the job go-ahead" - "More than 1 million people could be vaccinated at work after Australia's businesses were given the green light to join in the rollout..."

The Advertiser - "Walk-in Jabs for kids" - "No vax bookings required for year 11-12 students" - "All year 11 and year 12 students older than 16 can have walk-in Pfizer jabs at SA Health clinics this month, ahead of end-of-year exams. As vaccine supplies surge, South Australia's first general walk-in jab clinic also opens in Rundle Mall today, a day after Pfizer shots were offered to anyone over 12. Year 11 and 12 students can visit the Wayville vaccination hub without an appointment before 3.30pm."

 

[jb747]

Apparently Crown (where my son works) are making vaccination mandatory for staff. Also providing a couple of extra sick days and a small bonus per jab, though I haven't heard how this will work given most staff are currently unrostered. Even better is that they're looking at making it mandatory for customers.

 

[mviy]

Crown made at least a few of today’s Front Pages with articles about them mandating vaccination.

I think one of them is the Herald Sun in Melbourne and another one of the Perth papers.

I don’t like gambling so chose not to mention those articles last night.

 

[Must...Fly!]

My employer has announced they'll be giving a half days pay per vaccination dose. Sounds like it'll be retrospective to anyone who's already been jabbed too (we were given priority long ago so I daresay a lot of staff would already be done). I didn't need an incentive but if money is being given away...

 

[OATEK]

According to today's figures, our LGA is 85.3% first dose and 55.5% double, so 70% double should come quite quickly.

 

[Seat0B]

Oh dear. But at least they did late night call backs so doses were not wasted.

About 170 Pfizer doses discarded after AIS vaccination hub booking error

More than 600 Canberrans have their COVID-19 vaccination appointments rescheduled after an overbooking error occurred at the AIS mass vaccination hub.

www.abc.net.au

 

[lovetravellingoz]

See below for a projection by CovidbaseAU on when 70/80/90 % fully vaccinated rates may be reached for each jurisdiction.

There are a quite a number of different projections floating about, but most are based on what has happened during the last 7 days. So 1/ that does not factor in the now increasing supply and 2/ the second dose rate is often distorted as some jurisdictions can be at present pushing first doses over second doses (or may now have flipped due to having recently done so) and 3/ that the recommended second dose timing will alter (ie Pfizer likely to revert back to less than 6 weeks in those jurisdictions who have stretched it out). The first/second dose ratio varies quite widely at present from jurisdiction to jurisdiction. The projections below factor in those three factors, as well as having looked at what has happened to date.

Caveat: Projections are always just that and are based on assumptions. However what is shown below is likely to be a better estimate than estimates only looking at the last 7 days , and especially as1st/ 2nd doses in the last 7 days are not really that representative of what will happen overall.


So estimated dates to reach the 16+ 80% fully vaccinated rate are:

• ACT: 37 days - Oct 21
• NSW: 37 - Oct 21
• VIC: 49 - Nov 2
• TAS: 53 - Nov 6
• SA: 66 - Nov 19
• NT: 66 - Nov 19
• WA: 75 - Nov 28
• QLD: 77 - Nov 30

Note: The numbers in the table are the number of days to reach each target. So for example the number of days is longer in the main for the younger the cohort is as they became only eligible to get vaccinated later (Priority groups due to type of work or health status did allow some younger people to be vaccinated earlier). Plus some jurisdictions encouraged 18 -39s to get AZ and some id not, and that effect shows up in the table.




Note various other factors may kick in such the % of people that remain vaccine hesitant, and the actual % of those who will choose to remain unvaccinated.

 

[mviy]

VIC is focusing on getting first doses done at the moment, so a lot of the sites estimates on second doses do seem off as like you say a surge of first doses will be followed by a surge of second doses.

With all the additional supply coming on and sufficient supply to vaccinate the rest of the 12+ population by mid-October the gap between second doses definitely should be able to be reduced again at some point in the next month or two.

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Apologies if this has been posted before - this is the weekly update by LGA (it appears they use 15 and older as their base???)

COVID-19 vaccination – Local Government Area (LGA) – 13 September 2021

This report lists the percentage of people aged 15 and over who have been vaccinated against COVID-19, by Local Government Area. The percentages are further broken down by geographic regions and whether they've had one dose or are fully vaccinated.

www.health.gov.au

 

[lovetravellingoz]

VIC is focusing on getting first doses done at the moment, so a lot of the sites estimates on second doses do seem off as like you say a surge of first doses will be followed by a surge of second doses.

With all the additional supply coming on and sufficient supply to vaccinate the rest of the 12+ population by mid-October the gap between second doses definitely should be able to be reduced again at some point in the next month or two.

Plus apart from the focus and expansion it is also that a lot of under 49s (not U12s are not included in these figures) have only relatively recently become more easily able to get vaccinated and so have a much greater proportion of 1st doses. Initially that will stay out of balance as total vaccine supply is to start surging from this week or next, but then will become more in balance , and then after that will flip to be mainly second doses .

 

[mviy]

WA is opening up Pfizer to all over 12s that haven't had a different vaccine from Monday.

 

[mviy]

They are now reporting doses for 12-15 year olds.

25-29 has reached 50.4% with a first dose.

NSW at 79.46% with a first dose for 16+ is on track to reach 80% when today's numbers are released tomorrow.

VIC is on track to reach 70% when Thursday's numbers are released on Friday or the day after.

 

[jakeseven7]

WA is opening up Pfizer to all over 12s that haven't had a different vaccine from Monday.

Desperate…. I really hope they get there. Seems to be layers and layers of issues in WA.

 

[justinbrett]

They are now reporting doses for 12-15 year olds.

25-29 has reached 50.4% with a first dose.

NSW at 79.46% with a first dose for 16+ is on track to reach 80% when today's numbers are released tomorrow.

VIC is on track to reach 70% when Thursday's numbers are released on Friday or the day after.

But NSW will be announced Thursday - they are announcing vax from 2 days ago at the 11am.

 

[mviy]

Yes the numbers are released in the afternoon after the press conferences. Though it is possible that NSW may know in the morning whether the 80% has been reached or not. Waiting till Thursday to announce they've reached it wouldn't be a bad thing.

 

[burmans]

While I think NSW will probably hit the 80% mark tomorrow it's interesting how quickly the ratio between first and second has changed, first has dropped rapidly but second rising rapidly.